Historical results of NBA draft projection model, 2001-2015. Header | Definition ---|--------- `Player` | Player name `Position` | The player's position going into the draft `ID` | The player's identification code `Draft Year` | The year the player was eligible for the NBA draft `Projected SPM` | The model's projected statistical plus/minus over years 2-5 of the player's NBA career `Superstar` | Probability of becoming a superstar player (1 per draft, SPM >= +3.3) `Starter` | Probability of becoming a starting-caliber player (10 per draft, SPM >= +0.5) `Role Player` | Probability of becoming a role player (25 per draft, SPM >= -1.4) `Bust` | Probability of becoming a bust (everyone else, SPM < -1.4) http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/projecting-the-top-50-players-in-the-2015-nba-draft-class/