From 268fae7c8eadaba8a85835de093b97b7772f5ce9 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Andrei Scheinkman Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2014 18:48:22 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] add data for Nate's methodology feature --- forecast-methodology/README.md | 17 +++++++++++++++++ .../historical-senate-predictions.csv | 1 + forecast-methodology/senate-calibration.csv | 1 + 3 files changed, 19 insertions(+) create mode 100644 forecast-methodology/README.md create mode 100644 forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions.csv create mode 100644 forecast-methodology/senate-calibration.csv diff --git a/forecast-methodology/README.md b/forecast-methodology/README.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..11c07bf --- /dev/null +++ b/forecast-methodology/README.md @@ -0,0 +1,17 @@ +### Airline safety data + +The data behind the story, [Here’s What’s Under The Hood Of Our Senate Forecasting Model](http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/heres-whats-under-the-hood-of-our-senate-forecasting-model) + +Header | Definition +---|--------- +`state` | Election +`year` | Year of election +`candidate` | Last name +`forecast_prob` | Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast +`result` | `Win` or `Loss` + +For archived results, see: + + * *2008* https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ + * *2010* http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate + * *2012* http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/ diff --git a/forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions.csv b/forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1de2ae1 --- /dev/null +++ b/forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +state,year,candidate,forecast_prob,result,winflag Alabama,2008,Sessions,1.00,Win,1 Alabama,2008,Figures,0.00,Lose,0 Alabama,2010,Shelby,1.00,Win,1 Alabama,2010,Barnes,0.00,Loss,0 Alaska,2008,Begich,1.00,Win,1 Alaska,2008,Stevens,0.00,Lose,0 Alaska,2010,Miller,0.71,Lose,0 Alaska,2010,Murkowski,0.21,Win,1 Alaska,2010,McAdams,0.08,Loss,0 Arizona,2010,Glassman,1.00,Win,1 Arizona,2010,McCain,0.00,Loss,0 Arizona,2012,Flake,0.96,Win,1 Arizona,2012,Carmona,0.04,Loss,0 Arkansas,2008,Pryor,1.00,Win,1 Arkansas,2010,Boozman,1.00,Win,1 Arkansas,2010,Lincoln,0.00,Loss,0 California,2012,Feinstein,1.00,Win,1 California,2012,Emken,0.00,Loss,0 Colorado,2008,M. Udall,1.00,Win,1 Colorado,2008,Schaeffer,0.00,Lose,0 Colorado,2010,Buck,0.65,Loss,0 Colorado,2010,Bennett,0.35,Win,1 Connecticut,2010,Blumenthal,1.00,Win,1 Connecticut,2010,McMahon,0.00,Loss,0 Connecticut,2012,Murphy,0.96,Win,1 Connecticut,2012,McMahon,0.04,Loss,0 Delaware,2008,Biden,1.00,Win,1 