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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-20 21:35:15 -04:00
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150620-213513.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
Germany,B,95.98488757,3.87954028,0.39045982,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.76455,0.47885,0.36745
USA,D,95.18457041,3.56032614,0.40398149,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.95040,0.83240,0.40450,0.29230
Japan,C,92.24965537,2.75497829,0.54801016,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.73265,0.40375,0.24370,0.07850
Brazil,E,92.02351025,2.68125750,0.53348338,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.61940,0.33950,0.20305,0.06730
Canada,A,89.50775059,2.20952192,0.67448250,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.75410,0.44295,0.21765,0.06175
France,F,92.27564982,2.84225583,0.63588425,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.79805,0.21940,0.09430,0.05335
England,F,89.19171508,2.22068868,0.76090058,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.50995,0.24265,0.09765,0.02265
Norway,B,89.02192305,2.21322155,0.79197468,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.49005,0.23345,0.09600,0.02155
Australia,D,89.25709085,2.40328162,0.94560677,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.38060,0.16570,0.08335,0.01935
Netherlands,A,86.25856691,1.85678361,0.98827115,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.26735,0.09105,0.03750,0.00660
China,A,85.39188796,1.48345690,0.74577988,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.14850,0.01795,0.00545
Switzerland,C,83.73608654,1.93641009,1.54254336,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.24590,0.08095,0.02110,0.00265
South Korea,E,83.75494571,1.74893750,1.33399205,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.20195,0.01605,0.00305,0.00075
Colombia,F,80.28216919,1.10429067,1.20503313,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.04960,0.01910,0.00135,0.00035
Sweden,D,91.29500494,2.67269974,0.72824320,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Cameroon,C,81.13855357,1.28748381,1.26764741,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.80805821,1.47979431,1.20200917,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.38480901,0.89839755,2.70061794,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.91461053,1.38418329,2.75457683,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.78902163,0.93748232,1.85769193,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.46506061,1.46561073,1.07415963,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.39529903,1.48301706,1.60158277,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.82375106,1.70941800,0.91133656,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.85048039,0.48164135,3.58048975,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 Germany B 95.98488757 3.87954028 0.39045982 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.76455 0.47885 0.36745
3 USA D 95.18457041 3.56032614 0.40398149 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.95040 0.83240 0.40450 0.29230
4 Japan C 92.24965537 2.75497829 0.54801016 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.73265 0.40375 0.24370 0.07850
5 Brazil E 92.02351025 2.68125750 0.53348338 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.61940 0.33950 0.20305 0.06730
6 Canada A 89.50775059 2.20952192 0.67448250 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.75410 0.44295 0.21765 0.06175
7 France F 92.27564982 2.84225583 0.63588425 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.79805 0.21940 0.09430 0.05335
8 England F 89.19171508 2.22068868 0.76090058 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.50995 0.24265 0.09765 0.02265
9 Norway B 89.02192305 2.21322155 0.79197468 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.49005 0.23345 0.09600 0.02155
10 Australia D 89.25709085 2.40328162 0.94560677 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.38060 0.16570 0.08335 0.01935
11 Netherlands A 86.25856691 1.85678361 0.98827115 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.26735 0.09105 0.03750 0.00660
12 China A 85.39188796 1.48345690 0.74577988 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.14850 0.01795 0.00545
13 Switzerland C 83.73608654 1.93641009 1.54254336 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.24590 0.08095 0.02110 0.00265
14 South Korea E 83.75494571 1.74893750 1.33399205 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.20195 0.01605 0.00305 0.00075
15 Colombia F 80.28216919 1.10429067 1.20503313 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.04960 0.01910 0.00135 0.00035
16 Sweden D 91.29500494 2.67269974 0.72824320 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Cameroon C 81.13855357 1.28748381 1.26764741 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 New Zealand A 82.80805821 1.47979431 1.20200917 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Thailand B 68.38480901 0.89839755 2.70061794 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 Ivory Coast B 71.91461053 1.38418329 2.75457683 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Costa Rica E 74.78902163 0.93748232 1.85769193 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Spain E 83.46506061 1.46561073 1.07415963 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.39529903 1.48301706 1.60158277 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Nigeria D 85.82375106 1.70941800 0.91133656 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.85048039 0.48164135 3.58048975 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-matches-20150620-213513.csv Normal file
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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,0.95145088,0.04854912,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,0.79675327,0.20324673,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.62073451,0.37926549,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,0.73120782,0.26879218,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.49329869,0.50670131,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,0.75798892,0.24201108,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 0.95145088 0.04854912 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 0.79675327 0.20324673 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.62073451 0.37926549 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 0.73120782 0.26879218 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.49329869 0.50670131 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 0.75798892 0.24201108 0.00000000