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12 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Harneet Virk
c86db0d7fd Merge pull request #1707 from Azure/release_update/Release-124
update samples from Release-124 as a part of  SDK release
2022-03-08 09:15:45 -08:00
amlrelsa-ms
ccfbbb3b14 update samples from Release-124 as a part of SDK release 2022-03-08 00:37:35 +00:00
Harneet Virk
c42ba64b15 Merge pull request #1700 from Azure/release_update/Release-123
update samples from Release-123 as a part of  SDK release
2022-03-01 16:33:02 -08:00
amlrelsa-ms
6d8bf32243 update samples from Release-123 as a part of SDK release 2022-02-28 17:20:57 +00:00
Harneet Virk
9094da4085 Merge pull request #1684 from Azure/release_update/Release-122
update samples from Release-122 as a part of  SDK release
2022-02-14 11:38:49 -08:00
amlrelsa-ms
ebf9d2855c update samples from Release-122 as a part of SDK release 2022-02-14 19:24:27 +00:00
v-pbavanari
1bbd78eb33 update samples from Release-121 as a part of SDK release (#1678)
Co-authored-by: amlrelsa-ms <amlrelsa@microsoft.com>
2022-02-02 12:28:49 -05:00
v-pbavanari
77f5a69e04 update samples from Release-120 as a part of SDK release (#1676)
Co-authored-by: amlrelsa-ms <amlrelsa@microsoft.com>
2022-01-28 12:51:49 -05:00
raja7592
ce82af2ab0 update samples from Release-118 as a part of SDK release (#1673)
Co-authored-by: amlrelsa-ms <amlrelsa@microsoft.com>
2022-01-24 20:07:35 -05:00
Harneet Virk
2a2d2efa17 Merge pull request #1658 from Azure/release_update/Release-117
Update samples from Release sdk 1.37.0 as a part of  SDK release
2021-12-13 10:36:08 -08:00
amlrelsa-ms
dd494e9cac update samples from Release-117 as a part of SDK release 2021-12-13 16:57:22 +00:00
Harneet Virk
352adb7487 Merge pull request #1629 from Azure/release_update/Release-116
Update samples from Release as a part of SDK release 1.36.0
2021-11-08 09:48:25 -08:00
88 changed files with 5335 additions and 804 deletions

View File

@@ -103,7 +103,7 @@
"source": [
"import azureml.core\n",
"\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},

View File

@@ -188,13 +188,6 @@
"### Script to process data and train model"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"The _process&#95;data.py_ script used in the step below is a slightly modified implementation of [RAPIDS Mortgage E2E example](https://github.com/rapidsai/notebooks-contrib/blob/master/intermediate_notebooks/E2E/mortgage/mortgage_e2e.ipynb)."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
@@ -373,7 +366,7 @@
"run_config.target = gpu_cluster_name\n",
"run_config.environment.docker.enabled = True\n",
"run_config.environment.docker.gpu_support = True\n",
"run_config.environment.docker.base_image = \"mcr.microsoft.com/azureml/base-gpu:intelmpi2018.3-cuda10.0-cudnn7-ubuntu16.04\"\n",
"run_config.environment.docker.base_image = \"mcr.microsoft.com/azureml/openmpi4.1.0-cuda11.1-cudnn8-ubuntu20.04\"\n",
"run_config.environment.spark.precache_packages = False\n",
"run_config.data_references={'data':data_ref.to_config()}"
]

View File

@@ -49,7 +49,7 @@
"* `fairlearn>=0.6.2` (pre-v0.5.0 will work with minor modifications)\n",
"* `joblib`\n",
"* `liac-arff`\n",
"* `raiwidgets~=0.7.0`\n",
"* `raiwidgets`\n",
"\n",
"Fairlearn relies on features introduced in v0.22.1 of `scikit-learn`. If you have an older version already installed, please uncomment and run the following cell:"
]

View File

@@ -6,4 +6,4 @@ dependencies:
- fairlearn>=0.6.2
- joblib
- liac-arff
- raiwidgets~=0.13.0
- raiwidgets~=0.17.0

View File

@@ -51,7 +51,7 @@
"* `fairlearn>=0.6.2` (also works for pre-v0.5.0 with slight modifications)\n",
"* `joblib`\n",
"* `liac-arff`\n",
"* `raiwidgets~=0.7.0`\n",
"* `raiwidgets`\n",
"\n",
"Fairlearn relies on features introduced in v0.22.1 of `scikit-learn`. If you have an older version already installed, please uncomment and run the following cell:"
]

View File

@@ -6,4 +6,4 @@ dependencies:
- fairlearn>=0.6.2
- joblib
- liac-arff
- raiwidgets~=0.13.0
- raiwidgets~=0.17.0

View File

@@ -1,30 +1,30 @@
name: azure_automl
channels:
- conda-forge
- pytorch
- main
dependencies:
# The python interpreter version.
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.5.2 and later.
- pip==21.1.2
- python>=3.5.2,<3.8
- nb_conda
- boto3==1.15.18
- matplotlib==2.1.0
- numpy==1.18.5
- cython
- urllib3<1.24
- scipy>=1.4.1,<=1.5.2
- scikit-learn==0.22.1
- pandas==0.25.1
- py-xgboost<=0.90
- conda-forge::fbprophet==0.5
- holidays==0.9.11
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.6.0 and later.
- pip==20.2.4
- python>=3.6,<3.9
- matplotlib==3.3.4
- py-xgboost==1.3.3
- pytorch::pytorch=1.4.0
- conda-forge::fbprophet==0.7.1
- cudatoolkit=10.1.243
- tornado==6.1.0
- tqdm==4.62.3
- notebook
- pywin32==225
- PySocks==1.7.1
- conda-forge::pyqt==5.12.3
- pip:
# Required packages for AzureML execution, history, and data preparation.
- azureml-widgets~=1.36.0
- azureml-widgets~=1.39.0
- pytorch-transformers==1.0.0
- spacy==2.1.8
- spacy==2.2.4
- pystan==2.19.1.1
- https://aka.ms/automl-resources/packages/en_core_web_sm-2.1.0.tar.gz
- -r https://automlsdkdataresources.blob.core.windows.net/validated-requirements/1.36.0/validated_win32_requirements.txt [--no-deps]
- -r https://automlsdkdataresources.blob.core.windows.net/validated-requirements/1.39.0/validated_win32_requirements.txt [--no-deps]
- arch==4.14

View File

@@ -1,30 +1,33 @@
name: azure_automl
channels:
- conda-forge
- pytorch
- main
dependencies:
# The python interpreter version.
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.5.2 and later.
- pip==21.1.2
- python>=3.5.2,<3.8
- nb_conda
- boto3==1.15.18
- matplotlib==2.1.0
- numpy==1.18.5
- cython
- urllib3<1.24
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.6.0 and later.
- pip==20.2.4
- python>=3.6,<3.9
- boto3==1.20.19
- botocore<=1.23.19
- matplotlib==3.3.4
- numpy==1.19.5
- cython==0.29.14
- urllib3==1.26.7
- scipy>=1.4.1,<=1.5.2
- scikit-learn==0.22.1
- pandas==0.25.1
- py-xgboost<=0.90
- conda-forge::fbprophet==0.5
- holidays==0.9.11
- py-xgboost<=1.3.3
- holidays==0.10.3
- conda-forge::fbprophet==0.7.1
- pytorch::pytorch=1.4.0
- cudatoolkit=10.1.243
- tornado==6.1.0
- pip:
# Required packages for AzureML execution, history, and data preparation.
- azureml-widgets~=1.36.0
- azureml-widgets~=1.39.0
- pytorch-transformers==1.0.0
- spacy==2.1.8
- spacy==2.2.4
- pystan==2.19.1.1
- https://aka.ms/automl-resources/packages/en_core_web_sm-2.1.0.tar.gz
- -r https://automlsdkdataresources.blob.core.windows.net/validated-requirements/1.36.0/validated_linux_requirements.txt [--no-deps]
- -r https://automlsdkdataresources.blob.core.windows.net/validated-requirements/1.39.0/validated_linux_requirements.txt [--no-deps]
- arch==4.14

View File

@@ -1,31 +1,34 @@
name: azure_automl
channels:
- conda-forge
- pytorch
- main
dependencies:
# The python interpreter version.
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.5.2 and later.
- pip==21.1.2
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.6.0 and later.
- pip==20.2.4
- nomkl
- python>=3.5.2,<3.8
- nb_conda
- boto3==1.15.18
- matplotlib==2.1.0
- numpy==1.18.5
- cython
- urllib3<1.24
- python>=3.6,<3.9
- boto3==1.20.19
- botocore<=1.23.19
- matplotlib==3.3.4
- numpy==1.19.5
- cython==0.29.14
- urllib3==1.26.7
- scipy>=1.4.1,<=1.5.2
- scikit-learn==0.22.1
- pandas==0.25.1
- py-xgboost<=0.90
- conda-forge::fbprophet==0.5
- holidays==0.9.11
- py-xgboost<=1.3.3
- holidays==0.10.3
- conda-forge::fbprophet==0.7.1
- pytorch::pytorch=1.4.0
- cudatoolkit=9.0
- tornado==6.1.0
- pip:
# Required packages for AzureML execution, history, and data preparation.
- azureml-widgets~=1.36.0
- azureml-widgets~=1.39.0
- pytorch-transformers==1.0.0
- spacy==2.1.8
- spacy==2.2.4
- pystan==2.19.1.1
- https://aka.ms/automl-resources/packages/en_core_web_sm-2.1.0.tar.gz
- -r https://automlsdkdataresources.blob.core.windows.net/validated-requirements/1.36.0/validated_darwin_requirements.txt [--no-deps]
- -r https://automlsdkdataresources.blob.core.windows.net/validated-requirements/1.39.0/validated_darwin_requirements.txt [--no-deps]
- arch==4.14

View File

@@ -77,6 +77,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import json\n",
"import logging\n",
"\n",
"from matplotlib import pyplot as plt\n",
@@ -104,7 +105,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -153,7 +154,7 @@
"output['Resource Group'] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output['Location'] = ws.location\n",
"output['Experiment Name'] = experiment.name\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', -1)\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data = output, index = [''])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -410,7 +411,8 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run_customized, fitted_model_customized = remote_run.get_output()"
"# Retrieve the best Run object\n",
"best_run = remote_run.get_best_child()"
]
},
{
@@ -419,7 +421,7 @@
"source": [
"## Transparency\n",
"\n",
"View updated featurization summary"
"View featurization summary for the best model - to study how different features were transformed. This is stored as a JSON file in the outputs directory for the run."
]
},
{
@@ -428,36 +430,14 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"custom_featurizer = fitted_model_customized.named_steps['datatransformer']\n",
"df = custom_featurizer.get_featurization_summary()\n",
"pd.DataFrame(data=df)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Set `is_user_friendly=False` to get a more detailed summary for the transforms being applied."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"df = custom_featurizer.get_featurization_summary(is_user_friendly=False)\n",
"pd.DataFrame(data=df)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"df = custom_featurizer.get_stats_feature_type_summary()\n",
"pd.DataFrame(data=df)"
"# Download the featurization summary JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/featurization_summary.json\", \"featurization_summary.json\")\n",
"\n",
"# Render the JSON as a pandas DataFrame\n",
"with open(\"featurization_summary.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"\n",
"pd.DataFrame.from_records(records)"
]
},
{
@@ -499,7 +479,7 @@
"model_explainability_run.wait_for_completion()\n",
"\n",
"# Get the best run object\n",
"best_run, fitted_model = remote_run.get_output()"
"best_run = remote_run.get_best_child()"
]
},
{
@@ -629,7 +609,16 @@
"\n",
"### Retrieve the Best Model\n",
"\n",
"Below we select the best pipeline from our iterations. The `get_output` method returns the best run and the fitted model. Overloads on `get_output` allow you to retrieve the best run and fitted model for *any* logged metric or for a particular *iteration*."
"Below we select the best pipeline from our iterations. The `get_best_child` method returns the Run object for the best model based on the default primary metric. There are additional flags that can be passed to the method if we want to retrieve the best Run based on any of the other supported metrics, or if we are just interested in the best run among the ONNX compatible runs. As always, you can execute `remote_run.get_best_child??` in a new cell to view the source or docs for the function."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"remote_run.get_best_child??"
]
},
{
@@ -649,7 +638,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run, fitted_model = remote_run.get_output()"
"best_run = remote_run.get_best_child()"
]
},
{

View File

@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -116,7 +116,7 @@
"output['Resource Group'] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output['Location'] = ws.location\n",
"output['Experiment Name'] = experiment.name\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', -1)\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data = output, index = [''])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]

View File

@@ -63,6 +63,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import json\n",
"import logging\n",
"import os\n",
"import shutil\n",
@@ -96,7 +97,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -126,7 +127,7 @@
"output['Resource Group'] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output['Location'] = ws.location\n",
"output['Experiment Name'] = experiment.name\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', -1)\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data = output, index = [''])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -340,8 +341,9 @@
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"You can test the model locally to get a feel of the input/output. When the model contains BERT, this step will require pytorch and pytorch-transformers installed in your local environment. The exact versions of these packages can be found in the **automl_env.yml** file located in the local copy of your MachineLearningNotebooks folder here:\n",
"MachineLearningNotebooks/how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/automl_env.yml"
"For local inferencing, you can load the model locally via. the method `remote_run.get_output()`. For more information on the arguments expected by this method, you can run `remote_run.get_output??`.\n",
"Note that when the model contains BERT, this step will require pytorch and pytorch-transformers installed in your local environment. The exact versions of these packages can be found in the **automl_env.yml** file located in the local copy of your MachineLearningNotebooks folder here:\n",
"MachineLearningNotebooks/how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/automl_env.yml\n"
]
},
{
@@ -350,7 +352,8 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run, fitted_model = automl_run.get_output()"
"# Retrieve the best Run object\n",
"best_run = automl_run.get_best_child()"
]
},
{
@@ -366,10 +369,15 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"text_transformations_used = []\n",
"for column_group in fitted_model.named_steps['datatransformer'].get_featurization_summary():\n",
" text_transformations_used.extend(column_group['Transformations'])\n",
"text_transformations_used"
"# Download the featurization summary JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/featurization_summary.json\", \"featurization_summary.json\")\n",
"\n",
"# Render the JSON as a pandas DataFrame\n",
"with open(\"featurization_summary.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"\n",
"featurization_summary = pd.DataFrame.from_records(records)\n",
"featurization_summary['Transformations'].tolist()"
]
},
{

View File

@@ -81,7 +81,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
"output['Resource Group'] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output['Location'] = ws.location\n",
"output['Run History Name'] = experiment_name\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', -1)\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data = output, index = [''])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]

View File

@@ -1,12 +1,11 @@
name: azure_automl_experimental
dependencies:
# The python interpreter version.
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.5.2 and later.
- pip<=19.3.1
- python>=3.5.2,<3.8
- nb_conda
- cython
- urllib3<1.24
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.6.0 and later.
- pip<=20.2.4
- python>=3.6.0,<3.9
- cython==0.29.14
- urllib3==1.26.7
- PyJWT < 2.0.0
- numpy==1.18.5

View File

@@ -1,15 +1,16 @@
name: azure_automl_experimental
channels:
- conda-forge
- main
dependencies:
# The python interpreter version.
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.5.2 and later.
- pip<=19.3.1
# Currently Azure ML only supports 3.6.0 and later.
- pip<=20.2.4
- nomkl
- python>=3.5.2,<3.8
- nb_conda
- cython
- urllib3<1.24
- python>=3.6.0,<3.9
- urllib3==1.26.7
- PyJWT < 2.0.0
- numpy==1.18.5
- numpy==1.19.5
- pip:
# Required packages for AzureML execution, history, and data preparation.