Delaware,2008,O'Connell,0.00,Lose,0 Delaware,2010,Coons,1.00,Win,1 Delaware,2010,O'Donnell,0.00,Loss,0 Delaware,2012,Carper,1.00,Win,1 Delaware,2012,Wade,0.00,Loss,0 Florida,2010,Rubio,0.97,Win,1 Florida,2010,Crist,0.03,Loss,0 Florida,2010,Meeks,0.00,Loss,0 Florida,2012,Nelson,1.00,Win,1 Florida,2012,Mack,0.00,Loss,0 Georgia,2008,Chambilss,0.88,Win,1 Georgia,2008,Martin,0.12,Lose,0 Georgia,2010,Isakson,1.00,Win,1 Georgia,2010,Thurmond,0.00,Loss,0 Hawaii,2010,Inouye,1.00,Win,1 Hawaii,2010,Cavasso,0.00,Loss,0 Hawaii,2012,Hirono,1.00,Win,1 Hawaii,2012,Lingle,0.00,Loss,0 Idaho,2008,Risch,1.00,Win,1 Idaho,2008,LaRocco,0.00,Lose,0 Idaho,2010,Crapo,1.00,Win,1 Idaho,2010,Sullivan,0.00,Loss,0 Illinois,2008,Durbin,1.00,Win,1 Illinois,2008,Sauerberg,0.00,Lose,0 Illinois,2010,Kirk,0.69,Win,1 Illinois,2010,Giannoulias,0.31,Loss,0 Indiana,2010,Coats,1.00,Win,1 Indiana,2010,Ellsworth,0.00,Loss,0 Indiana,2012,Donnelly,0.70,Win,1 Indiana,2012,Lingle,0.30,Loss,0 Iowa,2008,Harkin,1.00,Win,1 Iowa,2008,Reed,0.00,Lose,0 Iowa,2010,Grassley,1.00,Win,1 Iowa,2010,Conlin,0.00,Loss,0 Kansas,2008,Roberts,1.00,Win,1 Kansas,2008,Slattery,0.00,Lose,0 Kansas,2010,Moran,1.00,Win,1 Kansas,2010,Johnston,0.00,Loss,0 Kentucky,2008,McConnell,0.92,Win,1 Kentucky,2008,Lunsford,0.08,Lose,0 Kentucky,2010,Paul,1.00,Win,1 Kentucky,2010,Conway,0.00,Loss,0 Louisiana,2008,Landireu,1.00,Win,1 Louisiana,2008,Kennedy,0.00,Lose,0 Louisiana,2010,Vitter,1.00,Win,1 Louisiana,2010,Melancon,0.00,Loss,0 Maine,2008,Collins,1.00,Win,1 Maine,2008,Allen,0.00,Lose,0 Maine,2012,King,0.93,Win,1 Maine,2012,Summers,0.06,Loss,0 Maine,2012,Dill,0.01,Loss,0 Maryland,2010,Murkowski,1.00,Win,1 Maryland,2010,Wargotz,0.00,Loss,0 Maryland,2012,Cardin,1.00,Win,1 Maryland,2012,Bongino,0.00,Loss,0 Massachusetts,2008,Kerry,1.00,Win,1 Massachusetts,2008,Beatty,0.00,Lose,0 Massachusetts,2012,Warren,0.94,Win,1 Massachusetts,2012,Brown,0.06,Loss,0 Michigan,2008,Levin,1.00,Win,1 Michigan,2008,Hoogendyk,0.00,Lose,0 Michigan,2012,Stabenow,1.00,Win,1 Michigan,2012,Hoekstra,0.00,Loss,0 Minnesota,2008,Franken,0.52,Win,1 Minnesota,2008,Coleman,0.48,Lose,0 Minnesota,2012,Klobuchar,1.00,Win,1 Minnesota,2012,Bills,0.00,Loss,0 Mississippi,2008,Cochran,1.00,Win,1 Mississippi,2008,Fleming,0.00,Lose,0 Mississippi,2012,Wicker,1.00,Win,1 Mississippi,2012,Gore,0.00,Loss,0 Mississippi (special election),2008,Wicker,0.94,Win,1 Mississippi (special election),2008,Musgrove,0.06,Lose,0 Missouri,2010,Blunt,0.99,Win,1 Missouri,2010,Carnahan,0.01,Loss,0 Missouri,2012,McCaskill,0.98,Win,1 Missouri,2012,Akin,0.02,Loss,0 Montana,2008,Baucus,1.00,Win,1 Montana,2008,Kelleher,0.00,Lose,0 Montana,2012,Rehberg,0.66,Win,1 Montana,2012,Tester,0.34,Loss,0 