Merge pull request #10 from fivethirtyeight/early-senate-polls

Early senate polls
This commit is contained in:
Andrei Scheinkman
2014-04-17 13:22:04 -04:00
2 changed files with 110 additions and 1 deletions

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@@ -4,4 +4,5 @@ March 17, 2014 | [FiveThirtyEights NCAA Tournament Predictions](http://fiveth
March 27, 2014 | [The NCAA Bracket: Checking Our Work](http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-ncaa-bracket-checking-our-work) | `historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv`
April 1, 2014 | [The Dollar-And-Cents Case Against Hollywoods Exclusion of Women](http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-dollar-and-cents-case-against-hollywoods-exclusion-of-women) | `bechdel`
April 11, 2014 | [Where Are Americas Librarians?](http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/where-are-americas-librarians) | `librarians`
April 14, 2014 | [Do Pulitzers Help Newspapers Keep Readers?](http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/do-pulitzers-help-newspapers-keep-readers) | `pulitzer`
April 14, 2014 | [Do Pulitzers Help Newspapers Keep Readers?](http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/do-pulitzers-help-newspapers-keep-readers) | `pulitzer`
April 16, 2014 | [Early Senate Polls Have Plenty to Tell Us About November](http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-senate-polls-have-plenty-to-tell-us-about-november/) | `early-senate-polls`

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@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
year,election_result,presidential_approval,poll_average
2006,-39,46,-28
2006,-10,33,-10
2006,-9,32,-1
2006,-16,33,-15
2006,40,53,39
2006,10,44,14
2006,-2,37,2
2006,-41,39,-22
2006,-31,42,-27
2006,53,33,40
2006,-24,31,-28
2006,-22,39,-21
2006,-17,36,-15
2006,-7,26,6
2006,3,42,3
2006,-35,29,-42
2006,0,41,14
2006,-20,38,-6
2006,-1,46,-3
2006,-12,36,-2
2006,-17,34,-12
2006,14,38,23
2006,-36,29,-26
2006,-28,52,-19
2006,26,48,28
2008,23,41,25
2008,3,41,17
2008,-6,45,-6
2008,10,41,-4
2008,0,28,6
2008,-31,30,-22
2008,-6,24,-12
2008,24,48,15
2008,-35,15,-31
2008,-3,30,4
2008,27,44,26
2008,-29,26,-20
2008,12,44,10
2008,-25,32,-16
2008,-25,40,-35
2008,-8,34,7
2008,24,39,16
2008,-10,33,-6
2008,6,38,6
2008,34,38,30
2008,23,26,17
2008,-23,30,-18
2008,17,41,21
2008,18,47,20
2008,-14,27,-9
2008,-1,41,-3
2010,-21,40,-18
2010,-31,48,-23
2010,-45,37,-39
2010,5,51,0
2010,18,48,18
2010,-44,40,-36
2010,6,48,0
2010,-11,39,-3
2010,33,53,35
2010,-12,47,-9
2010,12,55,22
2010,-34,44,-37
2010,-6,48,3
2010,-2,54,-6
2010,-17,48,-2
2010,-30,42,-27
2010,-46,34,-44
2010,-54,42,-49
2010,-2,47,-7
2010,-19,43,-16
2010,-14,42,-2
2010,34,57,29
2010,10,55,5
2010,28,57,21
2010,-19,46,-27
2010,2,46,-1
2010,-23,42,-10
2010,-15,44,-16
2010,-24,41,-21
2010,-29,34,-28
2012,46,58,36
2012,6,41,0
2012,21,51,13
2012,9,47,16
2012,6,47,3
2012,13,48,5
2012,1,33,3
2012,24,33,52
2012,-1,46,-4
2012,6,50,-5
2012,-35,28,-34
2012,25,54,18
2012,35,50,26
2012,6,46,-1
2012,-3,44,-9
2012,-16,44,-10
2012,19,55,15
2012,4,38,-3
2012,21,51,11
2012,30,58,22
2012,12,56,9
2012,8,56,-2
2012,16,41,-1
2012,25,64,12
2012,-16,37,-17
2012,6,47,9
1 year election_result presidential_approval poll_average
2 2006 -39 46 -28
3 2006 -10 33 -10
4 2006 -9 32 -1
5 2006 -16 33 -15
6 2006 40 53 39
7 2006 10 44 14
8 2006 -2 37 2
9 2006 -41 39 -22
10 2006 -31 42 -27
11 2006 53 33 40
12 2006 -24 31 -28
13 2006 -22 39 -21
14 2006 -17 36 -15
15 2006 -7 26 6
16 2006 3 42 3
17 2006 -35 29 -42
18 2006 0 41 14
19 2006 -20 38 -6
20 2006 -1 46 -3
21 2006 -12 36 -2
22 2006 -17 34 -12
23 2006 14 38 23
24 2006 -36 29 -26
25 2006 -28 52 -19
26 2006 26 48 28
27 2008 23 41 25
28 2008 3 41 17
29 2008 -6 45 -6
30 2008 10 41 -4
31 2008 0 28 6
32 2008 -31 30 -22
33 2008 -6 24 -12
34 2008 24 48 15
35 2008 -35 15 -31
36 2008 -3 30 4
37 2008 27 44 26
38 2008 -29 26 -20
39 2008 12 44 10
40 2008 -25 32 -16
41 2008 -25 40 -35
42 2008 -8 34 7
43 2008 24 39 16
44 2008 -10 33 -6
45 2008 6 38 6
46 2008 34 38 30
47 2008 23 26 17
48 2008 -23 30 -18
49 2008 17 41 21
50 2008 18 47 20
51 2008 -14 27 -9
52 2008 -1 41 -3
53 2010 -21 40 -18
54 2010 -31 48 -23
55 2010 -45 37 -39
56 2010 5 51 0
57 2010 18 48 18
58 2010 -44 40 -36
59 2010 6 48 0
60 2010 -11 39 -3
61 2010 33 53 35
62 2010 -12 47 -9
63 2010 12 55 22
64 2010 -34 44 -37
65 2010 -6 48 3
66 2010 -2 54 -6
67 2010 -17 48 -2
68 2010 -30 42 -27
69 2010 -46 34 -44
70 2010 -54 42 -49
71 2010 -2 47 -7
72 2010 -19 43 -16
73 2010 -14 42 -2
74 2010 34 57 29
75 2010 10 55 5
76 2010 28 57 21
77 2010 -19 46 -27
78 2010 2 46 -1
79 2010 -23 42 -10
80 2010 -15 44 -16
81 2010 -24 41 -21
82 2010 -29 34 -28
83 2012 46 58 36
84 2012 6 41 0
85 2012 21 51 13
86 2012 9 47 16
87 2012 6 47 3
88 2012 13 48 5
89 2012 1 33 3
90 2012 24 33 52
91 2012 -1 46 -4
92 2012 6 50 -5
93 2012 -35 28 -34
94 2012 25 54 18
95 2012 35 50 26
96 2012 6 46 -1
97 2012 -3 44 -9
98 2012 -16 44 -10
99 2012 19 55 15
100 2012 4 38 -3
101 2012 21 51 11
102 2012 30 58 22
103 2012 12 56 9
104 2012 8 56 -2
105 2012 16 41 -1
106 2012 25 64 12
107 2012 -16 37 -17
108 2012 6 47 9