View File

@@ -92,7 +92,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},

View File

@@ -91,7 +91,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},

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@@ -0,0 +1,167 @@
from typing import Any, Dict, Optional, List
import argparse
import json
import os
import re
import pandas as pd
from matplotlib import pyplot as plt
from matplotlib.backends.backend_pdf import PdfPages
from azureml.automl.core.shared import constants
from azureml.automl.core.shared.types import GrainType
from azureml.automl.runtime.shared.score import scoring
GRAIN = "time_series_id"
BACKTEST_ITER = "backtest_iteration"
ACTUALS = "actual_level"
PREDICTIONS = "predicted_level"
ALL_GRAINS = "all_sets"
FORECASTS_FILE = "forecast.csv"
SCORES_FILE = "scores.csv"
PLOTS_FILE = "plots_fcst_vs_actual.pdf"
RE_INVALID_SYMBOLS = re.compile("[: ]")
def _compute_metrics(df: pd.DataFrame, metrics: List[str]):
"""
Compute metrics for one data frame.
:param df: The data frame which contains actual_level and predicted_level columns.
:return: The data frame with two columns - metric_name and metric.
"""
scores = scoring.score_regression(
y_test=df[ACTUALS], y_pred=df[PREDICTIONS], metrics=metrics
)
metrics_df = pd.DataFrame(list(scores.items()), columns=["metric_name", "metric"])
metrics_df.sort_values(["metric_name"], inplace=True)
metrics_df.reset_index(drop=True, inplace=True)
return metrics_df
def _format_grain_name(grain: GrainType) -> str:
"""
Convert grain name to string.
:param grain: the grain name.
:return: the string representation of the given grain.
"""
if not isinstance(grain, tuple) and not isinstance(grain, list):
return str(grain)
grain = list(map(str, grain))
return "|".join(grain)
def compute_all_metrics(
fcst_df: pd.DataFrame,
ts_id_colnames: List[str],
metric_names: Optional[List[set]] = None,
):
"""
Calculate metrics per grain.
:param fcst_df: forecast data frame. Must contain 2 columns: 'actual_level' and 'predicted_level'
:param metric_names: (optional) the list of metric names to return
:param ts_id_colnames: (optional) list of grain column names
:return: dictionary of summary table for all tests and final decision on stationary vs nonstaionary
"""
if not metric_names:
metric_names = list(constants.Metric.SCALAR_REGRESSION_SET)
if ts_id_colnames is None:
ts_id_colnames = []
metrics_list = []
if ts_id_colnames:
for grain, df in fcst_df.groupby(ts_id_colnames):
one_grain_metrics_df = _compute_metrics(df, metric_names)
one_grain_metrics_df[GRAIN] = _format_grain_name(grain)
metrics_list.append(one_grain_metrics_df)
# overall metrics
one_grain_metrics_df = _compute_metrics(fcst_df, metric_names)
one_grain_metrics_df[GRAIN] = ALL_GRAINS
metrics_list.append(one_grain_metrics_df)
# collect into a data frame
return pd.concat(metrics_list)
def _draw_one_plot(
df: pd.DataFrame,
time_column_name: str,
grain_column_names: List[str],
pdf: PdfPages,
) -> None:
"""
Draw the single plot.
:param df: The data frame with the data to build plot.
:param time_column_name: The name of a time column.
:param grain_column_names: The name of grain columns.
:param pdf: The pdf backend used to render the plot.
"""
fig, _ = plt.subplots(figsize=(20, 10))
df = df.set_index(time_column_name)
plt.plot(df[[ACTUALS, PREDICTIONS]])
plt.xticks(rotation=45)
iteration = df[BACKTEST_ITER].iloc[0]
if grain_column_names:
grain_name = [df[grain].iloc[0] for grain in grain_column_names]
plt.title(f"Time series ID: {_format_grain_name(grain_name)} {iteration}")
plt.legend(["actual", "forecast"])
plt.close(fig)
pdf.savefig(fig)
def calculate_scores_and_build_plots(
input_dir: str, output_dir: str, automl_settings: Dict[str, Any]
):
os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True)
grains = automl_settings.get(constants.TimeSeries.GRAIN_COLUMN_NAMES)
time_column_name = automl_settings.get(constants.TimeSeries.TIME_COLUMN_NAME)
if grains is None:
grains = []
if isinstance(grains, str):
grains = [grains]
while BACKTEST_ITER in grains:
grains.remove(BACKTEST_ITER)
dfs = []
for fle in os.listdir(input_dir):
file_path = os.path.join(input_dir, fle)
if os.path.isfile(file_path) and file_path.endswith(".csv"):
df_iter = pd.read_csv(file_path, parse_dates=[time_column_name])
for _, iteration in df_iter.groupby(BACKTEST_ITER):
dfs.append(iteration)
forecast_df = pd.concat(dfs, sort=False, ignore_index=True)
# To make sure plots are in order, sort the predictions by grain and iteration.
ts_index = grains + [BACKTEST_ITER]
forecast_df.sort_values(by=ts_index, inplace=True)
pdf = PdfPages(os.path.join(output_dir, PLOTS_FILE))
for _, one_forecast in forecast_df.groupby(ts_index):
_draw_one_plot(one_forecast, time_column_name, grains, pdf)
pdf.close()
forecast_df.to_csv(os.path.join(output_dir, FORECASTS_FILE), index=False)
metrics = compute_all_metrics(forecast_df, grains + [BACKTEST_ITER])
metrics.to_csv(os.path.join(output_dir, SCORES_FILE), index=False)
if __name__ == "__main__":
args = {"forecasts": "--forecasts", "scores_out": "--output-dir"}
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser("Parsing input arguments.")
for argname, arg in args.items():
parser.add_argument(arg, dest=argname, required=True)
parsed_args, _ = parser.parse_known_args()
input_dir = parsed_args.forecasts
output_dir = parsed_args.scores_out
with open(
os.path.join(
os.path.dirname(os.path.realpath(__file__)), "automl_settings.json"
)
) as json_file:
automl_settings = json.load(json_file)
calculate_scores_and_build_plots(input_dir, output_dir, automl_settings)

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,725 @@
{
"cells": [
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Copyright (c) Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.\n",
"\n",
"Licensed under the MIT License."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"![Impressions](https://PixelServer20190423114238.azurewebsites.net/api/impressions/MachineLearningNotebooks/how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-hierarchical-timeseries/auto-ml-forecasting-hierarchical-timeseries.png)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# Many Models with Backtesting - Automated ML\n",
"**_Backtest many models time series forecasts with Automated Machine Learning_**\n",
"\n",
"---"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"For this notebook we are using a synthetic dataset to demonstrate the back testing in many model scenario. This allows us to check historical performance of AutoML on a historical data. To do that we step back on the backtesting period by the data set several times and split the data to train and test sets. Then these data sets are used for training and evaluation of model.<br>\n",
"\n",
"Thus, it is a quick way of evaluating AutoML as if it was in production. Here, we do not test historical performance of a particular model, for this see the [notebook](../forecasting-backtest-single-model/auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-single-model.ipynb). Instead, the best model for every backtest iteration can be different since AutoML chooses the best model for a given training set.\n",
"![Backtesting](Backtesting.png)\n",
"\n",
"**NOTE: There are limits on how many runs we can do in parallel per workspace, and we currently recommend to set the parallelism to maximum of 320 runs per experiment per workspace. If users want to have more parallelism and increase this limit they might encounter Too Many Requests errors (HTTP 429).**"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Prerequisites\n",
"You'll need to create a compute Instance by following the instructions in the [EnvironmentSetup.md](../Setup_Resources/EnvironmentSetup.md)."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## 1.0 Set up workspace, datastore, experiment"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {
"gather": {
"logged": 1613003526897
}
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import os\n",
"\n",
"import azureml.core\n",
"from azureml.core import Workspace, Datastore\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"\n",
"from pandas.tseries.frequencies import to_offset\n",
"\n",
"# Set up your workspace\n",
"ws = Workspace.from_config()\n",
"ws.get_details()\n",
"\n",
"# Set up your datastores\n",
"dstore = ws.get_default_datastore()\n",
"\n",
"output = {}\n",
"output[\"SDK version\"] = azureml.core.VERSION\n",
"output[\"Subscription ID\"] = ws.subscription_id\n",
"output[\"Workspace\"] = ws.name\n",
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"output[\"Default datastore name\"] = dstore.name\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"This notebook is compatible with Azure ML SDK version 1.35.1 or later."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Choose an experiment"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {
"gather": {
"logged": 1613003540729
}
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.core import Experiment\n",
"\n",
"experiment = Experiment(ws, \"automl-many-models-backtest\")\n",
"\n",
"print(\"Experiment name: \" + experiment.name)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## 2.0 Data\n",
"\n",
"#### 2.1 Data generation\n",
"For this notebook we will generate the artificial data set with two [time series IDs](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-automl-core/azureml.automl.core.forecasting_parameters.forecastingparameters?view=azure-ml-py). Then we will generate backtest folds and will upload it to the default BLOB storage and create a [TabularDataset](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-core/azureml.data.tabular_dataset.tabulardataset?view=azure-ml-py)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# simulate data: 2 grains - 700\n",
"TIME_COLNAME = \"date\"\n",
"TARGET_COLNAME = \"value\"\n",
"TIME_SERIES_ID_COLNAME = \"ts_id\"\n",
"\n",
"sample_size = 700\n",
"# Set the random seed for reproducibility of results.\n",
"np.random.seed(20)\n",
"X1 = pd.DataFrame(\n",
" {\n",
" TIME_COLNAME: pd.date_range(start=\"2018-01-01\", periods=sample_size),\n",
" TARGET_COLNAME: np.random.normal(loc=100, scale=20, size=sample_size),\n",
" TIME_SERIES_ID_COLNAME: \"ts_A\",\n",
" }\n",
")\n",
"X2 = pd.DataFrame(\n",
" {\n",
" TIME_COLNAME: pd.date_range(start=\"2018-01-01\", periods=sample_size),\n",
" TARGET_COLNAME: np.random.normal(loc=100, scale=20, size=sample_size),\n",
" TIME_SERIES_ID_COLNAME: \"ts_B\",\n",
" }\n",
")\n",
"\n",
"X = pd.concat([X1, X2], ignore_index=True, sort=False)\n",
"print(\"Simulated dataset contains {} rows \\n\".format(X.shape[0]))\n",
"X.head()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Now we will generate 8 backtesting folds with backtesting period of 7 days and with the same forecasting horizon. We will add the column \"backtest_iteration\", which will identify the backtesting period by the last training date."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"offset_type = \"7D\"\n",
"NUMBER_OF_BACKTESTS = 8 # number of train/test sets to generate\n",
"\n",
"dfs_train = []\n",
"dfs_test = []\n",
"for ts_id, df_one in X.groupby(TIME_SERIES_ID_COLNAME):\n",
"\n",
" data_end = df_one[TIME_COLNAME].max()\n",
"\n",
" for i in range(NUMBER_OF_BACKTESTS):\n",
" train_cutoff_date = data_end - to_offset(offset_type)\n",
" df_one = df_one.copy()\n",
" df_one[\"backtest_iteration\"] = \"iteration_\" + str(train_cutoff_date)\n",
" train = df_one[df_one[TIME_COLNAME] <= train_cutoff_date]\n",
" test = df_one[\n",
" (df_one[TIME_COLNAME] > train_cutoff_date)\n",
" & (df_one[TIME_COLNAME] <= data_end)\n",
" ]\n",
" data_end = train[TIME_COLNAME].max()\n",
" dfs_train.append(train)\n",
" dfs_test.append(test)\n",
"\n",
"X_train = pd.concat(dfs_train, sort=False, ignore_index=True)\n",
"X_test = pd.concat(dfs_test, sort=False, ignore_index=True)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"#### 2.2 Create the Tabular Data Set.\n",
"\n",
"A Datastore is a place where data can be stored that is then made accessible to a compute either by means of mounting or copying the data to the compute target.\n",
"\n",
"Please refer to [Datastore](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-core/azureml.core.datastore(class)?view=azure-ml-py) documentation on how to access data from Datastore.\n",
"\n",
"In this next step, we will upload the data and create a TabularDataset."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.data.dataset_factory import TabularDatasetFactory\n",
"\n",
"ds = ws.get_default_datastore()\n",
"# Upload saved data to the default data store.\n",
"train_data = TabularDatasetFactory.register_pandas_dataframe(\n",
" X_train, target=(ds, \"data_mm\"), name=\"data_train\"\n",
")\n",
"test_data = TabularDatasetFactory.register_pandas_dataframe(\n",
" X_test, target=(ds, \"data_mm\"), name=\"data_test\"\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## 3.0 Build the training pipeline\n",
"Now that the dataset, WorkSpace, and datastore are set up, we can put together a pipeline for training.\n",
"\n",
"> Note that if you have an AzureML Data Scientist role, you will not have permission to create compute resources. Talk to your workspace or IT admin to create the compute targets described in this section, if they do not already exist."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Choose a compute target\n",
"\n",
"You will need to create a [compute target](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/machine-learning/how-to-set-up-training-targets#amlcompute) for your AutoML run. In this tutorial, you create AmlCompute as your training compute resource.\n",
"\n",
"\\*\\*Creation of AmlCompute takes approximately 5 minutes.**\n",
"\n",
"If the AmlCompute with that name is already in your workspace this code will skip the creation process. As with other Azure services, there are limits on certain resources (e.g. AmlCompute) associated with the Azure Machine Learning service. Please read this [article](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/machine-learning/how-to-manage-quotas) on the default limits and how to request more quota."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {
"gather": {
"logged": 1613007037308
}
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.core.compute import ComputeTarget, AmlCompute\n",
"\n",
"# Name your cluster\n",
"compute_name = \"backtest-mm\"\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"if compute_name in ws.compute_targets:\n",
" compute_target = ws.compute_targets[compute_name]\n",
" if compute_target and type(compute_target) is AmlCompute:\n",
" print(\"Found compute target: \" + compute_name)\n",
"else:\n",
" print(\"Creating a new compute target...\")\n",
" provisioning_config = AmlCompute.provisioning_configuration(\n",
" vm_size=\"STANDARD_DS12_V2\", max_nodes=6\n",
" )\n",
" # Create the compute target\n",
" compute_target = ComputeTarget.create(ws, compute_name, provisioning_config)\n",
"\n",
" # Can poll for a minimum number of nodes and for a specific timeout.\n",
" # If no min node count is provided it will use the scale settings for the cluster\n",
" compute_target.wait_for_completion(\n",
" show_output=True, min_node_count=None, timeout_in_minutes=20\n",
" )\n",
"\n",
" # For a more detailed view of current cluster status, use the 'status' property\n",
" print(compute_target.status.serialize())"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Set up training parameters\n",
"\n",
"This dictionary defines the AutoML and many models settings. For this forecasting task we need to define several settings including the name of the time column, the maximum forecast horizon, and the partition column name definition. Please note, that in this case we are setting grain_column_names to be the time series ID column plus iteration, because we want to train a separate model for each time series and iteration.\n",
"\n",
"| Property | Description|\n",
"| :--------------- | :------------------- |\n",
"| **task** | forecasting |\n",
"| **primary_metric** | This is the metric that you want to optimize.<br> Forecasting supports the following primary metrics <br><i>normalized_root_mean_squared_error</i><br><i>normalized_mean_absolute_error</i> |\n",
"| **iteration_timeout_minutes** | Maximum amount of time in minutes that the model can train. This is optional but provides customers with greater control on exit criteria. |\n",
"| **iterations** | Number of models to train. This is optional but provides customers with greater control on exit criteria. |\n",
"| **experiment_timeout_hours** | Maximum amount of time in hours that the experiment can take before it terminates. This is optional but provides customers with greater control on exit criteria. |\n",
"| **label_column_name** | The name of the label column. |\n",
"| **max_horizon** | The forecast horizon is how many periods forward you would like to forecast. This integer horizon is in units of the timeseries frequency (e.g. daily, weekly). Periods are inferred from your data. |\n",
"| **n_cross_validations** | Number of cross validation splits. Rolling Origin Validation is used to split time-series in a temporally consistent way. |\n",
"| **time_column_name** | The name of your time column. |\n",
"| **grain_column_names** | The column names used to uniquely identify timeseries in data that has multiple rows with the same timestamp. |\n",
"| **track_child_runs** | Flag to disable tracking of child runs. Only best run is tracked if the flag is set to False (this includes the model and metrics of the run). |\n",
"| **partition_column_names** | The names of columns used to group your models. For timeseries, the groups must not split up individual time-series. That is, each group must contain one or more whole time-series. |"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {
"gather": {
"logged": 1613007061544
}
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.train.automl.runtime._many_models.many_models_parameters import (\n",
" ManyModelsTrainParameters,\n",
")\n",
"\n",
"partition_column_names = [TIME_SERIES_ID_COLNAME, \"backtest_iteration\"]\n",
"automl_settings = {\n",
" \"task\": \"forecasting\",\n",
" \"primary_metric\": \"normalized_root_mean_squared_error\",\n",
" \"iteration_timeout_minutes\": 10, # This needs to be changed based on the dataset. We ask customer to explore how long training is taking before settings this value\n",
" \"iterations\": 15,\n",
" \"experiment_timeout_hours\": 0.25, # This also needs to be changed based on the dataset. For larger data set this number needs to be bigger.\n",
" \"label_column_name\": TARGET_COLNAME,\n",
" \"n_cross_validations\": 3,\n",
" \"time_column_name\": TIME_COLNAME,\n",
" \"max_horizon\": 6,\n",
" \"grain_column_names\": partition_column_names,\n",
" \"track_child_runs\": False,\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"mm_paramters = ManyModelsTrainParameters(\n",
" automl_settings=automl_settings, partition_column_names=partition_column_names\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Set up many models pipeline"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Parallel run step is leveraged to train multiple models at once. To configure the ParallelRunConfig you will need to determine the appropriate number of workers and nodes for your use case. The process_count_per_node is based off the number of cores of the compute VM. The node_count will determine the number of master nodes to use, increasing the node count will speed up the training process.\n",
"\n",
"| Property | Description|\n",
"| :--------------- | :------------------- |\n",
"| **experiment** | The experiment used for training. |\n",
"| **train_data** | The file dataset to be used as input to the training run. |\n",
"| **node_count** | The number of compute nodes to be used for running the user script. We recommend to start with 3 and increase the node_count if the training time is taking too long. |\n",
"| **process_count_per_node** | Process count per node, we recommend 2:1 ratio for number of cores: number of processes per node. eg. If node has 16 cores then configure 8 or less process count per node or optimal performance. |\n",
"| **train_pipeline_parameters** | The set of configuration parameters defined in the previous section. |\n",
"\n",
"Calling this method will create a new aggregated dataset which is generated dynamically on pipeline execution."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.contrib.automl.pipeline.steps import AutoMLPipelineBuilder\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"training_pipeline_steps = AutoMLPipelineBuilder.get_many_models_train_steps(\n",
" experiment=experiment,\n",
" train_data=train_data,\n",
" compute_target=compute_target,\n",
" node_count=2,\n",
" process_count_per_node=2,\n",
" run_invocation_timeout=920,\n",
" train_pipeline_parameters=mm_paramters,\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.pipeline.core import Pipeline\n",
"\n",
"training_pipeline = Pipeline(ws, steps=training_pipeline_steps)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Submit the pipeline to run\n",
"Next we submit our pipeline to run. The whole training pipeline takes about 20 minutes using a STANDARD_DS12_V2 VM with our current ParallelRunConfig setting."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"training_run = experiment.submit(training_pipeline)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"training_run.wait_for_completion(show_output=False)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Check the run status, if training_run is in completed state, continue to next section. Otherwise, check the portal for failures."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## 4.0 Backtesting\n",
"Now that we selected the best AutoML model for each backtest fold, we will use these models to generate the forecasts and compare with the actuals."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Set up output dataset for inference data\n",
"Output of inference can be represented as [OutputFileDatasetConfig](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-core/azureml.data.output_dataset_config.outputdatasetconfig?view=azure-ml-py) object and OutputFileDatasetConfig can be registered as a dataset. "
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.data import OutputFileDatasetConfig\n",
"\n",
"output_inference_data_ds = OutputFileDatasetConfig(\n",
" name=\"many_models_inference_output\",\n",
" destination=(dstore, \"backtesting/inference_data/\"),\n",
").register_on_complete(name=\"backtesting_data_ds\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"For many models we need to provide the ManyModelsInferenceParameters object.\n",
"\n",
"#### ManyModelsInferenceParameters arguments\n",
"| Property | Description|\n",
"| :--------------- | :------------------- |\n",
"| **partition_column_names** | List of column names that identifies groups. |\n",
"| **target_column_name** | \\[Optional\\] Column name only if the inference dataset has the target. |\n",
"| **time_column_name** | Column name only if it is timeseries. |\n",
"| **many_models_run_id** | \\[Optional\\] Many models pipeline run id where models were trained. |\n",
"\n",
"#### get_many_models_batch_inference_steps arguments\n",
"| Property | Description|\n",
"| :--------------- | :------------------- |\n",
"| **experiment** | The experiment used for inference run. |\n",
"| **inference_data** | The data to use for inferencing. It should be the same schema as used for training.\n",
"| **compute_target** | The compute target that runs the inference pipeline.|\n",
"| **node_count** | The number of compute nodes to be used for running the user script. We recommend to start with the number of cores per node (varies by compute sku). |\n",
"| **process_count_per_node** | The number of processes per node.\n",
"| **train_run_id** | \\[Optional\\] The run id of the hierarchy training, by default it is the latest successful training many model run in the experiment. |\n",
"| **train_experiment_name** | \\[Optional\\] The train experiment that contains the train pipeline. This one is only needed when the train pipeline is not in the same experiement as the inference pipeline. |\n",
"| **process_count_per_node** | \\[Optional\\] The number of processes per node, by default it's 4. |"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.contrib.automl.pipeline.steps import AutoMLPipelineBuilder\n",
"from azureml.train.automl.runtime._many_models.many_models_parameters import (\n",
" ManyModelsInferenceParameters,\n",
")\n",
"\n",
"mm_parameters = ManyModelsInferenceParameters(\n",
" partition_column_names=partition_column_names,\n",
" time_column_name=TIME_COLNAME,\n",
" target_column_name=TARGET_COLNAME,\n",
")\n",
"\n",
"inference_steps = AutoMLPipelineBuilder.get_many_models_batch_inference_steps(\n",
" experiment=experiment,\n",
" inference_data=test_data,\n",
" node_count=2,\n",
" process_count_per_node=2,\n",
" compute_target=compute_target,\n",
" run_invocation_timeout=300,\n",
" output_datastore=output_inference_data_ds,\n",
" train_run_id=training_run.id,\n",
" train_experiment_name=training_run.experiment.name,\n",
" inference_pipeline_parameters=mm_parameters,\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.pipeline.core import Pipeline\n",
"\n",
"inference_pipeline = Pipeline(ws, steps=inference_steps)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"inference_run = experiment.submit(inference_pipeline)\n",
"inference_run.wait_for_completion(show_output=False)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## 5.0 Retrieve results and calculate metrics\n",
"\n",
"The pipeline returns one file with the predictions for each times series ID and outputs the result to the forecasting_output Blob container. The details of the blob container is listed in 'forecasting_output.txt' under Outputs+logs. \n",
"\n",
"The next code snippet does the following:\n",
"1. Downloads the contents of the output folder that is passed in the parallel run step \n",
"2. Reads the parallel_run_step.txt file that has the predictions as pandas dataframe \n",
"3. Saves the table in csv format and \n",
"4. Displays the top 10 rows of the predictions"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.contrib.automl.pipeline.steps.utilities import get_output_from_mm_pipeline\n",
"\n",
"forecasting_results_name = \"forecasting_results\"\n",
"forecasting_output_name = \"many_models_inference_output\"\n",
"forecast_file = get_output_from_mm_pipeline(\n",
" inference_run, forecasting_results_name, forecasting_output_name\n",
")\n",
"df = pd.read_csv(forecast_file, delimiter=\" \", header=None, parse_dates=[0])\n",
"df.columns = list(X_train.columns) + [\"predicted_level\"]\n",
"print(\n",
" \"Prediction has \", df.shape[0], \" rows. Here the first 10 rows are being displayed.\"\n",
")\n",
"# Save the scv file with header to read it in the next step.\n",
"df.rename(columns={TARGET_COLNAME: \"actual_level\"}, inplace=True)\n",
"df.to_csv(os.path.join(forecasting_results_name, \"forecast.csv\"), index=False)\n",
"df.head(10)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## View metrics\n",
"We will read in the obtained results and run the helper script, which will generate metrics and create the plots of predicted versus actual values."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from assets.score import calculate_scores_and_build_plots\n",
"\n",
"backtesting_results = \"backtesting_mm_results\"\n",
"os.makedirs(backtesting_results, exist_ok=True)\n",
"calculate_scores_and_build_plots(\n",
" forecasting_results_name, backtesting_results, automl_settings\n",
")\n",
"pd.DataFrame({\"File\": os.listdir(backtesting_results)})"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"The directory contains a set of files with results:\n",
"- forecast.csv contains forecasts for all backtest iterations. The backtest_iteration column contains iteration identifier with the last training date as a suffix\n",
"- scores.csv contains all metrics. If data set contains several time series, the metrics are given for all combinations of time series id and iterations, as well as scores for all iterations and time series ids, which are marked as \"all_sets\"\n",
"- plots_fcst_vs_actual.pdf contains the predictions vs forecast plots for each iteration and, eash time series is saved as separate plot.\n",
"\n",
"For demonstration purposes we will display the table of metrics for one of the time series with ID \"ts0\". We will create the utility function, which will build the table with metrics."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"def get_metrics_for_ts(all_metrics, ts):\n",
" \"\"\"\n",
" Get the metrics for the time series with ID ts and return it as pandas data frame.\n",
"\n",
" :param all_metrics: The table with all the metrics.\n",
" :param ts: The ID of a time series of interest.\n",
" :return: The pandas DataFrame with metrics for one time series.\n",
" \"\"\"\n",
" results_df = None\n",
" for ts_id, one_series in all_metrics.groupby(\"time_series_id\"):\n",
" if not ts_id.startswith(ts):\n",
" continue\n",
" iteration = ts_id.split(\"|\")[-1]\n",
" df = one_series[[\"metric_name\", \"metric\"]]\n",
" df.rename({\"metric\": iteration}, axis=1, inplace=True)\n",
" df.set_index(\"metric_name\", inplace=True)\n",
" if results_df is None:\n",
" results_df = df\n",
" else:\n",
" results_df = results_df.merge(\n",
" df, how=\"inner\", left_index=True, right_index=True\n",
" )\n",
" results_df.sort_index(axis=1, inplace=True)\n",
" return results_df\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"metrics_df = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(backtesting_results, \"scores.csv\"))\n",
"ts = \"ts_A\"\n",
"get_metrics_for_ts(metrics_df, ts)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Forecast vs actuals plots."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from IPython.display import IFrame\n",
"\n",
"IFrame(\"./backtesting_mm_results/plots_fcst_vs_actual.pdf\", width=800, height=300)"
]
}
],
"metadata": {
"authors": [
{
"name": "jialiu"
}
],
"categories": [
"how-to-use-azureml",
"automated-machine-learning"
],
"kernelspec": {
"display_name": "Python 3.6",
"language": "python",
"name": "python36"
},
"language_info": {
"codemirror_mode": {
"name": "ipython",
"version": 3
},
"file_extension": ".py",
"mimetype": "text/x-python",
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.6.9"
}
},
"nbformat": 4,
"nbformat_minor": 4
}