Nebraska,2008,Johanns,0.99,Win,1 Nebraska,2008,Kleeb,0.01,Lose,0 Nebraska,2012,Fischer,0.99,Win,1 Nebraska,2012,Kerrey,0.01,Loss,0 Nevada,2010,Angle,0.83,Loss,0 Nevada,2010,Reid,0.17,Win,1 Nevada,2012,Heller,0.83,Win,1 Nevada,2012,Berkeley,0.17,Loss,0 New Hampshire,2008,Shaheen,0.99,Win,1 New Hampshire,2008,Sununu,0.01,Lose,0 New Hampshire,2010,Ayotte,1.00,Win,1 New Hampshire,2010,Hodes,0.00,Loss,0 New Jersey,2008,Lautenberg,1.00,Win,1 New Jersey,2008,Zimmer,0.00,Lose,0 New Jersey,2012,Menendez,1.00,Win,1 New Jersey,2012,Kyrillos,0.00,Loss,0 New Mexico,2008,T. Udall,1.00,Win,1 New Mexico,2008,Pearce,0.00,Lose,0 New Mexico,2012,Heinrich,0.97,Win,1 New Mexico,2012,Wilson,0.03,Loss,0 New York,2010,Schumer,1.00,Win,1 New York,2010,Townsend,0.00,Loss,0 New York,2012,Gillibrand,1.00,Win,1 New York,2012,Long,0.00,Loss,0 New York (special election),2010,Gillibrand,1.00,Win,1 New York (special election),2010,DioGuardi,0.00,Loss,0 North Carolina,2008,Hagan,0.88,Win,1 North Carolina,2008,Dole,0.12,Lose,0 North Carolina,2010,Burr,1.00,Win,1 North Carolina,2010,Marshall,0.00,Loss,0 North Dakota,2010,Hoeven,1.00,Win,1 North Dakota,2010,Potter,0.00,Loss,0 North Dakota,2012,Berg,0.92,Loss,0 North Dakota,2012,Heitkamp,0.08,Win,1 Ohio,2010,Portman,1.00,Win,1 Ohio,2010,Fisher,0.00,Loss,0 Ohio,2012,Brown,0.97,Win,1 Ohio,2012,Mandel,0.03,Loss,0 Oklahoma,2008,Inhofe,1.00,Win,1 Oklahoma,2008,Rice,0.00,Lose,0 Oklahoma,2010,Coburn,1.00,Win,1 Oklahoma,2010,Rogers,0.00,Loss,0 Oregon,2008,Merkley,0.92,Win,1 Oregon,2008,Smith,0.08,Lose,0 Oregon,2010,Wyden,1.00,Win,1 Oregon,2010,Huffman,0.00,Loss,0 Pennsylvania,2010,Toomey,0.97,Win,1 Pennsylvania,2010,Sestak,0.03,Loss,0 Pennsylvania,2012,Casey,0.99,Win,1 Pennsylvania,2012,Smith,0.01,Loss,0 Rhode Island,2008,Reed,1.00,Win,1 Rhode Island,2008,Tingle,0.00,Lose,0 Rhode Island,2012,Whitehouse,1.00,Win,1 Rhode Island,2012,Hinkley,0.00,Loss,0 South Carolina,2008,Graham,1.00,Win,1 South Carolina,2008,Conley,0.00,Lose,0 South Carolina,2010,DeMint,1.00,Win,1 South Carolina,2010,Greene,0.00,Loss,0 South Dakota,2008,Johnson,1.00,Win,1 South Dakota,2008,Dykstra,0.00,Lose,0 South Dakota,2010,Thune,1.00,Win,1 Tennessee,2008,Alexander,1.00,Win,1 Tennessee,2008,Tuke,0.00,Lose,0 Tennessee,2012,Corker,1.00,Win,1 Tennessee,2012,Clayton,0.00,Loss,0 Texas,2008,Cornyn,1.00,Win,1 Texas,2008,Noriega,0.00,Lose,0 Texas,2012,Cruz,1.00,Win,1 Texas,2012,Sadler,0.00,Loss,0 Utah,2010,Lee,1.00,Win,1 Utah,2010,Granato,0.00,Loss,0 Utah,2012,Hatch,1.00,Win,1 Utah,2012,Lowell,0.00,Loss,0 Vermont,2010,Leahy,1.00,Win,1 Vermont,2010,Britton,0.00,Loss,0 Vermont,2012,Sanders,1.00,Win,1 Vermont,2012,MacGovern,0.00,Loss,0 Virginia,2008,Warner,1.00,Win,1 Virginia,2008,Gilmore,0.00,Lose,0 