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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-30 21:02:46 -04:00
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150630-210243.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
USA,D,95.26637066,3.55085065,0.36724480,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.69880
Japan,C,92.25279964,2.73551176,0.53191162,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.60510,0.20295
England,F,89.83796771,2.34365926,0.74762104,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.39490,0.09825
Germany,B,95.63867702,3.73222270,0.40039977,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000
France,F,92.42003330,2.85073238,0.60818856,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Australia,D,89.23175836,2.33519795,0.88174895,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
China,A,85.31040358,1.45317375,0.73150416,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Canada,A,89.22334764,2.14503231,0.67549957,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Cameroon,C,81.18242344,1.29277293,1.26918818,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Norway,B,88.92048069,2.21021609,0.81644913,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Sweden,D,91.32526592,2.68016938,0.73389311,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Colombia,F,80.31237789,1.08356692,1.18028907,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Netherlands,A,86.34353247,1.87737017,0.99797911,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.70171895,2.59745197,0.53911375,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
South Korea,E,83.18533290,1.68154913,1.36199792,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Switzerland,C,83.70026735,1.87680999,1.48684674,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.45818075,1.46252083,1.07521586,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.31002340,0.89717987,2.71081367,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.82502131,1.48169978,1.20435935,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.76686540,1.37849918,2.77045679,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.74668878,0.93593183,1.86404094,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.47467464,1.48982950,1.59911713,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.87487630,1.71978574,0.91667137,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.70348565,0.48781304,3.60637323,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 USA D 95.26637066 3.55085065 0.36724480 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.69880
3 Japan C 92.25279964 2.73551176 0.53191162 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.60510 0.20295
4 England F 89.83796771 2.34365926 0.74762104 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.39490 0.09825
5 Germany B 95.63867702 3.73222270 0.40039977 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000
6 France F 92.42003330 2.85073238 0.60818856 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
7 Australia D 89.23175836 2.33519795 0.88174895 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
8 China A 85.31040358 1.45317375 0.73150416 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
9 Canada A 89.22334764 2.14503231 0.67549957 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
10 Cameroon C 81.18242344 1.29277293 1.26918818 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
11 Norway B 88.92048069 2.21021609 0.81644913 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
12 Sweden D 91.32526592 2.68016938 0.73389311 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
13 Colombia F 80.31237789 1.08356692 1.18028907 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
14 Netherlands A 86.34353247 1.87737017 0.99797911 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
15 Brazil E 91.70171895 2.59745197 0.53911375 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 South Korea E 83.18533290 1.68154913 1.36199792 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Switzerland C 83.70026735 1.87680999 1.48684674 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Spain E 83.45818075 1.46252083 1.07521586 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Thailand B 68.31002340 0.89717987 2.71081367 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.82502131 1.48169978 1.20435935 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.76686540 1.37849918 2.77045679 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Costa Rica E 74.74668878 0.93593183 1.86404094 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.47467464 1.48982950 1.59911713 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Nigeria D 85.87487630 1.71978574 0.91667137 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.70348565 0.48781304 3.60637323 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,China,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,Germany,France,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,Australia,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,England,Canada,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-30,,USA,Germany,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-07-01,,Japan,England,0.60880772,0.39119228,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
46 2015-06-26 China USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
47 2015-06-26 Germany France 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
48 2015-06-27 Australia Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
49 2015-06-27 England Canada 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
50 2015-06-30 USA Germany 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
51 2015-07-01 Japan England 0.60880772 0.39119228 0.00000000