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name: auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-many-models
dependencies:
- pip:
- azureml-sdk

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import argparse
import os
import pandas as pd
import azureml.train.automl.runtime._hts.hts_runtime_utilities as hru
from azureml.core import Run
from azureml.core.dataset import Dataset
# Parse the arguments.
args = {
"step_size": "--step-size",
"step_number": "--step-number",
"time_column_name": "--time-column-name",
"time_series_id_column_names": "--time-series-id-column-names",
"out_dir": "--output-dir",
}
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser("Parsing input arguments.")
for argname, arg in args.items():
parser.add_argument(arg, dest=argname, required=True)
parsed_args, _ = parser.parse_known_args()
step_number = int(parsed_args.step_number)
step_size = int(parsed_args.step_size)
# Create the working dirrectory to store the temporary csv files.
working_dir = parsed_args.out_dir
os.makedirs(working_dir, exist_ok=True)
# Set input and output
script_run = Run.get_context()
input_dataset = script_run.input_datasets["training_data"]
X_train = input_dataset.to_pandas_dataframe()
# Split the data.
for i in range(step_number):
file_name = os.path.join(working_dir, "backtest_{}.csv".format(i))
if parsed_args.time_series_id_column_names:
dfs = []
for _, one_series in X_train.groupby([parsed_args.time_series_id_column_names]):
one_series = one_series.sort_values(
by=[parsed_args.time_column_name], inplace=False
)
dfs.append(one_series.iloc[: len(one_series) - step_size * i])
pd.concat(dfs, sort=False, ignore_index=True).to_csv(file_name, index=False)
else:
X_train.sort_values(by=[parsed_args.time_column_name], inplace=True)
X_train.iloc[: len(X_train) - step_size * i].to_csv(file_name, index=False)

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# ---------------------------------------------------------
# Copyright (c) Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.
# ---------------------------------------------------------
"""The batch script needed for back testing of models using PRS."""
import argparse
import json
import logging
import os
import pickle
import re
import pandas as pd
from azureml.core.experiment import Experiment
from azureml.core.model import Model
from azureml.core.run import Run
from azureml.automl.core.shared import constants
from azureml.automl.runtime.shared.score import scoring
from azureml.train.automl import AutoMLConfig
RE_INVALID_SYMBOLS = re.compile(r"[:\s]")
model_name = None
target_column_name = None
current_step_run = None
output_dir = None
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
def _get_automl_settings():
with open(
os.path.join(
os.path.dirname(os.path.realpath(__file__)), "automl_settings.json"
)
) as json_file:
return json.load(json_file)
def init():
global model_name
global target_column_name
global output_dir
global automl_settings
global model_uid
logger.info("Initialization of the run.")
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser("Parsing input arguments.")
parser.add_argument("--output-dir", dest="out", required=True)
parser.add_argument("--model-name", dest="model", default=None)
parser.add_argument("--model-uid", dest="model_uid", default=None)
parsed_args, _ = parser.parse_known_args()
model_name = parsed_args.model
automl_settings = _get_automl_settings()
target_column_name = automl_settings.get("label_column_name")
output_dir = parsed_args.out
model_uid = parsed_args.model_uid
os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True)
os.environ["AUTOML_IGNORE_PACKAGE_VERSION_INCOMPATIBILITIES".lower()] = "True"
def get_run():
global current_step_run
if current_step_run is None:
current_step_run = Run.get_context()
return current_step_run
def run_backtest(data_input_name: str, file_name: str, experiment: Experiment):
"""Re-train the model and return metrics."""
data_input = pd.read_csv(
data_input_name,
parse_dates=[automl_settings[constants.TimeSeries.TIME_COLUMN_NAME]],
)
print(data_input.head())
if not automl_settings.get(constants.TimeSeries.GRAIN_COLUMN_NAMES):
# There is no grains.
data_input.sort_values(
[automl_settings[constants.TimeSeries.TIME_COLUMN_NAME]], inplace=True
)
X_train = data_input.iloc[: -automl_settings["max_horizon"]]
y_train = X_train.pop(target_column_name).values
X_test = data_input.iloc[-automl_settings["max_horizon"] :]
y_test = X_test.pop(target_column_name).values
else:
# The data contain grains.
dfs_train = []
dfs_test = []
for _, one_series in data_input.groupby(
automl_settings.get(constants.TimeSeries.GRAIN_COLUMN_NAMES)
):
one_series.sort_values(
[automl_settings[constants.TimeSeries.TIME_COLUMN_NAME]], inplace=True
)
dfs_train.append(one_series.iloc[: -automl_settings["max_horizon"]])
dfs_test.append(one_series.iloc[-automl_settings["max_horizon"] :])
X_train = pd.concat(dfs_train, sort=False, ignore_index=True)
y_train = X_train.pop(target_column_name).values
X_test = pd.concat(dfs_test, sort=False, ignore_index=True)
y_test = X_test.pop(target_column_name).values
last_training_date = str(
X_train[automl_settings[constants.TimeSeries.TIME_COLUMN_NAME]].max()
)
if file_name:
# If file name is provided, we will load model and retrain it on backtest data.
with open(file_name, "rb") as fp:
fitted_model = pickle.load(fp)
fitted_model.fit(X_train, y_train)
else:
# We will run the experiment and select the best model.
X_train[target_column_name] = y_train
automl_config = AutoMLConfig(training_data=X_train, **automl_settings)
automl_run = current_step_run.submit_child(automl_config, show_output=True)
best_run, fitted_model = automl_run.get_output()
# As we have generated models, we need to register them for the future use.
description = "Backtest model example"
tags = {"last_training_date": last_training_date, "experiment": experiment.name}
if model_uid:
tags["model_uid"] = model_uid
automl_run.register_model(
model_name=best_run.properties["model_name"],
description=description,
tags=tags,
)
print(f"The model {best_run.properties['model_name']} was registered.")
_, x_pred = fitted_model.forecast(X_test)
x_pred.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=False)
columns = [automl_settings[constants.TimeSeries.TIME_COLUMN_NAME]]
if automl_settings.get(constants.TimeSeries.GRAIN_COLUMN_NAMES):
# We know that fitted_model.grain_column_names is a list.
columns.extend(fitted_model.grain_column_names)
columns.append(constants.TimeSeriesInternal.DUMMY_TARGET_COLUMN)
# Remove featurized columns.
x_pred = x_pred[columns]
x_pred.rename(
{constants.TimeSeriesInternal.DUMMY_TARGET_COLUMN: "predicted_level"},
axis=1,
inplace=True,
)
x_pred["actual_level"] = y_test
x_pred["backtest_iteration"] = f"iteration_{last_training_date}"
date_safe = RE_INVALID_SYMBOLS.sub("_", last_training_date)
x_pred.to_csv(os.path.join(output_dir, f"iteration_{date_safe}.csv"), index=False)
return x_pred
def run(input_files):
"""Run the script"""
logger.info("Running mini batch.")
ws = get_run().experiment.workspace
file_name = None
if model_name:
models = Model.list(ws, name=model_name)
cloud_model = None
if models:
for one_mod in models:
if cloud_model is None or one_mod.version > cloud_model.version:
logger.info(
"Using existing model from the workspace. Model version: {}".format(
one_mod.version
)
)
cloud_model = one_mod
file_name = cloud_model.download(exist_ok=True)
forecasts = []
logger.info("Running backtest.")
for input_file in input_files:
forecasts.append(run_backtest(input_file, file_name, get_run().experiment))
return pd.concat(forecasts)