Virginia,2012,Kaine,0.88,Win,1 Virginia,2012,Allen,0.12,Loss,0 Washington,2010,Murray,0.80,Win,1 Washington,2010,Rossi,0.20,Loss,0 Washington,2012,Cantwell,0.88,Win,1 Washington,2012,Baumgartner,0.12,Loss,0 West Virginia,2010,Manchin,0.89,Win,1 West Virginia,2010,Raese,0.11,Loss,0 West Virginia,2012,Manchin,0.92,Win,1 West Virginia,2012,Raese,0.08,Loss,0 Wisconsin,2010,Johnson,0.97,Win,1 Wisconsin,2010,Feingold,0.03,Loss,0 Wisconsin,2012,Thompson,0.79,Win,1 Wisconsin,2012,Baldwin,0.21,Loss,0 Wyoming,2008,Enzi,1.00,Win,1 Wyoming,2008,Rothfuss,0.00,Lose,0 Wyoming,2012,Barrasso,1.00,Win,1 Wyoming,2012,Chestnut,0.00,Loss,0 Wyoming (special election),2008,Barrasso,1.00,Win,1 Wyoming (special election),2008,Carter,0.00,Lose,0 \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/forecast-methodology/senate-calibration.csv b/forecast-methodology/senate-calibration.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1de2ae1 --- /dev/null +++ b/forecast-methodology/senate-calibration.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +state,year,candidate,forecast_prob,result,winflag Alabama,2008,Sessions,1.00,Win,1 Alabama,2008,Figures,0.00,Lose,0 Alabama,2010,Shelby,1.00,Win,1 Alabama,2010,Barnes,0.00,Loss,0 Alaska,2008,Begich,1.00,Win,1 Alaska,2008,Stevens,0.00,Lose,0 Alaska,2010,Miller,0.71,Lose,0 Alaska,2010,Murkowski,0.21,Win,1 Alaska,2010,McAdams,0.08,Loss,0 Arizona,2010,Glassman,1.00,Win,1 Arizona,2010,McCain,0.00,Loss,0 Arizona,2012,Flake,0.96,Win,1 Arizona,2012,Carmona,0.04,Loss,0 Arkansas,2008,Pryor,1.00,Win,1 Arkansas,2010,Boozman,1.00,Win,1 Arkansas,2010,Lincoln,0.00,Loss,0 California,2012,Feinstein,1.00,Win,1 California,2012,Emken,0.00,Loss,0 Colorado,2008,M. Udall,1.00,Win,1 Colorado,2008,Schaeffer,0.00,Lose,0 Colorado,2010,Buck,0.65,Loss,0 Colorado,2010,Bennett,0.35,Win,1 Connecticut,2010,Blumenthal,1.00,Win,1 Connecticut,2010,McMahon,0.00,Loss,0 Connecticut,2012,Murphy,0.96,Win,1 Connecticut,2012,McMahon,0.04,Loss,0 Delaware,2008,Biden,1.00,Win,1 Delaware,2008,O'Connell,0.00,Lose,0 Delaware,2010,Coons,1.00,Win,1 Delaware,2010,O'Donnell,0.00,Loss,0 Delaware,2012,Carper,1.00,Win,1 Delaware,2012,Wade,0.00,Loss,0 Florida,2010,Rubio,0.97,Win,1 Florida,2010,Crist,0.03,Loss,0 Florida,2010,Meeks,0.00,Loss,0 Florida,2012,Nelson,1.00,Win,1 Florida,2012,Mack,0.00,Loss,0 Georgia,2008,Chambilss,0.88,Win,1 Georgia,2008,Martin,0.12,Lose,0 Georgia,2010,Isakson,1.00,Win,1 Georgia,2010,Thurmond,0.00,Loss,0 Hawaii,2010,Inouye,1.00,Win,1 Hawaii,2010,Cavasso,0.00,Loss,0 Hawaii,2012,Hirono,1.00,Win,1 Hawaii,2012,Lingle,0.00,Loss,0 Idaho,2008,Risch,1.00,Win,1 Idaho,2008,LaRocco,0.00,Lose,0 Idaho,2010,Crapo,1.00,Win,1 Idaho,2010,Sullivan,0.00,Loss,0 Illinois,2008,Durbin,1.00,Win,1 