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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-27 18:01:24 -04:00
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150627-180119.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
Germany,B,95.91117028,3.83610853,0.38573816,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.56535,0.42215
USA,D,95.10706105,3.50661101,0.38483612,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.43465,0.29775
Japan,C,92.28069644,2.74230170,0.53060970,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.57945,0.17445
Canada,A,89.38687548,2.15745594,0.65064558,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.57120,0.25515,0.07120
England,F,89.47639786,2.27399506,0.75713592,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.42880,0.16540,0.03445
Australia,D,89.21537319,2.33338414,0.88335857,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
France,F,92.46235297,2.86093906,0.60601447,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
China,A,85.30891474,1.45318608,0.73177495,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Norway,B,88.91578187,2.21028539,0.81739648,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.69961980,2.59698037,0.53873627,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Cameroon,C,81.17715458,1.29315020,1.27052755,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Colombia,F,80.25637321,1.07962595,1.18497741,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Netherlands,A,86.36490082,1.88093065,0.99759666,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Sweden,D,91.34239078,2.68155163,0.73030129,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
South Korea,E,83.19027875,1.68205142,1.36173246,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Switzerland,C,83.70552499,1.87747766,1.48668304,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.45531886,1.46231587,1.07551365,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.34112618,0.89817858,2.70792608,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.83065443,1.48348835,1.20540685,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.86721792,1.38015469,2.75856809,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.73539729,0.93512845,1.86500208,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.40433934,1.48532835,1.60553124,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.86513726,1.71697529,0.91542623,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.69963036,0.48754526,3.60652575,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 Germany B 95.91117028 3.83610853 0.38573816 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.56535 0.42215
3 USA D 95.10706105 3.50661101 0.38483612 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.43465 0.29775
4 Japan C 92.28069644 2.74230170 0.53060970 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.57945 0.17445
5 Canada A 89.38687548 2.15745594 0.65064558 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.57120 0.25515 0.07120
6 England F 89.47639786 2.27399506 0.75713592 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.42880 0.16540 0.03445
7 Australia D 89.21537319 2.33338414 0.88335857 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
8 France F 92.46235297 2.86093906 0.60601447 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
9 China A 85.30891474 1.45318608 0.73177495 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
10 Norway B 88.91578187 2.21028539 0.81739648 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
11 Brazil E 91.69961980 2.59698037 0.53873627 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
12 Cameroon C 81.17715458 1.29315020 1.27052755 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
13 Colombia F 80.25637321 1.07962595 1.18497741 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
14 Netherlands A 86.36490082 1.88093065 0.99759666 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
15 Sweden D 91.34239078 2.68155163 0.73030129 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 South Korea E 83.19027875 1.68205142 1.36173246 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Switzerland C 83.70552499 1.87747766 1.48668304 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Spain E 83.45531886 1.46231587 1.07551365 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Thailand B 68.34112618 0.89817858 2.70792608 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.83065443 1.48348835 1.20540685 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.86721792 1.38015469 2.75856809 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Costa Rica E 74.73539729 0.93512845 1.86500208 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.40433934 1.48532835 1.60553124 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Nigeria D 85.86513726 1.71697529 0.91542623 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.69963036 0.48754526 3.60652575 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-matches-20150627-180119.csv Normal file
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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,China,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,Germany,France,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,Australia,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,England,Canada,0.42871937,0.57128063,0.00000000
2015-06-30,,USA,Germany,0.43892614,0.56107386,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
46 2015-06-26 China USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
47 2015-06-26 Germany France 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
48 2015-06-27 Australia Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
49 2015-06-27 England Canada 0.42871937 0.57128063 0.00000000
50 2015-06-30 USA Germany 0.43892614 0.56107386 0.00000000