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from typing import Any, Dict, Optional, List
import argparse
import json
import os
import re
import pandas as pd
from matplotlib import pyplot as plt
from matplotlib.backends.backend_pdf import PdfPages
from azureml.automl.core.shared import constants
from azureml.automl.core.shared.types import GrainType
from azureml.automl.runtime.shared.score import scoring
GRAIN = "time_series_id"
BACKTEST_ITER = "backtest_iteration"
ACTUALS = "actual_level"
PREDICTIONS = "predicted_level"
ALL_GRAINS = "all_sets"
FORECASTS_FILE = "forecast.csv"
SCORES_FILE = "scores.csv"
PLOTS_FILE = "plots_fcst_vs_actual.pdf"
RE_INVALID_SYMBOLS = re.compile("[: ]")
def _compute_metrics(df: pd.DataFrame, metrics: List[str]):
"""
Compute metrics for one data frame.
:param df: The data frame which contains actual_level and predicted_level columns.
:return: The data frame with two columns - metric_name and metric.
"""
scores = scoring.score_regression(
y_test=df[ACTUALS], y_pred=df[PREDICTIONS], metrics=metrics
)
metrics_df = pd.DataFrame(list(scores.items()), columns=["metric_name", "metric"])
metrics_df.sort_values(["metric_name"], inplace=True)
metrics_df.reset_index(drop=True, inplace=True)
return metrics_df
def _format_grain_name(grain: GrainType) -> str:
"""
Convert grain name to string.
:param grain: the grain name.
:return: the string representation of the given grain.
"""
if not isinstance(grain, tuple) and not isinstance(grain, list):
return str(grain)
grain = list(map(str, grain))
return "|".join(grain)
def compute_all_metrics(
fcst_df: pd.DataFrame,
ts_id_colnames: List[str],
metric_names: Optional[List[set]] = None,
):
"""
Calculate metrics per grain.
:param fcst_df: forecast data frame. Must contain 2 columns: 'actual_level' and 'predicted_level'
:param metric_names: (optional) the list of metric names to return
:param ts_id_colnames: (optional) list of grain column names
:return: dictionary of summary table for all tests and final decision on stationary vs nonstaionary
"""
if not metric_names:
metric_names = list(constants.Metric.SCALAR_REGRESSION_SET)
if ts_id_colnames is None:
ts_id_colnames = []
metrics_list = []
if ts_id_colnames:
for grain, df in fcst_df.groupby(ts_id_colnames):
one_grain_metrics_df = _compute_metrics(df, metric_names)
one_grain_metrics_df[GRAIN] = _format_grain_name(grain)
metrics_list.append(one_grain_metrics_df)
# overall metrics
one_grain_metrics_df = _compute_metrics(fcst_df, metric_names)
one_grain_metrics_df[GRAIN] = ALL_GRAINS
metrics_list.append(one_grain_metrics_df)
# collect into a data frame
return pd.concat(metrics_list)
def _draw_one_plot(
df: pd.DataFrame,
time_column_name: str,
grain_column_names: List[str],
pdf: PdfPages,
) -> None:
"""
Draw the single plot.
:param df: The data frame with the data to build plot.
:param time_column_name: The name of a time column.
:param grain_column_names: The name of grain columns.
:param pdf: The pdf backend used to render the plot.
"""
fig, _ = plt.subplots(figsize=(20, 10))
df = df.set_index(time_column_name)
plt.plot(df[[ACTUALS, PREDICTIONS]])
plt.xticks(rotation=45)
iteration = df[BACKTEST_ITER].iloc[0]
if grain_column_names:
grain_name = [df[grain].iloc[0] for grain in grain_column_names]
plt.title(f"Time series ID: {_format_grain_name(grain_name)} {iteration}")
plt.legend(["actual", "forecast"])
plt.close(fig)
pdf.savefig(fig)
def calculate_scores_and_build_plots(
input_dir: str, output_dir: str, automl_settings: Dict[str, Any]
):
os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True)
grains = automl_settings.get(constants.TimeSeries.GRAIN_COLUMN_NAMES)
time_column_name = automl_settings.get(constants.TimeSeries.TIME_COLUMN_NAME)
if grains is None:
grains = []
if isinstance(grains, str):
grains = [grains]
while BACKTEST_ITER in grains:
grains.remove(BACKTEST_ITER)
dfs = []
for fle in os.listdir(input_dir):
file_path = os.path.join(input_dir, fle)
if os.path.isfile(file_path) and file_path.endswith(".csv"):
df_iter = pd.read_csv(file_path, parse_dates=[time_column_name])
for _, iteration in df_iter.groupby(BACKTEST_ITER):
dfs.append(iteration)
forecast_df = pd.concat(dfs, sort=False, ignore_index=True)
# To make sure plots are in order, sort the predictions by grain and iteration.
ts_index = grains + [BACKTEST_ITER]
forecast_df.sort_values(by=ts_index, inplace=True)
pdf = PdfPages(os.path.join(output_dir, PLOTS_FILE))
for _, one_forecast in forecast_df.groupby(ts_index):
_draw_one_plot(one_forecast, time_column_name, grains, pdf)
pdf.close()
forecast_df.to_csv(os.path.join(output_dir, FORECASTS_FILE), index=False)
metrics = compute_all_metrics(forecast_df, grains + [BACKTEST_ITER])
metrics.to_csv(os.path.join(output_dir, SCORES_FILE), index=False)
if __name__ == "__main__":
args = {"forecasts": "--forecasts", "scores_out": "--output-dir"}
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser("Parsing input arguments.")
for argname, arg in args.items():
parser.add_argument(arg, dest=argname, required=True)
parsed_args, _ = parser.parse_known_args()
input_dir = parsed_args.forecasts
output_dir = parsed_args.scores_out
with open(
os.path.join(
os.path.dirname(os.path.realpath(__file__)), "automl_settings.json"
)
) as json_file:
automl_settings = json.load(json_file)
calculate_scores_and_build_plots(input_dir, output_dir, automl_settings)

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{
"cells": [
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Copyright (c) Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.\n",
"\n",
"Licensed under the MIT License.\n",
"![Impressions](https://PixelServer20190423114238.azurewebsites.net/api/impressions/MachineLearningNotebooks/how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/automl-forecasting-function.png)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# Automated MachineLearning\n",
"_**The model backtesting**_\n",
"\n",
"## Contents\n",
"1. [Introduction](#Introduction)\n",
"2. [Setup](#Setup)\n",
"3. [Data](#Data)\n",
"4. [Prepare remote compute and data.](#prepare_remote)\n",
"5. [Create the configuration for AutoML backtesting](#train)\n",
"6. [Backtest AutoML](#backtest_automl)\n",
"7. [View metrics](#Metrics)\n",
"8. [Backtest the best model](#backtest_model)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Introduction\n",
"Model backtesting is used to evaluate its performance on historical data. To do that we step back on the backtesting period by the data set several times and split the data to train and test sets. Then these data sets are used for training and evaluation of model.<br>\n",
"This notebook is intended to demonstrate backtesting on a single model, this is the best solution for small data sets with a few or one time series in it. For scenarios where we would like to choose the best AutoML model for every backtest iteration, please see [AutoML Forecasting Backtest Many Models Example](../forecasting-backtest-many-models/auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-many-models.ipynb) notebook.\n",
"![Backtesting](Backtesting.png)\n",
"This notebook demonstrates two ways of backtesting:\n",
"- AutoML backtesting: we will train separate AutoML models for historical data\n",
"- Model backtesting: from the first run we will select the best model trained on the most recent data, retrain it on the past data and evaluate."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Setup"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import os\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import shutil\n",
"\n",
"import azureml.core\n",
"from azureml.core import Experiment, Model, Workspace"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"This notebook is compatible with Azure ML SDK version 1.35.1 or later."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"As part of the setup you have already created a <b>Workspace</b>."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"ws = Workspace.from_config()\n",
"\n",
"output = {}\n",
"output[\"Subscription ID\"] = ws.subscription_id\n",
"output[\"Workspace\"] = ws.name\n",
"output[\"SKU\"] = ws.sku\n",
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Data\n",
"For the demonstration purposes we will simulate one year of daily data. To do this we need to specify the following parameters: time column name, time series ID column names and label column name. Our intention is to forecast for two weeks ahead."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"TIME_COLUMN_NAME = \"date\"\n",
"TIME_SERIES_ID_COLUMN_NAMES = \"time_series_id\"\n",
"LABEL_COLUMN_NAME = \"y\"\n",
"FORECAST_HORIZON = 14\n",
"FREQUENCY = \"D\"\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"def simulate_timeseries_data(\n",
" train_len: int,\n",
" test_len: int,\n",
" time_column_name: str,\n",
" target_column_name: str,\n",
" time_series_id_column_name: str,\n",
" time_series_number: int = 1,\n",
" freq: str = \"H\",\n",
"):\n",
" \"\"\"\n",
" Return the time series of designed length.\n",
"\n",
" :param train_len: The length of training data (one series).\n",
" :type train_len: int\n",
" :param test_len: The length of testing data (one series).\n",
" :type test_len: int\n",
" :param time_column_name: The desired name of a time column.\n",
" :type time_column_name: str\n",
" :param time_series_number: The number of time series in the data set.\n",
" :type time_series_number: int\n",
" :param freq: The frequency string representing pandas offset.\n",
" see https://pandas.pydata.org/pandas-docs/stable/user_guide/timeseries.html\n",
" :type freq: str\n",
" :returns: the tuple of train and test data sets.\n",
" :rtype: tuple\n",
"\n",
" \"\"\"\n",
" data_train = [] # type: List[pd.DataFrame]\n",
" data_test = [] # type: List[pd.DataFrame]\n",
" data_length = train_len + test_len\n",
" for i in range(time_series_number):\n",
" X = pd.DataFrame(\n",
" {\n",
" time_column_name: pd.date_range(\n",
" start=\"2000-01-01\", periods=data_length, freq=freq\n",
" ),\n",
" target_column_name: np.arange(data_length).astype(float)\n",
" + np.random.rand(data_length)\n",
" + i * 5,\n",
" \"ext_predictor\": np.asarray(range(42, 42 + data_length)),\n",
" time_series_id_column_name: np.repeat(\"ts{}\".format(i), data_length),\n",
" }\n",
" )\n",
" data_train.append(X[:train_len])\n",
" data_test.append(X[train_len:])\n",
" train = pd.concat(data_train)\n",
" label_train = train.pop(target_column_name).values\n",
" test = pd.concat(data_test)\n",
" label_test = test.pop(target_column_name).values\n",
" return train, label_train, test, label_test\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"n_test_periods = FORECAST_HORIZON\n",
"n_train_periods = 365\n",
"X_train, y_train, X_test, y_test = simulate_timeseries_data(\n",
" train_len=n_train_periods,\n",
" test_len=n_test_periods,\n",
" time_column_name=TIME_COLUMN_NAME,\n",
" target_column_name=LABEL_COLUMN_NAME,\n",
" time_series_id_column_name=TIME_SERIES_ID_COLUMN_NAMES,\n",
" time_series_number=2,\n",
" freq=FREQUENCY,\n",
")\n",
"X_train[LABEL_COLUMN_NAME] = y_train"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Let's see what the training data looks like."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"X_train.tail()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Prepare remote compute and data. <a id=\"prepare_remote\"></a>\n",
"The [Machine Learning service workspace](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/machine-learning/service/concept-workspace), is paired with the storage account, which contains the default data store. We will use it to upload the artificial data and create [tabular dataset](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-core/azureml.data.tabulardataset?view=azure-ml-py) for training. A tabular dataset defines a series of lazily-evaluated, immutable operations to load data from the data source into tabular representation."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.data.dataset_factory import TabularDatasetFactory\n",
"\n",
"ds = ws.get_default_datastore()\n",
"# Upload saved data to the default data store.\n",
"train_data = TabularDatasetFactory.register_pandas_dataframe(\n",
" X_train, target=(ds, \"data\"), name=\"data_backtest\"\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"You will need to create a compute target for backtesting. In this [tutorial](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/machine-learning/service/how-to-set-up-training-targets#amlcompute), you create AmlCompute as your training compute resource.\n",
"\n",
"> Note that if you have an AzureML Data Scientist role, you will not have permission to create compute resources. Talk to your workspace or IT admin to create the compute targets described in this section, if they do not already exist."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.core.compute import ComputeTarget, AmlCompute\n",
"from azureml.core.compute_target import ComputeTargetException\n",
"\n",
"# Choose a name for your CPU cluster\n",
"amlcompute_cluster_name = \"backtest-cluster\"\n",
"\n",
"# Verify that cluster does not exist already\n",
"try:\n",
" compute_target = ComputeTarget(workspace=ws, name=amlcompute_cluster_name)\n",
" print(\"Found existing cluster, use it.\")\n",
"except ComputeTargetException:\n",
" compute_config = AmlCompute.provisioning_configuration(\n",
" vm_size=\"STANDARD_DS12_V2\", max_nodes=6\n",
" )\n",
" compute_target = ComputeTarget.create(ws, amlcompute_cluster_name, compute_config)\n",
"\n",
"compute_target.wait_for_completion(show_output=True)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Create the configuration for AutoML backtesting <a id=\"train\"></a>\n",
"\n",
"This dictionary defines the AutoML and many models settings. For this forecasting task we need to define several settings including the name of the time column, the maximum forecast horizon, and the partition column name definition.\n",
"\n",
"| Property | Description|\n",
"| :--------------- | :------------------- |\n",
"| **task** | forecasting |\n",
"| **primary_metric** | This is the metric that you want to optimize.<br> Forecasting supports the following primary metrics <br><i>normalized_root_mean_squared_error</i><br><i>normalized_mean_absolute_error</i> |\n",
"| **iteration_timeout_minutes** | Maximum amount of time in minutes that the model can train. This is optional but provides customers with greater control on exit criteria. |\n",
"| **iterations** | Number of models to train. This is optional but provides customers with greater control on exit criteria. |\n",
"| **experiment_timeout_hours** | Maximum amount of time in hours that the experiment can take before it terminates. This is optional but provides customers with greater control on exit criteria. |\n",
"| **label_column_name** | The name of the label column. |\n",
"| **max_horizon** | The forecast horizon is how many periods forward you would like to forecast. This integer horizon is in units of the timeseries frequency (e.g. daily, weekly). Periods are inferred from your data. |\n",
"| **n_cross_validations** | Number of cross validation splits. Rolling Origin Validation is used to split time-series in a temporally consistent way. |\n",
"| **time_column_name** | The name of your time column. |\n",
"| **grain_column_names** | The column names used to uniquely identify timeseries in data that has multiple rows with the same timestamp. |"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"automl_settings = {\n",
" \"task\": \"forecasting\",\n",
" \"primary_metric\": \"normalized_root_mean_squared_error\",\n",
" \"iteration_timeout_minutes\": 10, # This needs to be changed based on the dataset. We ask customer to explore how long training is taking before settings this value\n",
" \"iterations\": 15,\n",
" \"experiment_timeout_hours\": 1, # This also needs to be changed based on the dataset. For larger data set this number needs to be bigger.\n",
" \"label_column_name\": LABEL_COLUMN_NAME,\n",
" \"n_cross_validations\": 3,\n",
" \"time_column_name\": TIME_COLUMN_NAME,\n",
" \"max_horizon\": FORECAST_HORIZON,\n",
" \"track_child_runs\": False,\n",
" \"grain_column_names\": TIME_SERIES_ID_COLUMN_NAMES,\n",
"}"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Backtest AutoML <a id=\"backtest_automl\"></a>\n",
"First we set backtesting parameters: we will step back by 30 days and will make 5 such steps; for each step we will forecast for next two weeks."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# The number of periods to step back on each backtest iteration.\n",
"BACKTESTING_PERIOD = 30\n",
"# The number of times we will back test the model.\n",
"NUMBER_OF_BACKTESTS = 5"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"To train AutoML on backtesting folds we will use the [Azure Machine Learning pipeline](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/machine-learning/concept-ml-pipelines). It will generate backtest folds, then train model for each of them and calculate the accuracy metrics. To run pipeline, you also need to create an <b>Experiment</b>. An Experiment corresponds to a prediction problem you are trying to solve (here, it is a forecasting), while a Run corresponds to a specific approach to the problem."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from uuid import uuid1\n",
"\n",
"from pipeline_helper import get_backtest_pipeline\n",
"\n",
"pipeline_exp = Experiment(ws, \"automl-backtesting\")\n",
"\n",
"# We will create the unique identifier to mark our models.\n",
"model_uid = str(uuid1())\n",
"\n",
"pipeline = get_backtest_pipeline(\n",
" experiment=pipeline_exp,\n",
" dataset=train_data,\n",
" # The STANDARD_DS12_V2 has 4 vCPU per node, we will set 2 process per node to be safe.\n",
" process_per_node=2,\n",
" # The maximum number of nodes for our compute is 6.\n",
" node_count=6,\n",
" compute_target=compute_target,\n",
" automl_settings=automl_settings,\n",
" step_size=BACKTESTING_PERIOD,\n",
" step_number=NUMBER_OF_BACKTESTS,\n",
" model_uid=model_uid,\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Run the pipeline and wait for results."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"pipeline_run = pipeline_exp.submit(pipeline)\n",
"pipeline_run.wait_for_completion(show_output=False)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"After the run is complete, we can download the results. "
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"metrics_output = pipeline_run.get_pipeline_output(\"results\")\n",
"metrics_output.download(\"backtest_metrics\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## View metrics<a id=\"Metrics\"></a>\n",
"To distinguish these metrics from the model backtest, which we will obtain in the next section, we will move the directory with metrics out of the backtest_metrics and will remove the parent folder. We will create the utility function for that."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"def copy_scoring_directory(new_name):\n",
" scores_path = os.path.join(\"backtest_metrics\", \"azureml\")\n",
" directory_list = [os.path.join(scores_path, d) for d in os.listdir(scores_path)]\n",
" latest_file = max(directory_list, key=os.path.getctime)\n",
" print(\n",
" f\"The output directory {latest_file} was created on {pd.Timestamp(os.path.getctime(latest_file), unit='s')} GMT.\"\n",
" )\n",
" shutil.move(os.path.join(latest_file, \"results\"), new_name)\n",
" shutil.rmtree(\"backtest_metrics\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Move the directory and list its contents."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"copy_scoring_directory(\"automl_backtest\")\n",
"pd.DataFrame({\"File\": os.listdir(\"automl_backtest\")})"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"The directory contains a set of files with results:\n",
"- forecast.csv contains forecasts for all backtest iterations. The backtest_iteration column contains iteration identifier with the last training date as a suffix\n",
"- scores.csv contains all metrics. If data set contains several time series, the metrics are given for all combinations of time series id and iterations, as well as scores for all iterations and time series id are marked as \"all_sets\"\n",
"- plots_fcst_vs_actual.pdf contains the predictions vs forecast plots for each iteration and time series.\n",
"\n",
"For demonstration purposes we will display the table of metrics for one of the time series with ID \"ts0\". Again, we will create the utility function, which will be re used in model backtesting."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"def get_metrics_for_ts(all_metrics, ts):\n",
" \"\"\"\n",
" Get the metrics for the time series with ID ts and return it as pandas data frame.\n",
"\n",
" :param all_metrics: The table with all the metrics.\n",
" :param ts: The ID of a time series of interest.\n",
" :return: The pandas DataFrame with metrics for one time series.\n",
" \"\"\"\n",
" results_df = None\n",
" for ts_id, one_series in all_metrics.groupby(\"time_series_id\"):\n",
" if not ts_id.startswith(ts):\n",
" continue\n",
" iteration = ts_id.split(\"|\")[-1]\n",
" df = one_series[[\"metric_name\", \"metric\"]]\n",
" df.rename({\"metric\": iteration}, axis=1, inplace=True)\n",
" df.set_index(\"metric_name\", inplace=True)\n",
" if results_df is None:\n",
" results_df = df\n",
" else:\n",
" results_df = results_df.merge(\n",
" df, how=\"inner\", left_index=True, right_index=True\n",
" )\n",
" results_df.sort_index(axis=1, inplace=True)\n",
" return results_df\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"metrics_df = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(\"automl_backtest\", \"scores.csv\"))\n",
"ts_id = \"ts0\"\n",
"get_metrics_for_ts(metrics_df, ts_id)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Forecast vs actuals plots."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from IPython.display import IFrame\n",
"\n",
"IFrame(\"./automl_backtest/plots_fcst_vs_actual.pdf\", width=800, height=300)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# <font color='blue'>Backtest the best model</font> <a id=\"backtest_model\"></a>\n",
"\n",
"For model backtesting we will use the same parameters we used to backtest AutoML. All the models, we have obtained in the previous run were registered in our workspace. To identify the model, each was assigned a tag with the last trainig date."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"model_list = Model.list(ws, tags={\"experiment\": \"automl-backtesting\"})\n",
"model_data = {\"name\": [], \"last_training_date\": []}\n",
"for model in model_list:\n",
" if (\n",
" \"last_training_date\" not in model.tags\n",
" or \"model_uid\" not in model.tags\n",
" or model.tags[\"model_uid\"] != model_uid\n",
" ):\n",
" continue\n",
" model_data[\"name\"].append(model.name)\n",
" model_data[\"last_training_date\"].append(\n",
" pd.Timestamp(model.tags[\"last_training_date\"])\n",
" )\n",
"df_models = pd.DataFrame(model_data)\n",
"df_models.sort_values([\"last_training_date\"], inplace=True)\n",
"df_models.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)\n",
"df_models"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"We will backtest the model trained on the most recet data."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"model_name = df_models[\"name\"].iloc[-1]\n",
"model_name"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Retrain the models.\n",
"Assemble the pipeline, which will retrain the best model from AutoML run on historical data."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"pipeline_exp = Experiment(ws, \"model-backtesting\")\n",
"\n",
"pipeline = get_backtest_pipeline(\n",
" experiment=pipeline_exp,\n",
" dataset=train_data,\n",
" # The STANDARD_DS12_V2 has 4 vCPU per node, we will set 2 process per node to be safe.\n",
" process_per_node=2,\n",
" # The maximum number of nodes for our compute is 6.\n",
" node_count=6,\n",
" compute_target=compute_target,\n",
" automl_settings=automl_settings,\n",
" step_size=BACKTESTING_PERIOD,\n",
" step_number=NUMBER_OF_BACKTESTS,\n",
" model_name=model_name,\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Launch the backtesting pipeline."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"pipeline_run = pipeline_exp.submit(pipeline)\n",
"pipeline_run.wait_for_completion(show_output=False)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"The metrics are stored in the pipeline output named \"score\". The next code will download the table with metrics."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"metrics_output = pipeline_run.get_pipeline_output(\"results\")\n",
"metrics_output.download(\"backtest_metrics\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Again, we will copy the data files from the downloaded directory, but in this case we will call the folder \"model_backtest\"; it will contain the same files as the one for AutoML backtesting."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"copy_scoring_directory(\"model_backtest\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Finally, we will display the metrics."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"model_metrics_df = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(\"model_backtest\", \"scores.csv\"))\n",
"get_metrics_for_ts(model_metrics_df, ts_id)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Forecast vs actuals plots."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from IPython.display import IFrame\n",
"\n",
"IFrame(\"./model_backtest/plots_fcst_vs_actual.pdf\", width=800, height=300)"
]
}
],
"metadata": {
"authors": [
{
"name": "jialiu"
}
],
"category": "tutorial",
"compute": [
"Remote"
],
"datasets": [
"None"
],
"deployment": [
"None"
],
"exclude_from_index": false,
"framework": [
"Azure ML AutoML"
],
"kernelspec": {
"display_name": "Python 3.6",
"language": "python",
"name": "python36"
},
"language_info": {
"codemirror_mode": {
"name": "ipython",
"version": 3
},
"file_extension": ".py",
"mimetype": "text/x-python",
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.6.9"
}
},
"nbformat": 4,
"nbformat_minor": 4
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,4 @@
name: auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-single-model
dependencies:
- pip:
- azureml-sdk