Illinois,2008,Sauerberg,0.00,Lose,0 Illinois,2010,Kirk,0.69,Win,1 Illinois,2010,Giannoulias,0.31,Loss,0 Indiana,2010,Coats,1.00,Win,1 Indiana,2010,Ellsworth,0.00,Loss,0 Indiana,2012,Donnelly,0.70,Win,1 Indiana,2012,Lingle,0.30,Loss,0 Iowa,2008,Harkin,1.00,Win,1 Iowa,2008,Reed,0.00,Lose,0 Iowa,2010,Grassley,1.00,Win,1 Iowa,2010,Conlin,0.00,Loss,0 Kansas,2008,Roberts,1.00,Win,1 Kansas,2008,Slattery,0.00,Lose,0 Kansas,2010,Moran,1.00,Win,1 Kansas,2010,Johnston,0.00,Loss,0 Kentucky,2008,McConnell,0.92,Win,1 Kentucky,2008,Lunsford,0.08,Lose,0 Kentucky,2010,Paul,1.00,Win,1 Kentucky,2010,Conway,0.00,Loss,0 Louisiana,2008,Landireu,1.00,Win,1 Louisiana,2008,Kennedy,0.00,Lose,0 Louisiana,2010,Vitter,1.00,Win,1 Louisiana,2010,Melancon,0.00,Loss,0 Maine,2008,Collins,1.00,Win,1 Maine,2008,Allen,0.00,Lose,0 Maine,2012,King,0.93,Win,1 Maine,2012,Summers,0.06,Loss,0 Maine,2012,Dill,0.01,Loss,0 Maryland,2010,Murkowski,1.00,Win,1 Maryland,2010,Wargotz,0.00,Loss,0 Maryland,2012,Cardin,1.00,Win,1 Maryland,2012,Bongino,0.00,Loss,0 Massachusetts,2008,Kerry,1.00,Win,1 Massachusetts,2008,Beatty,0.00,Lose,0 Massachusetts,2012,Warren,0.94,Win,1 Massachusetts,2012,Brown,0.06,Loss,0 Michigan,2008,Levin,1.00,Win,1 Michigan,2008,Hoogendyk,0.00,Lose,0 Michigan,2012,Stabenow,1.00,Win,1 Michigan,2012,Hoekstra,0.00,Loss,0 Minnesota,2008,Franken,0.52,Win,1 Minnesota,2008,Coleman,0.48,Lose,0 Minnesota,2012,Klobuchar,1.00,Win,1 Minnesota,2012,Bills,0.00,Loss,0 Mississippi,2008,Cochran,1.00,Win,1 Mississippi,2008,Fleming,0.00,Lose,0 Mississippi,2012,Wicker,1.00,Win,1 Mississippi,2012,Gore,0.00,Loss,0 Mississippi (special election),2008,Wicker,0.94,Win,1 Mississippi (special election),2008,Musgrove,0.06,Lose,0 Missouri,2010,Blunt,0.99,Win,1 Missouri,2010,Carnahan,0.01,Loss,0 Missouri,2012,McCaskill,0.98,Win,1 Missouri,2012,Akin,0.02,Loss,0 Montana,2008,Baucus,1.00,Win,1 Montana,2008,Kelleher,0.00,Lose,0 Montana,2012,Rehberg,0.66,Win,1 Montana,2012,Tester,0.34,Loss,0 Nebraska,2008,Johanns,0.99,Win,1 Nebraska,2008,Kleeb,0.01,Lose,0 Nebraska,2012,Fischer,0.99,Win,1 Nebraska,2012,Kerrey,0.01,Loss,0 Nevada,2010,Angle,0.83,Loss,0 Nevada,2010,Reid,0.17,Win,1 Nevada,2012,Heller,0.83,Win,1 Nevada,2012,Berkeley,0.17,Loss,0 New Hampshire,2008,Shaheen,0.99,Win,1 New Hampshire,2008,Sununu,0.01,Lose,0 New Hampshire,2010,Ayotte,1.00,Win,1 New Hampshire,2010,Hodes,0.00,Loss,0 New Jersey,2008,Lautenberg,1.00,Win,1 New Jersey,2008,Zimmer,0.00,Lose,0 New Jersey,2012,Menendez,1.00,Win,1 New Jersey,2012,Kyrillos,0.00,Loss,0 New Mexico,2008,T. Udall,1.00,Win,1 New Mexico,2008,Pearce,0.00,Lose,0 New Mexico,2012,Heinrich,0.97,Win,1 New Mexico,2012,Wilson,0.03,Loss,0 New York,2010,Schumer,1.00,Win,1 New York,2010,Townsend,0.00,Loss,0 