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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-07-05 20:55:41 -04:00
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150705-205539.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
USA,D,95.63772683,3.72060494,0.38444090,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000
Japan,C,92.48656821,2.85151854,0.58661748,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000
Germany,B,95.34941382,3.61346515,0.39666340,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000
England,F,89.90945530,2.34198677,0.72700829,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Australia,D,89.19375130,2.32222760,0.87491862,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
France,F,92.39050827,2.84257721,0.60593554,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
China,A,85.29661420,1.45066504,0.73044386,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Canada,A,89.24633242,2.15013955,0.67428507,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Cameroon,C,81.14726598,1.28555215,1.26646929,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Norway,B,88.96149976,2.21710470,0.81332603,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Sweden,D,91.27760318,2.67313719,0.73732785,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Colombia,F,80.32179255,1.08830127,1.18348530,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Netherlands,A,86.32386562,1.87287374,0.99592841,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.65089850,2.59019463,0.54337599,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
South Korea,E,83.17886628,1.68173287,1.36262542,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Switzerland,C,83.69169363,1.87480487,1.48542074,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.45563430,1.46285844,1.07532064,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.27938091,0.89297622,2.71046759,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.82017700,1.47817271,1.20066419,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.65816258,1.37909096,2.78607594,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.76121893,0.93512152,1.86093246,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.49413880,1.48666003,1.59203496,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.83672106,1.71686858,0.91985464,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.67291988,0.48420650,3.60637595,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 USA D 95.63772683 3.72060494 0.38444090 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000
3 Japan C 92.48656821 2.85151854 0.58661748 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000
4 Germany B 95.34941382 3.61346515 0.39666340 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000
5 England F 89.90945530 2.34198677 0.72700829 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000
6 Australia D 89.19375130 2.32222760 0.87491862 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
7 France F 92.39050827 2.84257721 0.60593554 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
8 China A 85.29661420 1.45066504 0.73044386 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
9 Canada A 89.24633242 2.15013955 0.67428507 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
10 Cameroon C 81.14726598 1.28555215 1.26646929 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
11 Norway B 88.96149976 2.21710470 0.81332603 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
12 Sweden D 91.27760318 2.67313719 0.73732785 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
13 Colombia F 80.32179255 1.08830127 1.18348530 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
14 Netherlands A 86.32386562 1.87287374 0.99592841 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
15 Brazil E 91.65089850 2.59019463 0.54337599 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 South Korea E 83.17886628 1.68173287 1.36262542 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Switzerland C 83.69169363 1.87480487 1.48542074 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Spain E 83.45563430 1.46285844 1.07532064 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Thailand B 68.27938091 0.89297622 2.71046759 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.82017700 1.47817271 1.20066419 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.65816258 1.37909096 2.78607594 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Costa Rica E 74.76121893 0.93512152 1.86093246 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.49413880 1.48666003 1.59203496 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Nigeria D 85.83672106 1.71686858 0.91985464 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.67291988 0.48420650 3.60637595 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,China,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,Germany,France,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,Australia,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,England,Canada,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-30,,USA,Germany,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-07-01,,Japan,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-07-04,,Germany,England,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-07-05,,USA,Japan,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
46 2015-06-26 China USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
47 2015-06-26 Germany France 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
48 2015-06-27 Australia Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
49 2015-06-27 England Canada 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
50 2015-06-30 USA Germany 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
51 2015-07-01 Japan England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
52 2015-07-04 Germany England 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
53 2015-07-05 USA Japan 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000