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,166 @@
from typing import Any, Dict, Optional
import os
import azureml.train.automl.runtime._hts.hts_runtime_utilities as hru
from azureml._restclient.jasmine_client import JasmineClient
from azureml.contrib.automl.pipeline.steps import utilities
from azureml.core import RunConfiguration
from azureml.core.compute import ComputeTarget
from azureml.core.experiment import Experiment
from azureml.data import LinkTabularOutputDatasetConfig, TabularDataset
from azureml.pipeline.core import Pipeline, PipelineData, PipelineParameter
from azureml.pipeline.steps import ParallelRunConfig, ParallelRunStep, PythonScriptStep
from azureml.train.automl.constants import Scenarios
from azureml.data.dataset_consumption_config import DatasetConsumptionConfig
PROJECT_FOLDER = "assets"
SETTINGS_FILE = "automl_settings.json"
def get_backtest_pipeline(
experiment: Experiment,
dataset: TabularDataset,
process_per_node: int,
node_count: int,
compute_target: ComputeTarget,
automl_settings: Dict[str, Any],
step_size: int,
step_number: int,
model_name: Optional[str] = None,
model_uid: Optional[str] = None,
) -> Pipeline:
"""
:param experiment: The experiment used to run the pipeline.
:param dataset: Tabular data set to be used for model training.
:param process_per_node: The number of processes per node. Generally it should be the number of cores
on the node divided by two.
:param node_count: The number of nodes to be used.
:param compute_target: The compute target to be used to run the pipeline.
:param model_name: The name of a model to be back tested.
:param automl_settings: The dictionary with automl settings.
:param step_size: The number of periods to step back in backtesting.
:param step_number: The number of backtesting iterations.
:param model_uid: The uid to mark models from this run of the experiment.
:return: The pipeline to be used for model retraining.
**Note:** The output will be uploaded in the pipeline output
called 'score'.
"""
jasmine_client = JasmineClient(
service_context=experiment.workspace.service_context,
experiment_name=experiment.name,
experiment_id=experiment.id,
)
env = jasmine_client.get_curated_environment(
scenario=Scenarios.AUTOML,
enable_dnn=False,
enable_gpu=False,
compute=compute_target,
compute_sku=experiment.workspace.compute_targets.get(
compute_target.name
).vm_size,
)
data_results = PipelineData(
name="results", datastore=None, pipeline_output_name="results"
)
############################################################
# Split the data set using python script.
############################################################
run_config = RunConfiguration()
run_config.docker.use_docker = True
run_config.environment = env
split_data = PipelineData(name="split_data_output", datastore=None).as_dataset()
split_step = PythonScriptStep(
name="split_data_for_backtest",
script_name="data_split.py",
inputs=[dataset.as_named_input("training_data")],
outputs=[split_data],
source_directory=PROJECT_FOLDER,
arguments=[
"--step-size",
step_size,
"--step-number",
step_number,
"--time-column-name",
automl_settings.get("time_column_name"),
"--time-series-id-column-names",
automl_settings.get("grain_column_names"),
"--output-dir",
split_data,
],
runconfig=run_config,
compute_target=compute_target,
allow_reuse=False,
)
############################################################
# We will do the backtest the parallel run step.
############################################################
settings_path = os.path.join(PROJECT_FOLDER, SETTINGS_FILE)
hru.dump_object_to_json(automl_settings, settings_path)
mini_batch_size = PipelineParameter(name="batch_size_param", default_value=str(1))
back_test_config = ParallelRunConfig(
source_directory=PROJECT_FOLDER,
entry_script="retrain_models.py",
mini_batch_size=mini_batch_size,
error_threshold=-1,
output_action="append_row",
append_row_file_name="outputs.txt",
compute_target=compute_target,
environment=env,
process_count_per_node=process_per_node,
run_invocation_timeout=3600,
node_count=node_count,
)
forecasts = PipelineData(name="forecasts", datastore=None)
if model_name:
parallel_step_name = "{}-backtest".format(model_name.replace("_", "-"))
else:
parallel_step_name = "AutoML-backtest"
prs_args = [
"--target_column_name",
automl_settings.get("label_column_name"),
"--output-dir",
forecasts,
]
if model_name is not None:
prs_args.append("--model-name")
prs_args.append(model_name)
if model_uid is not None:
prs_args.append("--model-uid")
prs_args.append(model_uid)
backtest_prs = ParallelRunStep(
name=parallel_step_name,
parallel_run_config=back_test_config,
arguments=prs_args,
inputs=[split_data],
output=forecasts,
allow_reuse=False,
)
############################################################
# Then we collect the output and return it as scores output.
############################################################
collection_step = PythonScriptStep(
name="score",
script_name="score.py",
inputs=[forecasts.as_mount()],
outputs=[data_results],
source_directory=PROJECT_FOLDER,
arguments=[
"--forecasts",
forecasts,
"--output-dir",
data_results,
],
runconfig=run_config,
compute_target=compute_target,
allow_reuse=False,
)
# Build and return the pipeline.
return Pipeline(
workspace=experiment.workspace,
steps=[split_step, backtest_prs, collection_step],
)

View File

@@ -1,20 +0,0 @@
DATE,grain,BeerProduction
2017-01-01,grain,9049
2017-02-01,grain,10458
2017-03-01,grain,12489
2017-04-01,grain,11499
2017-05-01,grain,13553
2017-06-01,grain,14740
2017-07-01,grain,11424
2017-08-01,grain,13412
2017-09-01,grain,11917
2017-10-01,grain,12721
2017-11-01,grain,13272
2017-12-01,grain,14278
2018-01-01,grain,9572
2018-02-01,grain,10423
2018-03-01,grain,12667
2018-04-01,grain,11904
2018-05-01,grain,14120
2018-06-01,grain,14565
2018-07-01,grain,12622
1 DATE grain BeerProduction
2 2017-01-01 grain 9049
3 2017-02-01 grain 10458
4 2017-03-01 grain 12489
5 2017-04-01 grain 11499
6 2017-05-01 grain 13553
7 2017-06-01 grain 14740
8 2017-07-01 grain 11424
9 2017-08-01 grain 13412
10 2017-09-01 grain 11917
11 2017-10-01 grain 12721
12 2017-11-01 grain 13272
13 2017-12-01 grain 14278
14 2018-01-01 grain 9572
15 2018-02-01 grain 10423
16 2018-03-01 grain 12667
17 2018-04-01 grain 11904
18 2018-05-01 grain 14120
19 2018-06-01 grain 14565
20 2018-07-01 grain 12622

