538data/forecast-methodology

Airline safety data

The data behind the story, Here’s What’s Under The Hood Of Our Senate Forecasting Model

Header	Definition
state	Election
year	Year of election
candidate	Last name
forecast_prob	Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast
result	Win or Loss

For archived results, see:

• 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
• 2010 http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate
• 2012 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/