# Historical FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasts

This folder contains the data behind the story [How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works](http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-fivethirtyeight-senate-forecast-model-works/).

Header | Definition
---|---------
`state` | Election
`year` | Year of election
`candidate` | Last name
`forecast_prob` | Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast
`result` | `Win` or `Loss`

For archived results, see:

 * **2008** https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
 * **2010** http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate
 * **2012** http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/