View File

@@ -1,301 +0,0 @@
DATE,grain,BeerProduction
1992-01-01,grain,3459
1992-02-01,grain,3458
1992-03-01,grain,4002
1992-04-01,grain,4564
1992-05-01,grain,4221
1992-06-01,grain,4529
1992-07-01,grain,4466
1992-08-01,grain,4137
1992-09-01,grain,4126
1992-10-01,grain,4259
1992-11-01,grain,4240
1992-12-01,grain,4936
1993-01-01,grain,3031
1993-02-01,grain,3261
1993-03-01,grain,4160
1993-04-01,grain,4377
1993-05-01,grain,4307
1993-06-01,grain,4696
1993-07-01,grain,4458
1993-08-01,grain,4457
1993-09-01,grain,4364
1993-10-01,grain,4236
1993-11-01,grain,4500
1993-12-01,grain,4974
1994-01-01,grain,3075
1994-02-01,grain,3377
1994-03-01,grain,4443
1994-04-01,grain,4261
1994-05-01,grain,4460
1994-06-01,grain,4985
1994-07-01,grain,4324
1994-08-01,grain,4719
1994-09-01,grain,4374
1994-10-01,grain,4248
1994-11-01,grain,4784
1994-12-01,grain,4971
1995-01-01,grain,3370
1995-02-01,grain,3484
1995-03-01,grain,4269
1995-04-01,grain,3994
1995-05-01,grain,4715
1995-06-01,grain,4974
1995-07-01,grain,4223
1995-08-01,grain,5000
1995-09-01,grain,4235
1995-10-01,grain,4554
1995-11-01,grain,4851
1995-12-01,grain,4826
1996-01-01,grain,3699
1996-02-01,grain,3983
1996-03-01,grain,4262
1996-04-01,grain,4619
1996-05-01,grain,5219
1996-06-01,grain,4836
1996-07-01,grain,4941
1996-08-01,grain,5062
1996-09-01,grain,4365
1996-10-01,grain,5012
1996-11-01,grain,4850
1996-12-01,grain,5097
1997-01-01,grain,3758
1997-02-01,grain,3825
1997-03-01,grain,4454
1997-04-01,grain,4635
1997-05-01,grain,5210
1997-06-01,grain,5057
1997-07-01,grain,5231
1997-08-01,grain,5034
1997-09-01,grain,4970
1997-10-01,grain,5342
1997-11-01,grain,4831
1997-12-01,grain,5965
1998-01-01,grain,3796
1998-02-01,grain,4019
1998-03-01,grain,4898
1998-04-01,grain,5090
1998-05-01,grain,5237
1998-06-01,grain,5447
1998-07-01,grain,5435
1998-08-01,grain,5107
1998-09-01,grain,5515
1998-10-01,grain,5583
1998-11-01,grain,5346
1998-12-01,grain,6286
1999-01-01,grain,4032
1999-02-01,grain,4435
1999-03-01,grain,5479
1999-04-01,grain,5483
1999-05-01,grain,5587
1999-06-01,grain,6176
1999-07-01,grain,5621
1999-08-01,grain,5889
1999-09-01,grain,5828
1999-10-01,grain,5849
1999-11-01,grain,6180
1999-12-01,grain,6771
2000-01-01,grain,4243
2000-02-01,grain,4952
2000-03-01,grain,6008
2000-04-01,grain,5353
2000-05-01,grain,6435
2000-06-01,grain,6673
2000-07-01,grain,5636
2000-08-01,grain,6630
2000-09-01,grain,5887
2000-10-01,grain,6322
2000-11-01,grain,6520
2000-12-01,grain,6678
2001-01-01,grain,5082
2001-02-01,grain,5216
2001-03-01,grain,5893
2001-04-01,grain,5894
2001-05-01,grain,6799
2001-06-01,grain,6667
2001-07-01,grain,6374
2001-08-01,grain,6840
2001-09-01,grain,5575
2001-10-01,grain,6545
2001-11-01,grain,6789
2001-12-01,grain,7180
2002-01-01,grain,5117
2002-02-01,grain,5442
2002-03-01,grain,6337
2002-04-01,grain,6525
2002-05-01,grain,7216
2002-06-01,grain,6761
2002-07-01,grain,6958
2002-08-01,grain,7070
2002-09-01,grain,6148
2002-10-01,grain,6924
2002-11-01,grain,6716
2002-12-01,grain,7975
2003-01-01,grain,5326
2003-02-01,grain,5609
2003-03-01,grain,6414
2003-04-01,grain,6741
2003-05-01,grain,7144
2003-06-01,grain,7133
2003-07-01,grain,7568
2003-08-01,grain,7266
2003-09-01,grain,6634
2003-10-01,grain,7626
2003-11-01,grain,6843
2003-12-01,grain,8540
2004-01-01,grain,5629
2004-02-01,grain,5898
2004-03-01,grain,7045
2004-04-01,grain,7094
2004-05-01,grain,7333
2004-06-01,grain,7918
2004-07-01,grain,7289
2004-08-01,grain,7396
2004-09-01,grain,7259
2004-10-01,grain,7268
2004-11-01,grain,7731
2004-12-01,grain,9058
2005-01-01,grain,5557
2005-02-01,grain,6237
2005-03-01,grain,7723
2005-04-01,grain,7262
2005-05-01,grain,8241
2005-06-01,grain,8757
2005-07-01,grain,7352
2005-08-01,grain,8496
2005-09-01,grain,7741
2005-10-01,grain,7710
2005-11-01,grain,8247
2005-12-01,grain,8902
2006-01-01,grain,6066
2006-02-01,grain,6590
2006-03-01,grain,7923
2006-04-01,grain,7335
2006-05-01,grain,8843
2006-06-01,grain,9327
2006-07-01,grain,7792
2006-08-01,grain,9156
2006-09-01,grain,8037
2006-10-01,grain,8640
2006-11-01,grain,9128
2006-12-01,grain,9545
2007-01-01,grain,6627
2007-02-01,grain,6743
2007-03-01,grain,8195
2007-04-01,grain,7828
2007-05-01,grain,9570
2007-06-01,grain,9484
2007-07-01,grain,8608
2007-08-01,grain,9543
2007-09-01,grain,8123
2007-10-01,grain,9649
2007-11-01,grain,9390
2007-12-01,grain,10065
2008-01-01,grain,7093
2008-02-01,grain,7483
2008-03-01,grain,8365
2008-04-01,grain,8895
2008-05-01,grain,9794
2008-06-01,grain,9977
2008-07-01,grain,9553
2008-08-01,grain,9375
2008-09-01,grain,9225
2008-10-01,grain,9948
2008-11-01,grain,8758
2008-12-01,grain,10839
2009-01-01,grain,7266
2009-02-01,grain,7578
2009-03-01,grain,8688
2009-04-01,grain,9162
2009-05-01,grain,9369
2009-06-01,grain,10167
2009-07-01,grain,9507
2009-08-01,grain,8923
2009-09-01,grain,9272
2009-10-01,grain,9075
2009-11-01,grain,8949
2009-12-01,grain,10843
2010-01-01,grain,6558
2010-02-01,grain,7481
2010-03-01,grain,9475
2010-04-01,grain,9424
2010-05-01,grain,9351
2010-06-01,grain,10552
2010-07-01,grain,9077
2010-08-01,grain,9273
2010-09-01,grain,9420
2010-10-01,grain,9413
2010-11-01,grain,9866
2010-12-01,grain,11455
2011-01-01,grain,6901
2011-02-01,grain,8014
2011-03-01,grain,9832
2011-04-01,grain,9281
2011-05-01,grain,9967
2011-06-01,grain,11344
2011-07-01,grain,9106
2011-08-01,grain,10469
2011-09-01,grain,10085
2011-10-01,grain,9612
2011-11-01,grain,10328
2011-12-01,grain,11483
2012-01-01,grain,7486
2012-02-01,grain,8641
2012-03-01,grain,9709
2012-04-01,grain,9423
2012-05-01,grain,11342
2012-06-01,grain,11274
2012-07-01,grain,9845
2012-08-01,grain,11163
2012-09-01,grain,9532
2012-10-01,grain,10754
2012-11-01,grain,10953
2012-12-01,grain,11922
2013-01-01,grain,8395
2013-02-01,grain,8888
2013-03-01,grain,10110
2013-04-01,grain,10493
2013-05-01,grain,12218
2013-06-01,grain,11385
2013-07-01,grain,11186
2013-08-01,grain,11462
2013-09-01,grain,10494
2013-10-01,grain,11540
2013-11-01,grain,11138
2013-12-01,grain,12709
2014-01-01,grain,8557
2014-02-01,grain,9059
2014-03-01,grain,10055
2014-04-01,grain,10977
2014-05-01,grain,11792
2014-06-01,grain,11904
2014-07-01,grain,10965
2014-08-01,grain,10981
2014-09-01,grain,10828
2014-10-01,grain,11817
2014-11-01,grain,10470
2014-12-01,grain,13310
2015-01-01,grain,8400
2015-02-01,grain,9062
2015-03-01,grain,10722
2015-04-01,grain,11107
2015-05-01,grain,11508
2015-06-01,grain,12904
2015-07-01,grain,11869
2015-08-01,grain,11224
2015-09-01,grain,12022
2015-10-01,grain,11983
2015-11-01,grain,11506
2015-12-01,grain,14183
2016-01-01,grain,8650
2016-02-01,grain,10323
2016-03-01,grain,12110
2016-04-01,grain,11424
2016-05-01,grain,12243
2016-06-01,grain,13686
2016-07-01,grain,10956
2016-08-01,grain,12706
2016-09-01,grain,12279
2016-10-01,grain,11914
2016-11-01,grain,13025
2016-12-01,grain,14431
1 DATE grain BeerProduction
2 1992-01-01 grain 3459
3 1992-02-01 grain 3458
4 1992-03-01 grain 4002
5 1992-04-01 grain 4564
6 1992-05-01 grain 4221
7 1992-06-01 grain 4529
8 1992-07-01 grain 4466
9 1992-08-01 grain 4137
10 1992-09-01 grain 4126
11 1992-10-01 grain 4259
12 1992-11-01 grain 4240
13 1992-12-01 grain 4936
14 1993-01-01 grain 3031
15 1993-02-01 grain 3261
16 1993-03-01 grain 4160
17 1993-04-01 grain 4377
18 1993-05-01 grain 4307
19 1993-06-01 grain 4696
20 1993-07-01 grain 4458
21 1993-08-01 grain 4457
22 1993-09-01 grain 4364
23 1993-10-01 grain 4236
24 1993-11-01 grain 4500
25 1993-12-01 grain 4974
26 1994-01-01 grain 3075
27 1994-02-01 grain 3377
28 1994-03-01 grain 4443
29 1994-04-01 grain 4261
30 1994-05-01 grain 4460
31 1994-06-01 grain 4985
32 1994-07-01 grain 4324
33 1994-08-01 grain 4719
34 1994-09-01 grain 4374
35 1994-10-01 grain 4248
36 1994-11-01 grain 4784
37 1994-12-01 grain 4971
38 1995-01-01 grain 3370
39 1995-02-01 grain 3484
40 1995-03-01 grain 4269
41 1995-04-01 grain 3994
42 1995-05-01 grain 4715
43 1995-06-01 grain 4974
44 1995-07-01 grain 4223
45 1995-08-01 grain 5000
46 1995-09-01 grain 4235
47 1995-10-01 grain 4554
48 1995-11-01 grain 4851
49 1995-12-01 grain 4826
50 1996-01-01 grain 3699
51 1996-02-01 grain 3983
52 1996-03-01 grain 4262
53 1996-04-01 grain 4619
54 1996-05-01 grain 5219
55 1996-06-01 grain 4836
56 1996-07-01 grain 4941
57 1996-08-01 grain 5062
58 1996-09-01 grain 4365
59 1996-10-01 grain 5012
60 1996-11-01 grain 4850
61 1996-12-01 grain 5097
62 1997-01-01 grain 3758
63 1997-02-01 grain 3825
64 1997-03-01 grain 4454
65 1997-04-01 grain 4635
66 1997-05-01 grain 5210
67 1997-06-01 grain 5057
68 1997-07-01 grain 5231
69 1997-08-01 grain 5034
70 1997-09-01 grain 4970
71 1997-10-01 grain 5342
72 1997-11-01 grain 4831
73 1997-12-01 grain 5965
74 1998-01-01 grain 3796
75 1998-02-01 grain 4019
76 1998-03-01 grain 4898
77 1998-04-01 grain 5090
78 1998-05-01 grain 5237
79 1998-06-01 grain 5447
80 1998-07-01 grain 5435
81 1998-08-01 grain 5107
82 1998-09-01 grain 5515
83 1998-10-01 grain 5583
84 1998-11-01 grain 5346
85 1998-12-01 grain 6286
86 1999-01-01 grain 4032
87 1999-02-01 grain 4435
88 1999-03-01 grain 5479
89 1999-04-01 grain 5483
90 1999-05-01 grain 5587
91 1999-06-01 grain 6176
92 1999-07-01 grain 5621
93 1999-08-01 grain 5889
94 1999-09-01 grain 5828
95 1999-10-01 grain 5849
96 1999-11-01 grain 6180
97 1999-12-01 grain 6771
98 2000-01-01 grain 4243
99 2000-02-01 grain 4952
100 2000-03-01 grain 6008
101 2000-04-01 grain 5353
102 2000-05-01 grain 6435
103 2000-06-01 grain 6673
104 2000-07-01 grain 5636
105 2000-08-01 grain 6630
106 2000-09-01 grain 5887
107 2000-10-01 grain 6322
108 2000-11-01 grain 6520
109 2000-12-01 grain 6678
110 2001-01-01 grain 5082
111 2001-02-01 grain 5216
112 2001-03-01 grain 5893
113 2001-04-01 grain 5894
114 2001-05-01 grain 6799
115 2001-06-01 grain 6667
116 2001-07-01 grain 6374
117 2001-08-01 grain 6840
118 2001-09-01 grain 5575
119 2001-10-01 grain 6545
120 2001-11-01 grain 6789
121 2001-12-01 grain 7180
122 2002-01-01 grain 5117
123 2002-02-01 grain 5442
124 2002-03-01 grain 6337
125 2002-04-01 grain 6525
126 2002-05-01 grain 7216
127 2002-06-01 grain 6761
128 2002-07-01 grain 6958
129 2002-08-01 grain 7070
130 2002-09-01 grain 6148
131 2002-10-01 grain 6924
132 2002-11-01 grain 6716
133 2002-12-01 grain 7975
134 2003-01-01 grain 5326
135 2003-02-01 grain 5609
136 2003-03-01 grain 6414
137 2003-04-01 grain 6741
138 2003-05-01 grain 7144
139 2003-06-01 grain 7133
140 2003-07-01 grain 7568
141 2003-08-01 grain 7266
142 2003-09-01 grain 6634
143 2003-10-01 grain 7626
144 2003-11-01 grain 6843
145 2003-12-01 grain 8540
146 2004-01-01 grain 5629
147 2004-02-01 grain 5898
148 2004-03-01 grain 7045
149 2004-04-01 grain 7094
150 2004-05-01 grain 7333
151 2004-06-01 grain 7918
152 2004-07-01 grain 7289
153 2004-08-01 grain 7396
154 2004-09-01 grain 7259
155 2004-10-01 grain 7268
156 2004-11-01 grain 7731
157 2004-12-01 grain 9058
158 2005-01-01 grain 5557
159 2005-02-01 grain 6237
160 2005-03-01 grain 7723
161 2005-04-01 grain 7262
162 2005-05-01 grain 8241
163 2005-06-01 grain 8757
164 2005-07-01 grain 7352
165 2005-08-01 grain 8496
166 2005-09-01 grain 7741
167 2005-10-01 grain 7710
168 2005-11-01 grain 8247
169 2005-12-01 grain 8902
170 2006-01-01 grain 6066
171 2006-02-01 grain 6590
172 2006-03-01 grain 7923
173 2006-04-01 grain 7335
174 2006-05-01 grain 8843
175 2006-06-01 grain 9327
176 2006-07-01 grain 7792
177 2006-08-01 grain 9156
178 2006-09-01 grain 8037
179 2006-10-01 grain 8640
180 2006-11-01 grain 9128
181 2006-12-01 grain 9545
182 2007-01-01 grain 6627
183 2007-02-01 grain 6743
184 2007-03-01 grain 8195
185 2007-04-01 grain 7828
186 2007-05-01 grain 9570
187 2007-06-01 grain 9484
188 2007-07-01 grain 8608
189 2007-08-01 grain 9543
190 2007-09-01 grain 8123
191 2007-10-01 grain 9649
192 2007-11-01 grain 9390
193 2007-12-01 grain 10065
194 2008-01-01 grain 7093
195 2008-02-01 grain 7483
196 2008-03-01 grain 8365
197 2008-04-01 grain 8895
198 2008-05-01 grain 9794
199 2008-06-01 grain 9977
200 2008-07-01 grain 9553
201 2008-08-01 grain 9375
202 2008-09-01 grain 9225
203 2008-10-01 grain 9948
204 2008-11-01 grain 8758
205 2008-12-01 grain 10839
206 2009-01-01 grain 7266
207 2009-02-01 grain 7578
208 2009-03-01 grain 8688
209 2009-04-01 grain 9162
210 2009-05-01 grain 9369
211 2009-06-01 grain 10167
212 2009-07-01 grain 9507
213 2009-08-01 grain 8923
214 2009-09-01 grain 9272
215 2009-10-01 grain 9075
216 2009-11-01 grain 8949
217 2009-12-01 grain 10843
218 2010-01-01 grain 6558
219 2010-02-01 grain 7481
220 2010-03-01 grain 9475
221 2010-04-01 grain 9424
222 2010-05-01 grain 9351
223 2010-06-01 grain 10552
224 2010-07-01 grain 9077
225 2010-08-01 grain 9273
226 2010-09-01 grain 9420
227 2010-10-01 grain 9413
228 2010-11-01 grain 9866
229 2010-12-01 grain 11455
230 2011-01-01 grain 6901
231 2011-02-01 grain 8014
232 2011-03-01 grain 9832
233 2011-04-01 grain 9281
234 2011-05-01 grain 9967
235 2011-06-01 grain 11344
236 2011-07-01 grain 9106
237 2011-08-01 grain 10469
238 2011-09-01 grain 10085
239 2011-10-01 grain 9612
240 2011-11-01 grain 10328
241 2011-12-01 grain 11483
242 2012-01-01 grain 7486
243 2012-02-01 grain 8641
244 2012-03-01 grain 9709
245 2012-04-01 grain 9423
246 2012-05-01 grain 11342
247 2012-06-01 grain 11274
248 2012-07-01 grain 9845
249 2012-08-01 grain 11163
250 2012-09-01 grain 9532
251 2012-10-01 grain 10754
252 2012-11-01 grain 10953
253 2012-12-01 grain 11922
254 2013-01-01 grain 8395
255 2013-02-01 grain 8888
256 2013-03-01 grain 10110
257 2013-04-01 grain 10493
258 2013-05-01 grain 12218
259 2013-06-01 grain 11385
260 2013-07-01 grain 11186
261 2013-08-01 grain 11462
262 2013-09-01 grain 10494
263 2013-10-01 grain 11540
264 2013-11-01 grain 11138
265 2013-12-01 grain 12709
266 2014-01-01 grain 8557
267 2014-02-01 grain 9059
268 2014-03-01 grain 10055
269 2014-04-01 grain 10977
270 2014-05-01 grain 11792
271 2014-06-01 grain 11904
272 2014-07-01 grain 10965
273 2014-08-01 grain 10981
274 2014-09-01 grain 10828
275 2014-10-01 grain 11817
276 2014-11-01 grain 10470
277 2014-12-01 grain 13310
278 2015-01-01 grain 8400
279 2015-02-01 grain 9062
280 2015-03-01 grain 10722
281 2015-04-01 grain 11107
282 2015-05-01 grain 11508
283 2015-06-01 grain 12904
284 2015-07-01 grain 11869
285 2015-08-01 grain 11224
286 2015-09-01 grain 12022
287 2015-10-01 grain 11983
288 2015-11-01 grain 11506
289 2015-12-01 grain 14183
290 2016-01-01 grain 8650
291 2016-02-01 grain 10323
292 2016-03-01 grain 12110
293 2016-04-01 grain 11424
294 2016-05-01 grain 12243
295 2016-06-01 grain 13686
296 2016-07-01 grain 10956
297 2016-08-01 grain 12706
298 2016-09-01 grain 12279
299 2016-10-01 grain 11914
300 2016-11-01 grain 13025
301 2016-12-01 grain 14431

View File

@@ -1,4 +0,0 @@
name: auto-ml-forecasting-beer-remote
dependencies:
- pip:
- azureml-sdk

View File

@@ -64,15 +64,16 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import azureml.core\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"import json\n",
"import logging\n",
"\n",
"from azureml.core import Workspace, Experiment, Dataset\n",
"from azureml.train.automl import AutoMLConfig\n",
"from datetime import datetime\n",
"from azureml.automl.core.featurization import FeaturizationConfig"
"\n",
"import azureml.core\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"from azureml.automl.core.featurization import FeaturizationConfig\n",
"from azureml.core import Dataset, Experiment, Workspace\n",
"from azureml.train.automl import AutoMLConfig\n"
]
},
{
@@ -88,7 +89,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -119,7 +120,7 @@
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"output[\"Run History Name\"] = experiment_name\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", -1)\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -398,8 +399,8 @@
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Retrieve the Best Model\n",
"Below we select the best model from all the training iterations using get_output method."
"### Retrieve the Best Run details\n",
"Below we retrieve the best Run object from among all the runs in the experiment."
]
},
{
@@ -408,8 +409,8 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run, fitted_model = remote_run.get_output()\n",
"fitted_model.steps"
"best_run = remote_run.get_best_child()\n",
"best_run"
]
},
{
@@ -418,7 +419,7 @@
"source": [
"## Featurization\n",
"\n",
"You can access the engineered feature names generated in time-series featurization. Note that a number of named holiday periods are represented. We recommend that you have at least one year of data when using this feature to ensure that all yearly holidays are captured in the training featurization."
"We can look at the engineered feature names generated in time-series featurization via. the JSON file named 'engineered_feature_names.json' under the run outputs. Note that a number of named holiday periods are represented. We recommend that you have at least one year of data when using this feature to ensure that all yearly holidays are captured in the training featurization."
]
},
{
@@ -427,7 +428,12 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"fitted_model.named_steps[\"timeseriestransformer\"].get_engineered_feature_names()"
"# Download the JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/engineered_feature_names.json\", \"engineered_feature_names.json\")\n",
"with open(\"engineered_feature_names.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"\n",
"records"
]
},
{
@@ -451,12 +457,16 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Get the featurization summary as a list of JSON\n",
"featurization_summary = fitted_model.named_steps[\n",
" \"timeseriestransformer\"\n",
"].get_featurization_summary()\n",
"# View the featurization summary as a pandas dataframe\n",
"pd.DataFrame.from_records(featurization_summary)"
"# Download the featurization summary JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/featurization_summary.json\", \"featurization_summary.json\")\n",
"\n",
"# Render the JSON as a pandas DataFrame\n",
"with open(\"featurization_summary.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"fs = pd.DataFrame.from_records(records)\n",
"\n",
"# View a summary of the featurization \n",
"fs[[\"RawFeatureName\", \"TypeDetected\", \"Dropped\", \"EngineeredFeatureCount\", \"Transformations\"]]"
]
},
{