New York,2012,Gillibrand,1.00,Win,1 New York,2012,Long,0.00,Loss,0 New York (special election),2010,Gillibrand,1.00,Win,1 New York (special election),2010,DioGuardi,0.00,Loss,0 North Carolina,2008,Hagan,0.88,Win,1 North Carolina,2008,Dole,0.12,Lose,0 North Carolina,2010,Burr,1.00,Win,1 North Carolina,2010,Marshall,0.00,Loss,0 North Dakota,2010,Hoeven,1.00,Win,1 North Dakota,2010,Potter,0.00,Loss,0 North Dakota,2012,Berg,0.92,Loss,0 North Dakota,2012,Heitkamp,0.08,Win,1 Ohio,2010,Portman,1.00,Win,1 Ohio,2010,Fisher,0.00,Loss,0 Ohio,2012,Brown,0.97,Win,1 Ohio,2012,Mandel,0.03,Loss,0 Oklahoma,2008,Inhofe,1.00,Win,1 Oklahoma,2008,Rice,0.00,Lose,0 Oklahoma,2010,Coburn,1.00,Win,1 Oklahoma,2010,Rogers,0.00,Loss,0 Oregon,2008,Merkley,0.92,Win,1 Oregon,2008,Smith,0.08,Lose,0 Oregon,2010,Wyden,1.00,Win,1 Oregon,2010,Huffman,0.00,Loss,0 Pennsylvania,2010,Toomey,0.97,Win,1 Pennsylvania,2010,Sestak,0.03,Loss,0 Pennsylvania,2012,Casey,0.99,Win,1 Pennsylvania,2012,Smith,0.01,Loss,0 Rhode Island,2008,Reed,1.00,Win,1 Rhode Island,2008,Tingle,0.00,Lose,0 Rhode Island,2012,Whitehouse,1.00,Win,1 Rhode Island,2012,Hinkley,0.00,Loss,0 South Carolina,2008,Graham,1.00,Win,1 South Carolina,2008,Conley,0.00,Lose,0 South Carolina,2010,DeMint,1.00,Win,1 South Carolina,2010,Greene,0.00,Loss,0 South Dakota,2008,Johnson,1.00,Win,1 South Dakota,2008,Dykstra,0.00,Lose,0 South Dakota,2010,Thune,1.00,Win,1 Tennessee,2008,Alexander,1.00,Win,1 Tennessee,2008,Tuke,0.00,Lose,0 Tennessee,2012,Corker,1.00,Win,1 Tennessee,2012,Clayton,0.00,Loss,0 Texas,2008,Cornyn,1.00,Win,1 Texas,2008,Noriega,0.00,Lose,0 Texas,2012,Cruz,1.00,Win,1 Texas,2012,Sadler,0.00,Loss,0 Utah,2010,Lee,1.00,Win,1 Utah,2010,Granato,0.00,Loss,0 Utah,2012,Hatch,1.00,Win,1 Utah,2012,Lowell,0.00,Loss,0 Vermont,2010,Leahy,1.00,Win,1 Vermont,2010,Britton,0.00,Loss,0 Vermont,2012,Sanders,1.00,Win,1 Vermont,2012,MacGovern,0.00,Loss,0 Virginia,2008,Warner,1.00,Win,1 Virginia,2008,Gilmore,0.00,Lose,0 Virginia,2012,Kaine,0.88,Win,1 Virginia,2012,Allen,0.12,Loss,0 Washington,2010,Murray,0.80,Win,1 Washington,2010,Rossi,0.20,Loss,0 Washington,2012,Cantwell,0.88,Win,1 Washington,2012,Baumgartner,0.12,Loss,0 West Virginia,2010,Manchin,0.89,Win,1 West Virginia,2010,Raese,0.11,Loss,0 West Virginia,2012,Manchin,0.92,Win,1 West Virginia,2012,Raese,0.08,Loss,0 Wisconsin,2010,Johnson,0.97,Win,1 Wisconsin,2010,Feingold,0.03,Loss,0 Wisconsin,2012,Thompson,0.79,Win,1 Wisconsin,2012,Baldwin,0.21,Loss,0 Wyoming,2008,Enzi,1.00,Win,1 Wyoming,2008,Rothfuss,0.00,Lose,0 Wyoming,2012,Barrasso,1.00,Win,1 Wyoming,2012,Chestnut,0.00,Loss,0 Wyoming (special election),2008,Barrasso,1.00,Win,1 Wyoming (special election),2008,Carter,0.00,Lose,0 \ No newline at end of file