Files
538data/forecast-methodology/README.md
Andrei Scheinkman cca76949e4 update headline
2014-09-17 11:20:43 -04:00

18 lines
706 B
Markdown

### Historical FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasts
The data behind the story [How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works](http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-fivethirtyeight-senate-forecast-model-works/)
Header | Definition
---|---------
`state` | Election
`year` | Year of election
`candidate` | Last name
`forecast_prob` | Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast
`result` | `Win` or `Loss`
For archived results, see:
* **2008** https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
* **2010** http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate
* **2012** http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/