View File

@@ -68,6 +68,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import json\n",
"import logging\n",
"\n",
"from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error, mean_squared_error, r2_score\n",
@@ -99,7 +100,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -398,8 +399,8 @@
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Retrieve the Best Model\n",
"Below we select the best model from all the training iterations using get_output method."
"### Retrieve the Best Run details\n",
"Below we retrieve the best Run object from among all the runs in the experiment."
]
},
{
@@ -408,8 +409,8 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run, fitted_model = remote_run.get_output()\n",
"fitted_model.steps"
"best_run = remote_run.get_best_child()\n",
"best_run"
]
},
{
@@ -417,7 +418,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Featurization\n",
"You can access the engineered feature names generated in time-series featurization."
"We can look at the engineered feature names generated in time-series featurization via. the JSON file named 'engineered_feature_names.json' under the run outputs. "
]
},
{
@@ -426,7 +427,12 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"fitted_model.named_steps[\"timeseriestransformer\"].get_engineered_feature_names()"
"# Download the JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/engineered_feature_names.json\", \"engineered_feature_names.json\")\n",
"with open(\"engineered_feature_names.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"\n",
"records"
]
},
{
@@ -449,12 +455,16 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Get the featurization summary as a list of JSON\n",
"featurization_summary = fitted_model.named_steps[\n",
" \"timeseriestransformer\"\n",
"].get_featurization_summary()\n",
"# View the featurization summary as a pandas dataframe\n",
"pd.DataFrame.from_records(featurization_summary)"
"# Download the featurization summary JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/featurization_summary.json\", \"featurization_summary.json\")\n",
"\n",
"# Render the JSON as a pandas DataFrame\n",
"with open(\"featurization_summary.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"fs = pd.DataFrame.from_records(records)\n",
"\n",
"# View a summary of the featurization \n",
"fs[[\"RawFeatureName\", \"TypeDetected\", \"Dropped\", \"EngineeredFeatureCount\", \"Transformations\"]]"
]
},
{
@@ -641,7 +651,7 @@
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Retrieve the Best Model"
"### Retrieve the Best Run details"
]
},
{
@@ -650,7 +660,8 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run_lags, fitted_model_lags = advanced_remote_run.get_output()"
"best_run_lags = remote_run.get_best_child()\n",
"best_run_lags"
]
},
{

View File

@@ -94,7 +94,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},

View File

@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@
},
"source": [
"# Automated Machine Learning\n",
"**Beer Production Forecasting**\n",
"**Github DAU Forecasting**\n",
"\n",
"## Contents\n",
"1. [Introduction](#Introduction)\n",
@@ -48,7 +48,7 @@
},
"source": [
"## Introduction\n",
"This notebook demonstrates demand forecasting for Beer Production Dataset using AutoML.\n",
"This notebook demonstrates demand forecasting for Github Daily Active Users Dataset using AutoML.\n",
"\n",
"AutoML highlights here include using Deep Learning forecasts, Arima, Prophet, Remote Execution and Remote Inferencing, and working with the `forecast` function. Please also look at the additional forecasting notebooks, which document lagging, rolling windows, forecast quantiles, other ways to use the forecast function, and forecaster deployment.\n",
"\n",
@@ -104,7 +104,7 @@
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"This sample notebook may use features that are not available in previous versions of the Azure ML SDK."
"This notebook is compatible with Azure ML SDK version 1.35.0 or later."
]
},
{
@@ -113,7 +113,6 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -139,7 +138,7 @@
"ws = Workspace.from_config()\n",
"\n",
"# choose a name for the run history container in the workspace\n",
"experiment_name = \"beer-remote-cpu\"\n",
"experiment_name = \"github-remote-cpu\"\n",
"\n",
"experiment = Experiment(ws, experiment_name)\n",
"\n",
@@ -149,7 +148,7 @@
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"output[\"Run History Name\"] = experiment_name\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", -1)\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -180,7 +179,7 @@
"from azureml.core.compute_target import ComputeTargetException\n",
"\n",
"# Choose a name for your CPU cluster\n",
"cpu_cluster_name = \"beer-cluster\"\n",
"cpu_cluster_name = \"github-cluster\"\n",
"\n",
"# Verify that cluster does not exist already\n",
"try:\n",
@@ -203,7 +202,7 @@
},
"source": [
"## Data\n",
"Read Beer demand data from file, and preview data."
"Read Github DAU data from file, and preview data."
]
},
{
@@ -246,21 +245,19 @@
"plt.tight_layout()\n",
"\n",
"plt.subplot(2, 1, 1)\n",
"plt.title(\"Beer Production By Year\")\n",
"df = pd.read_csv(\n",
" \"Beer_no_valid_split_train.csv\", parse_dates=True, index_col=\"DATE\"\n",
").drop(columns=\"grain\")\n",
"plt.title(\"Github Daily Active User By Year\")\n",
"df = pd.read_csv(\"github_dau_2011-2018_train.csv\", parse_dates=True, index_col=\"date\")\n",
"test_df = pd.read_csv(\n",
" \"Beer_no_valid_split_test.csv\", parse_dates=True, index_col=\"DATE\"\n",
").drop(columns=\"grain\")\n",
" \"github_dau_2011-2018_test.csv\", parse_dates=True, index_col=\"date\"\n",
")\n",
"plt.plot(df)\n",
"\n",
"plt.subplot(2, 1, 2)\n",
"plt.title(\"Beer Production By Month\")\n",
"plt.title(\"Github Daily Active User By Month\")\n",
"groups = df.groupby(df.index.month)\n",
"months = concat([DataFrame(x[1].values) for x in groups], axis=1)\n",
"months = DataFrame(months)\n",
"months.columns = range(1, 13)\n",
"months.columns = range(1, 49)\n",
"months.boxplot()\n",
"\n",
"plt.show()"
@@ -275,10 +272,10 @@
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"target_column_name = \"BeerProduction\"\n",
"time_column_name = \"DATE\"\n",
"target_column_name = \"count\"\n",
"time_column_name = \"date\"\n",
"time_series_id_column_names = []\n",
"freq = \"M\" # Monthly data"
"freq = \"D\" # Daily data"
]
},
{
@@ -308,19 +305,19 @@
"datastore = ws.get_default_datastore()\n",
"datastore.upload_files(\n",
" files=[\"./train.csv\"],\n",
" target_path=\"beer-dataset/tabular/\",\n",
" target_path=\"github-dataset/tabular/\",\n",
" overwrite=True,\n",
" show_progress=True,\n",
")\n",
"datastore.upload_files(\n",
" files=[\"./valid.csv\"],\n",
" target_path=\"beer-dataset/tabular/\",\n",
" target_path=\"github-dataset/tabular/\",\n",
" overwrite=True,\n",
" show_progress=True,\n",
")\n",
"datastore.upload_files(\n",
" files=[\"./test.csv\"],\n",
" target_path=\"beer-dataset/tabular/\",\n",
" target_path=\"github-dataset/tabular/\",\n",
" overwrite=True,\n",
" show_progress=True,\n",
")\n",
@@ -328,13 +325,13 @@
"from azureml.core import Dataset\n",
"\n",
"train_dataset = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"beer-dataset/tabular/train.csv\")]\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"github-dataset/tabular/train.csv\")]\n",
")\n",
"valid_dataset = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"beer-dataset/tabular/valid.csv\")]\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"github-dataset/tabular/valid.csv\")]\n",
")\n",
"test_dataset = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"beer-dataset/tabular/test.csv\")]\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"github-dataset/tabular/test.csv\")]\n",
")"
]
},
@@ -397,7 +394,7 @@
"forecasting_parameters = ForecastingParameters(\n",
" time_column_name=time_column_name,\n",
" forecast_horizon=forecast_horizon,\n",
" freq=\"MS\", # Set the forecast frequency to be monthly (start of the month)\n",
" freq=\"D\", # Set the forecast frequency to be daily\n",
")\n",
"\n",
"# We will disable the enable_early_stopping flag to ensure the DNN model is recommended for demonstration purpose.\n",
@@ -570,7 +567,7 @@
"from azureml.core import Dataset\n",
"\n",
"test_dataset = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"beer-dataset/tabular/test.csv\")]\n",
" path=[(datastore, \"github-dataset/tabular/test.csv\")]\n",
")\n",
"# preview the first 3 rows of the dataset\n",
"test_dataset.take(5).to_pandas_dataframe()"
@@ -582,7 +579,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"compute_target = ws.compute_targets[\"beer-cluster\"]\n",
"compute_target = ws.compute_targets[\"github-cluster\"]\n",
"test_experiment = Experiment(ws, experiment_name + \"_test\")"
]
},

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,4 @@
name: auto-ml-forecasting-github-dau
dependencies:
- pip:
- azureml-sdk

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,455 @@
date,count,day_of_week,month_of_year,holiday
2017-06-04,104663,6.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-05,155824,0.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-06,164908,1.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-07,170309,2.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-08,164256,3.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-09,153406,4.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-10,97024,5.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-11,103442,6.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-12,160768,0.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-13,166288,1.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-14,163819,2.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-15,157593,3.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-16,149259,4.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-17,95579,5.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-18,98723,6.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-19,159076,0.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-20,163340,1.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-21,163344,2.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-22,159528,3.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-23,146563,4.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-24,92631,5.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-25,96549,6.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-26,153249,0.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-27,160357,1.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-28,159941,2.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-29,156781,3.0,5.0,0.0
2017-06-30,144709,4.0,5.0,0.0
2017-07-01,89101,5.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-02,93046,6.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-03,144113,0.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-04,143061,1.0,6.0,1.0
2017-07-05,154603,2.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-06,157200,3.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-07,147213,4.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-08,92348,5.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-09,97018,6.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-10,157192,0.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-11,161819,1.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-12,161998,2.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-13,160280,3.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-14,146818,4.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-15,93041,5.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-16,97505,6.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-17,156167,0.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-18,162855,1.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-19,162519,2.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-20,159941,3.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-21,148460,4.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-22,93431,5.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-23,98553,6.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-24,156202,0.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-25,162503,1.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-26,158479,2.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-27,158192,3.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-28,147108,4.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-29,93799,5.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-30,97920,6.0,6.0,0.0
2017-07-31,152197,0.0,6.0,0.0
2017-08-01,158477,1.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-02,159089,2.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-03,157182,3.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-04,146345,4.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-05,92534,5.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-06,97128,6.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-07,151359,0.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-08,159895,1.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-09,158329,2.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-10,155468,3.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-11,144914,4.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-12,92258,5.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-13,95933,6.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-14,147706,0.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-15,151115,1.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-16,157640,2.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-17,156600,3.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-18,146980,4.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-19,94592,5.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-20,99320,6.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-21,145727,0.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-22,160260,1.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-23,160440,2.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-24,157830,3.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-25,145822,4.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-26,94706,5.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-27,99047,6.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-28,152112,0.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-29,162440,1.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-30,162902,2.0,7.0,0.0
2017-08-31,159498,3.0,7.0,0.0
2017-09-01,145689,4.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-02,93589,5.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-03,100058,6.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-04,140865,0.0,8.0,1.0
2017-09-05,165715,1.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-06,167463,2.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-07,164811,3.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-08,156157,4.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-09,101358,5.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-10,107915,6.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-11,167845,0.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-12,172756,1.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-13,172851,2.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-14,171675,3.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-15,159266,4.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-16,103547,5.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-17,110964,6.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-18,170976,0.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-19,177864,1.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-20,173567,2.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-21,172017,3.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-22,161357,4.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-23,104681,5.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-24,111711,6.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-25,173517,0.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-26,180049,1.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-27,178307,2.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-28,174157,3.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-29,161707,4.0,8.0,0.0
2017-09-30,110536,5.0,8.0,0.0
2017-10-01,106505,6.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-02,157565,0.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-03,164764,1.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-04,163383,2.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-05,162847,3.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-06,153575,4.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-07,107472,5.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-08,116127,6.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-09,174457,0.0,9.0,1.0
2017-10-10,185217,1.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-11,185120,2.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-12,180844,3.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-13,170178,4.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-14,112754,5.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-15,121251,6.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-16,183906,0.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-17,188945,1.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-18,187297,2.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-19,183867,3.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-20,173021,4.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-21,115851,5.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-22,126088,6.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-23,189452,0.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-24,194412,1.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-25,192293,2.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-26,190163,3.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-27,177053,4.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-28,114934,5.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-29,125289,6.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-30,189245,0.0,9.0,0.0
2017-10-31,191480,1.0,9.0,0.0
2017-11-01,182281,2.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-02,186351,3.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-03,175422,4.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-04,118160,5.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-05,127602,6.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-06,191067,0.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-07,197083,1.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-08,194333,2.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-09,193914,3.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-10,179933,4.0,10.0,1.0
2017-11-11,121346,5.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-12,131900,6.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-13,196969,0.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-14,201949,1.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-15,198424,2.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-16,196902,3.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-17,183893,4.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-18,122767,5.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-19,130890,6.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-20,194515,0.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-21,198601,1.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-22,191041,2.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-23,170321,3.0,10.0,1.0
2017-11-24,155623,4.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-25,115759,5.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-26,128771,6.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-27,199419,0.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-28,207253,1.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-29,205406,2.0,10.0,0.0
2017-11-30,200674,3.0,10.0,0.0
2017-12-01,187017,4.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-02,129735,5.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-03,139120,6.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-04,205505,0.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-05,208218,1.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-06,202480,2.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-07,197822,3.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-08,180686,4.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-09,123667,5.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-10,130987,6.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-11,193901,0.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-12,194997,1.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-13,192063,2.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-14,186496,3.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-15,170812,4.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-16,110474,5.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-17,118165,6.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-18,176843,0.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-19,179550,1.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-20,173506,2.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-21,165910,3.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-22,145886,4.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-23,95246,5.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-24,88781,6.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-25,98189,0.0,11.0,1.0
2017-12-26,121383,1.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-27,135300,2.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-28,136827,3.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-29,127700,4.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-30,93014,5.0,11.0,0.0
2017-12-31,82878,6.0,11.0,0.0
2018-01-01,86419,0.0,0.0,1.0
2018-01-02,147428,1.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-03,162193,2.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-04,163784,3.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-05,158606,4.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-06,113467,5.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-07,118313,6.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-08,175623,0.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-09,183880,1.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-10,183945,2.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-11,181769,3.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-12,170552,4.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-13,115707,5.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-14,121191,6.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-15,176127,0.0,0.0,1.0
2018-01-16,188032,1.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-17,189871,2.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-18,189348,3.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-19,177456,4.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-20,123321,5.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-21,128306,6.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-22,186132,0.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-23,197618,1.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-24,196402,2.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-25,192722,3.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-26,179415,4.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-27,125769,5.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-28,133306,6.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-29,194151,0.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-30,198680,1.0,0.0,0.0
2018-01-31,198652,2.0,0.0,0.0
2018-02-01,195472,3.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-02,183173,4.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-03,124276,5.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-04,129054,6.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-05,190024,0.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-06,198658,1.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-07,198272,2.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-08,195339,3.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-09,183086,4.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-10,122536,5.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-11,133033,6.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-12,185386,0.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-13,184789,1.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-14,176089,2.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-15,171317,3.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-16,162693,4.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-17,116342,5.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-18,122466,6.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-19,172364,0.0,1.0,1.0
2018-02-20,185896,1.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-21,188166,2.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-22,189427,3.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-23,178732,4.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-24,132664,5.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-25,134008,6.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-26,200075,0.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-27,207996,1.0,1.0,0.0
2018-02-28,204416,2.0,1.0,0.0
2018-03-01,201320,3.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-02,188205,4.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-03,131162,5.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-04,138320,6.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-05,207326,0.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-06,212462,1.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-07,209357,2.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-08,194876,3.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-09,193761,4.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-10,133449,5.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-11,142258,6.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-12,208753,0.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-13,210602,1.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-14,214236,2.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-15,210761,3.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-16,196619,4.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-17,133056,5.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-18,141335,6.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-19,211580,0.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-20,219051,1.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-21,215435,2.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-22,211961,3.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-23,196009,4.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-24,132390,5.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-25,140021,6.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-26,205273,0.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-27,212686,1.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-28,210683,2.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-29,189044,3.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-30,170256,4.0,2.0,0.0
2018-03-31,125999,5.0,2.0,0.0
2018-04-01,126749,6.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-02,186546,0.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-03,207905,1.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-04,201528,2.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-05,188580,3.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-06,173714,4.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-07,125723,5.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-08,142545,6.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-09,204767,0.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-10,212048,1.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-11,210517,2.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-12,206924,3.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-13,191679,4.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-14,126394,5.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-15,137279,6.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-16,208085,0.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-17,213273,1.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-18,211580,2.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-19,206037,3.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-20,191211,4.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-21,125564,5.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-22,136469,6.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-23,206288,0.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-24,212115,1.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-25,207948,2.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-26,205759,3.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-27,181330,4.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-28,130046,5.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-29,120802,6.0,3.0,0.0
2018-04-30,170390,0.0,3.0,0.0
2018-05-01,169054,1.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-02,197891,2.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-03,199820,3.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-04,186783,4.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-05,124420,5.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-06,130666,6.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-07,196014,0.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-08,203058,1.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-09,198582,2.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-10,191321,3.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-11,183639,4.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-12,122023,5.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-13,128775,6.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-14,199104,0.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-15,200658,1.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-16,201541,2.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-17,196886,3.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-18,188597,4.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-19,121392,5.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-20,126981,6.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-21,189291,0.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-22,203038,1.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-23,205330,2.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-24,199208,3.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-25,187768,4.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-26,117635,5.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-27,124352,6.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-28,180398,0.0,4.0,1.0
2018-05-29,194170,1.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-30,200281,2.0,4.0,0.0
2018-05-31,197244,3.0,4.0,0.0
2018-06-01,184037,4.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-02,121135,5.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-03,129389,6.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-04,200331,0.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-05,207735,1.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-06,203354,2.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-07,200520,3.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-08,182038,4.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-09,120164,5.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-10,125256,6.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-11,194786,0.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-12,200815,1.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-13,197740,2.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-14,192294,3.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-15,173587,4.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-16,105955,5.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-17,110780,6.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-18,174582,0.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-19,193310,1.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-20,193062,2.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-21,187986,3.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-22,173606,4.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-23,111795,5.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-24,116134,6.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-25,185919,0.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-26,193142,1.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-27,188114,2.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-28,183737,3.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-29,171496,4.0,5.0,0.0
2018-06-30,107210,5.0,5.0,0.0
2018-07-01,111053,6.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-02,176198,0.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-03,184040,1.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-04,169783,2.0,6.0,1.0
2018-07-05,177996,3.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-06,167378,4.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-07,106401,5.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-08,112327,6.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-09,182835,0.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-10,187694,1.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-11,185762,2.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-12,184099,3.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-13,170860,4.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-14,106799,5.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-15,108475,6.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-16,175704,0.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-17,183596,1.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-18,179897,2.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-19,183373,3.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-20,169626,4.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-21,106785,5.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-22,112387,6.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-23,180572,0.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-24,186943,1.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-25,185744,2.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-26,183117,3.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-27,168526,4.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-28,105936,5.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-29,111708,6.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-30,179950,0.0,6.0,0.0
2018-07-31,185930,1.0,6.0,0.0
2018-08-01,183366,2.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-02,182412,3.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-03,173429,4.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-04,106108,5.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-05,110059,6.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-06,178355,0.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-07,185518,1.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-08,183204,2.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-09,181276,3.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-10,168297,4.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-11,106488,5.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-12,111786,6.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-13,178620,0.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-14,181922,1.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-15,172198,2.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-16,177367,3.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-17,166550,4.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-18,107011,5.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-19,112299,6.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-20,176718,0.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-21,182562,1.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-22,181484,2.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-23,180317,3.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-24,170197,4.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-25,109383,5.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-26,113373,6.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-27,180142,0.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-28,191628,1.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-29,191149,2.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-30,187503,3.0,7.0,0.0
2018-08-31,172280,4.0,7.0,0.0
1 date count day_of_week month_of_year holiday
2 2017-06-04 104663 6.0 5.0 0.0
3 2017-06-05 155824 0.0 5.0 0.0
4 2017-06-06 164908 1.0 5.0 0.0
5 2017-06-07 170309 2.0 5.0 0.0
6 2017-06-08 164256 3.0 5.0 0.0
7 2017-06-09 153406 4.0 5.0 0.0
8 2017-06-10 97024 5.0 5.0 0.0
9 2017-06-11 103442 6.0 5.0 0.0
10 2017-06-12 160768 0.0 5.0 0.0
11 2017-06-13 166288 1.0 5.0 0.0
12 2017-06-14 163819 2.0 5.0 0.0
13 2017-06-15 157593 3.0 5.0 0.0
14 2017-06-16 149259 4.0 5.0 0.0
15 2017-06-17 95579 5.0 5.0 0.0
16 2017-06-18 98723 6.0 5.0 0.0
17 2017-06-19 159076 0.0 5.0 0.0
18 2017-06-20 163340 1.0 5.0 0.0
19 2017-06-21 163344 2.0 5.0 0.0
20 2017-06-22 159528 3.0 5.0 0.0
21 2017-06-23 146563 4.0 5.0 0.0
22 2017-06-24 92631 5.0 5.0 0.0
23 2017-06-25 96549 6.0 5.0 0.0
24 2017-06-26 153249 0.0 5.0 0.0
25 2017-06-27 160357 1.0 5.0 0.0
26 2017-06-28 159941 2.0 5.0 0.0
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446 2018-08-22 181484 2.0 7.0 0.0
447 2018-08-23 180317 3.0 7.0 0.0
448 2018-08-24 170197 4.0 7.0 0.0
449 2018-08-25 109383 5.0 7.0 0.0
450 2018-08-26 113373 6.0 7.0 0.0
451 2018-08-27 180142 0.0 7.0 0.0
452 2018-08-28 191628 1.0 7.0 0.0
453 2018-08-29 191149 2.0 7.0 0.0
454 2018-08-30 187503 3.0 7.0 0.0
455 2018-08-31 172280 4.0 7.0 0.0

