jprdonnelly/538data
1
0
Fork 0
mirror of https://github.com/jprdonnelly/538data.git synced 2025-12-19 17:37:43 -05:00
Code Issues Packages Projects Releases Wiki Activity

Update WWC forecast

Browse Source
This commit is contained in:
Jay Boice
2015-06-12 18:53:34 -04:00
parent 53eedabc49
commit 222970bd16
2 changed files with 62 additions and 0 deletions
Download Patch File Download Diff File Expand all files Collapse all files

25
womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150612-185329.csv Normal file
View File

@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
USA,D,95.45608839,3.70742599,0.43697703,0.83210,0.14180,0.01560,0.00015,0.01035,0.98950,0.87975,0.75270,0.44770,0.31270
Germany,B,95.75138588,3.79367026,0.39591616,0.96105,0.03550,0.00340,0.00005,0.00000,0.99995,0.82255,0.61290,0.37650,0.27305
Japan,C,92.59029200,2.84149007,0.53686100,0.86105,0.12035,0.01855,0.00005,0.00000,0.99995,0.78605,0.39665,0.23765,0.09030
Canada,A,89.71710890,2.24318168,0.66149610,0.69160,0.12370,0.18465,0.00005,0.00000,0.99995,0.71815,0.39320,0.18655,0.06675
France,F,92.46907058,2.85220813,0.58569694,0.89550,0.08720,0.01260,0.00010,0.00460,0.99530,0.75860,0.29740,0.12925,0.06595
Brazil,E,92.32312116,2.80494843,0.57819044,0.90480,0.08565,0.00770,0.00025,0.00160,0.99815,0.53565,0.29885,0.17690,0.06450
Sweden,D,91.63560595,2.75991775,0.72782965,0.12500,0.39190,0.14655,0.22595,0.11060,0.66345,0.34855,0.20770,0.10370,0.04150
Norway,B,89.13667545,2.22924418,0.78336151,0.03820,0.96150,0.00025,0.00005,0.00000,0.99995,0.55005,0.27610,0.10145,0.02390
England,F,89.31723200,2.21097305,0.72118917,0.06085,0.61650,0.19035,0.02480,0.10750,0.86770,0.40870,0.20300,0.08020,0.02300
Australia,D,89.24977714,2.41945389,0.96526406,0.04195,0.44625,0.43940,0.03885,0.03355,0.92760,0.30650,0.14575,0.06470,0.01975
Netherlands,A,86.03929637,1.83715016,1.01071309,0.15280,0.10325,0.60095,0.04085,0.10215,0.85700,0.29265,0.08620,0.02750,0.00545
China,A,85.31959651,1.45245349,0.72665490,0.15560,0.50315,0.13430,0.00600,0.20095,0.79305,0.39605,0.09185,0.02025,0.00415
Switzerland,C,83.54265243,1.80711532,1.43636899,0.00815,0.42435,0.49180,0.05355,0.02215,0.92430,0.33215,0.07300,0.01465,0.00260
Spain,E,84.12232148,1.56334453,1.06773788,0.06665,0.37260,0.11715,0.25005,0.19355,0.55640,0.12200,0.02585,0.00690,0.00165
South Korea,E,83.88292466,1.67884476,1.23650927,0.01800,0.41580,0.28220,0.05810,0.22590,0.71600,0.13465,0.02990,0.00615,0.00125
Cameroon,C,80.55170540,1.24315897,1.31617023,0.13080,0.45465,0.41300,0.00140,0.00015,0.99845,0.31195,0.05075,0.00870,0.00115
Nigeria,D,86.01570075,1.77087198,0.94273515,0.00095,0.02005,0.06400,0.06950,0.84550,0.08500,0.01730,0.00695,0.00240,0.00085
New Zealand,A,82.44130500,1.37145807,1.14684109,0.00000,0.26990,0.03320,0.00000,0.69690,0.30310,0.13490,0.01960,0.00320,0.00075
Mexico,F,80.99383081,1.51483741,1.54230059,0.02740,0.17180,0.10565,0.31780,0.37735,0.30485,0.07180,0.01860,0.00375,0.00050
Colombia,F,78.11319560,0.86587310,1.28457719,0.01625,0.12450,0.08235,0.26635,0.51055,0.22310,0.04170,0.01105,0.00175,0.00025
Thailand,B,68.17844830,0.92106097,2.75634397,0.00065,0.00300,0.54070,0.45345,0.00220,0.54435,0.01675,0.00090,0.00010,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,73.71440075,0.87175090,1.94321825,0.01055,0.12595,0.10265,0.18190,0.57895,0.23915,0.01315,0.00110,0.00005,0.00000
Ecuador,C,59.00676402,0.43516686,3.38901251,0.00000,0.00065,0.01160,0.01005,0.97770,0.01225,0.00030,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.25340810,1.32768352,2.78687566,0.00000,0.00000,0.00140,0.00080,0.99780,0.00140,0.00010,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 USA D 95.45608839 3.70742599 0.43697703 0.83210 0.14180 0.01560 0.00015 0.01035 0.98950 0.87975 0.75270 0.44770 0.31270
3 Germany B 95.75138588 3.79367026 0.39591616 0.96105 0.03550 0.00340 0.00005 0.00000 0.99995 0.82255 0.61290 0.37650 0.27305
4 Japan C 92.59029200 2.84149007 0.53686100 0.86105 0.12035 0.01855 0.00005 0.00000 0.99995 0.78605 0.39665 0.23765 0.09030
5 Canada A 89.71710890 2.24318168 0.66149610 0.69160 0.12370 0.18465 0.00005 0.00000 0.99995 0.71815 0.39320 0.18655 0.06675
6 France F 92.46907058 2.85220813 0.58569694 0.89550 0.08720 0.01260 0.00010 0.00460 0.99530 0.75860 0.29740 0.12925 0.06595
7 Brazil E 92.32312116 2.80494843 0.57819044 0.90480 0.08565 0.00770 0.00025 0.00160 0.99815 0.53565 0.29885 0.17690 0.06450
8 Sweden D 91.63560595 2.75991775 0.72782965 0.12500 0.39190 0.14655 0.22595 0.11060 0.66345 0.34855 0.20770 0.10370 0.04150
9 Norway B 89.13667545 2.22924418 0.78336151 0.03820 0.96150 0.00025 0.00005 0.00000 0.99995 0.55005 0.27610 0.10145 0.02390
10 England F 89.31723200 2.21097305 0.72118917 0.06085 0.61650 0.19035 0.02480 0.10750 0.86770 0.40870 0.20300 0.08020 0.02300
11 Australia D 89.24977714 2.41945389 0.96526406 0.04195 0.44625 0.43940 0.03885 0.03355 0.92760 0.30650 0.14575 0.06470 0.01975
12 Netherlands A 86.03929637 1.83715016 1.01071309 0.15280 0.10325 0.60095 0.04085 0.10215 0.85700 0.29265 0.08620 0.02750 0.00545
13 China A 85.31959651 1.45245349 0.72665490 0.15560 0.50315 0.13430 0.00600 0.20095 0.79305 0.39605 0.09185 0.02025 0.00415
14 Switzerland C 83.54265243 1.80711532 1.43636899 0.00815 0.42435 0.49180 0.05355 0.02215 0.92430 0.33215 0.07300 0.01465 0.00260
15 Spain E 84.12232148 1.56334453 1.06773788 0.06665 0.37260 0.11715 0.25005 0.19355 0.55640 0.12200 0.02585 0.00690 0.00165
16 South Korea E 83.88292466 1.67884476 1.23650927 0.01800 0.41580 0.28220 0.05810 0.22590 0.71600 0.13465 0.02990 0.00615 0.00125
17 Cameroon C 80.55170540 1.24315897 1.31617023 0.13080 0.45465 0.41300 0.00140 0.00015 0.99845 0.31195 0.05075 0.00870 0.00115
18 Nigeria D 86.01570075 1.77087198 0.94273515 0.00095 0.02005 0.06400 0.06950 0.84550 0.08500 0.01730 0.00695 0.00240 0.00085
19 New Zealand A 82.44130500 1.37145807 1.14684109 0.00000 0.26990 0.03320 0.00000 0.69690 0.30310 0.13490 0.01960 0.00320 0.00075
20 Mexico F 80.99383081 1.51483741 1.54230059 0.02740 0.17180 0.10565 0.31780 0.37735 0.30485 0.07180 0.01860 0.00375 0.00050
21 Colombia F 78.11319560 0.86587310 1.28457719 0.01625 0.12450 0.08235 0.26635 0.51055 0.22310 0.04170 0.01105 0.00175 0.00025
22 Thailand B 68.17844830 0.92106097 2.75634397 0.00065 0.00300 0.54070 0.45345 0.00220 0.54435 0.01675 0.00090 0.00010 0.00000
23 Costa Rica E 73.71440075 0.87175090 1.94321825 0.01055 0.12595 0.10265 0.18190 0.57895 0.23915 0.01315 0.00110 0.00005 0.00000
24 Ecuador C 59.00676402 0.43516686 3.38901251 0.00000 0.00065 0.01160 0.01005 0.97770 0.01225 0.00030 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ivory Coast B 71.25340810 1.32768352 2.78687566 0.00000 0.00000 0.00140 0.00080 0.99780 0.00140 0.00010 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

37
womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-matches-20150612-185329.csv Normal file
View File

@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,0.86475503,0.02933638,0.10590859
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.58171041,0.20002332,0.21826627
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,0.75514225,0.08433734,0.16052041
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.79899091,0.06045772,0.14055137
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,0.65995175,0.14379062,0.19625764
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,0.62045009,0.17136197,0.20818794
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.62151556,0.17059638,0.20788806
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00400580,0.95174085,0.04425336
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.05328444,0.81309724,0.13361832
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.20891876,0.57011064,0.22097060
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.45522142,0.30504887,0.23972971
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00402920,0.95147013,0.04450068
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.45343703,0.30666112,0.23990186
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.07720836,0.76779500,0.15499665
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.29111144,0.47082508,0.23806348
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.09271859,0.74067411,0.16660729
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,0.68709967,0.12581521,0.18708512
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.02816360,0.86752419,0.10431221
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,0.37195807,0.38450313,0.24353880
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 0.86475503 0.02933638 0.10590859
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.58171041 0.20002332 0.21826627
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 0.75514225 0.08433734 0.16052041
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.79899091 0.06045772 0.14055137
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 0.65995175 0.14379062 0.19625764
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 0.62045009 0.17136197 0.20818794
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.62151556 0.17059638 0.20788806
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00400580 0.95174085 0.04425336
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.05328444 0.81309724 0.13361832
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.20891876 0.57011064 0.22097060
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.45522142 0.30504887 0.23972971
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00402920 0.95147013 0.04450068
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.45343703 0.30666112 0.23990186
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.07720836 0.76779500 0.15499665
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.29111144 0.47082508 0.23806348
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.09271859 0.74067411 0.16660729
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 0.68709967 0.12581521 0.18708512
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.02816360 0.86752419 0.10431221
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 0.37195807 0.38450313 0.24353880