View File

@@ -105,13 +105,8 @@ def run_inference(
train_run.download_file(
"outputs/{}".format(model_base_name), "inference/{}".format(model_base_name)
)
train_run.download_file("outputs/conda_env_v_1_0_0.yml", "inference/condafile.yml")
inference_env = Environment("myenv")
inference_env.docker.enabled = True
inference_env.python.conda_dependencies = CondaDependencies(
conda_dependencies_file_path="inference/condafile.yml"
)
inference_env = train_run.get_environment()
est = Estimator(
source_directory=script_folder,

View File

@@ -78,7 +78,7 @@
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"output[\"Default datastore name\"] = dstore.name\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", -1)\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -150,37 +150,13 @@
"datastore"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {
"gather": {
"logged": 1613005886349
},
"jupyter": {
"outputs_hidden": false,
"source_hidden": false
},
"nteract": {
"transient": {
"deleting": false
}
}
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"datastore.upload(\n",
" src_dir=\"./Data/\", target_path=datastore_path, overwrite=True, show_progress=True\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Create the TabularDatasets \n",
"\n",
"Datasets in Azure Machine Learning are references to specific data in a Datastore. The data can be retrieved as a [TabularDatasets](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-core/azureml.data.tabulardataset?view=azure-ml-py)."
"Datasets in Azure Machine Learning are references to specific data in a Datastore. The data can be retrieved as a [TabularDatasets](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-core/azureml.data.tabulardataset?view=azure-ml-py). We will read in the data as a pandas DataFrame, upload to the data store and register them to your Workspace using ```register_pandas_dataframe``` so they can be called as an input into the training pipeline. We will use the inference dataset as part of the forecasting pipeline. The step need only be completed once."
]
},
{
@@ -193,34 +169,20 @@
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.core.dataset import Dataset\n",
"from azureml.data.dataset_factory import TabularDatasetFactory\n",
"\n",
"train_ds = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=datastore.path(\"hts-sample/hts-sample-train.csv\"), validate=False\n",
"registered_train = TabularDatasetFactory.register_pandas_dataframe(\n",
" pd.read_csv(\"Data/hts-sample-train.csv\"),\n",
" target=(datastore, \"hts-sample\"),\n",
" name=\"hts-sales-train\",\n",
")\n",
"inference_ds = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=datastore.path(\"hts-sample/hts-sample-test.csv\"), validate=False\n",
"registered_inference = TabularDatasetFactory.register_pandas_dataframe(\n",
" pd.read_csv(\"Data/hts-sample-test.csv\"),\n",
" target=(datastore, \"hts-sample\"),\n",
" name=\"hts-sales-test\",\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Register the TabularDatasets to the Workspace \n",
"Finally, register the dataset to your Workspace so it can be called as an input into the training pipeline in the next notebook. We will use the inference dataset as part of the forecasting pipeline. The step need only be completed once."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"registered_train = train_ds.register(ws, \"hts-sales-train\")\n",
"registered_inference = inference_ds.register(ws, \"hts-sales-test\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},

View File

@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"For this notebook we are using a synthetic dataset portraying sales data to predict the the quantity of a vartiety of product skus across several states, stores, and product categories.\n",
"For this notebook we are using a synthetic dataset portraying sales data to predict the quantity of a vartiety of product SKUs across several states, stores, and product categories.\n",
"\n",
"**NOTE: There are limits on how many runs we can do in parallel per workspace, and we currently recommend to set the parallelism to maximum of 320 runs per experiment per workspace. If users want to have more parallelism and increase this limit they might encounter Too Many Requests errors (HTTP 429).**"
]
@@ -78,7 +78,7 @@
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"output[\"Default datastore name\"] = dstore.name\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", -1)\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -234,11 +234,14 @@
"input_ds_small = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=oj_datastore.path(ds_name_small + \"/\"), validate=False\n",
")\n",
"# Drop the columns 'Revenue' as this column contains leak feature.\n",
"input_ds_small = input_ds_small.drop_columns(columns=[\"Revenue\"])\n",
"\n",
"inference_name_small = \"oj-inference-small-tabular\"\n",
"inference_ds_small = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=oj_datastore.path(inference_name_small + \"/\"), validate=False\n",
")"
")\n",
"inference_ds_small = inference_ds_small.drop_columns(columns=[\"Revenue\"])"
]
},
{
@@ -308,7 +311,7 @@
"source": [
"### Set up training parameters\n",
"\n",
"This dictionary defines the AutoML and many models settings. For this forecasting task we need to define several settings inncluding the name of the time column, the maximum forecast horizon, and the partition column name definition.\n",
"This dictionary defines the AutoML and many models settings. For this forecasting task we need to define several settings including the name of the time column, the maximum forecast horizon, and the partition column name definition.\n",
"\n",
"| Property | Description|\n",
"| :--------------- | :------------------- |\n",
@@ -354,7 +357,6 @@
" \"label_column_name\": \"Quantity\",\n",
" \"n_cross_validations\": 3,\n",
" \"time_column_name\": \"WeekStarting\",\n",
" \"drop_column_names\": \"Revenue\",\n",
" \"max_horizon\": 6,\n",
" \"grain_column_names\": partition_column_names,\n",
" \"track_child_runs\": False,\n",
@@ -554,12 +556,12 @@
"| :--------------- | :------------------- |\n",
"| **experiment** | The experiment used for inference run. |\n",
"| **inference_data** | The data to use for inferencing. It should be the same schema as used for training.\n",
"| **compute_target** The compute target that runs the inference pipeline.|\n",
"| **compute_target** | The compute target that runs the inference pipeline.|\n",
"| **node_count** | The number of compute nodes to be used for running the user script. We recommend to start with the number of cores per node (varies by compute sku). |\n",
"| **process_count_per_node** The number of processes per node.\n",
"| **train_run_id** | \\[Optional] The run id of the hierarchy training, by default it is the latest successful training many model run in the experiment. |\n",
"| **train_experiment_name** | \\[Optional] The train experiment that contains the train pipeline. This one is only needed when the train pipeline is not in the same experiement as the inference pipeline. |\n",
"| **process_count_per_node** | \\[Optional] The number of processes per node, by default it's 4. |"
"| **process_count_per_node** | The number of processes per node.\n",
"| **train_run_id** | \\[Optional\\] The run id of the hierarchy training, by default it is the latest successful training many model run in the experiment. |\n",
"| **train_experiment_name** | \\[Optional\\] The train experiment that contains the train pipeline. This one is only needed when the train pipeline is not in the same experiement as the inference pipeline. |\n",
"| **process_count_per_node** | \\[Optional\\] The number of processes per node, by default it's 4. |"
]
},
{
@@ -649,7 +651,6 @@
" \"Quantity\",\n",
" \"Advert\",\n",
" \"Price\",\n",
" \"Revenue\",\n",
" \"Predicted\",\n",
"]\n",
"print(\n",

View File

@@ -58,14 +58,15 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import azureml.core\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import json\n",
"import logging\n",
"\n",
"from azureml.core.workspace import Workspace\n",
"import azureml.core\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"from azureml.automl.core.featurization import FeaturizationConfig\n",
"from azureml.core.experiment import Experiment\n",
"from azureml.train.automl import AutoMLConfig\n",
"from azureml.automl.core.featurization import FeaturizationConfig"
"from azureml.core.workspace import Workspace\n",
"from azureml.train.automl import AutoMLConfig\n"
]
},
{
@@ -81,7 +82,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -112,7 +113,7 @@
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"output[\"Run History Name\"] = experiment_name\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", -1)\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -262,22 +263,14 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"train.to_csv(r\"./dominicks_OJ_train.csv\", index=None, header=True)\n",
"test.to_csv(r\"./dominicks_OJ_test.csv\", index=None, header=True)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.data.dataset_factory import TabularDatasetFactory\n",
"\n",
"datastore = ws.get_default_datastore()\n",
"datastore.upload_files(\n",
" files=[\"./dominicks_OJ_train.csv\", \"./dominicks_OJ_test.csv\"],\n",
" target_path=\"dataset/\",\n",
" overwrite=True,\n",
" show_progress=True,\n",
"train_dataset = TabularDatasetFactory.register_pandas_dataframe(\n",
" train, target=(datastore, \"dataset/\"), name=\"dominicks_OJ_train\"\n",
")\n",
"test_dataset = TabularDatasetFactory.register_pandas_dataframe(\n",
" test, target=(datastore, \"dataset/\"), name=\"dominicks_OJ_test\"\n",
")"
]
},
@@ -288,22 +281,6 @@
"### Create dataset for training"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.core.dataset import Dataset\n",
"\n",
"train_dataset = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=datastore.path(\"dataset/dominicks_OJ_train.csv\")\n",
")\n",
"test_dataset = Dataset.Tabular.from_delimited_files(\n",
" path=datastore.path(\"dataset/dominicks_OJ_test.csv\")\n",
")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
@@ -390,7 +367,7 @@
"|-|-|\n",
"|**time_column_name**|The name of your time column.|\n",
"|**forecast_horizon**|The forecast horizon is how many periods forward you would like to forecast. This integer horizon is in units of the timeseries frequency (e.g. daily, weekly).|\n",
"|**time_series_id_column_names**|The column names used to uniquely identify the time series in data that has multiple rows with the same timestamp. If the time series identifiers are not defined, the data set is assumed to be one time series.|\n",
"|**time_series_id_column_names**|This optional parameter represents the column names used to uniquely identify the time series in data that has multiple rows with the same timestamp. If the time series identifiers are not defined or incorrectly defined, time series identifiers will be created automatically if they exist.|\n",
"|**freq**|Forecast frequency. This optional parameter represents the period with which the forecast is desired, for example, daily, weekly, yearly, etc. Use this parameter for the correction of time series containing irregular data points or for padding of short time series. The frequency needs to be a pandas offset alias. Please refer to [pandas documentation](https://pandas.pydata.org/pandas-docs/stable/user_guide/timeseries.html#dateoffset-objects) for more information."
]
},
@@ -402,7 +379,7 @@
"\n",
"The [AutoMLConfig](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-train-automl-client/azureml.train.automl.automlconfig.automlconfig?view=azure-ml-py) object defines the settings and data for an AutoML training job. Here, we set necessary inputs like the task type, the number of AutoML iterations to try, the training data, and cross-validation parameters.\n",
"\n",
"For forecasting tasks, there are some additional parameters that can be set in the `ForecastingParameters` class: the name of the column holding the date/time, the timeseries id column names, and the maximum forecast horizon. A time column is required for forecasting, while the time_series_id is optional. If time_series_id columns are not given, AutoML assumes that the whole dataset is a single time-series. We also pass a list of columns to drop prior to modeling. The _logQuantity_ column is completely correlated with the target quantity, so it must be removed to prevent a target leak.\n",
"For forecasting tasks, there are some additional parameters that can be set in the `ForecastingParameters` class: the name of the column holding the date/time, the timeseries id column names, and the maximum forecast horizon. A time column is required for forecasting, while the time_series_id is optional. If time_series_id columns are not given or incorrectly given, AutoML automatically creates time_series_id columns if they exist. We also pass a list of columns to drop prior to modeling. The _logQuantity_ column is completely correlated with the target quantity, so it must be removed to prevent a target leak.\n",
"\n",
"The forecast horizon is given in units of the time-series frequency; for instance, the OJ series frequency is weekly, so a horizon of 20 means that a trained model will estimate sales up to 20 weeks beyond the latest date in the training data for each series. In this example, we set the forecast horizon to the number of samples per series in the test set (n_test_periods). Generally, the value of this parameter will be dictated by business needs. For example, a demand planning application that estimates the next month of sales should set the horizon according to suitable planning time-scales. Please see the [energy_demand notebook](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/tree/master/how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-energy-demand) for more discussion of forecast horizon.\n",
"\n",
@@ -445,7 +422,6 @@
"forecasting_parameters = ForecastingParameters(\n",
" time_column_name=time_column_name,\n",
" forecast_horizon=n_test_periods,\n",
" time_series_id_column_names=time_series_id_column_names,\n",
" freq=\"W-THU\", # Set the forecast frequency to be weekly (start on each Thursday)\n",
")\n",
"\n",
@@ -496,8 +472,8 @@
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Retrieve the Best Model\n",
"Each run within an Experiment stores serialized (i.e. pickled) pipelines from the AutoML iterations. We can now retrieve the pipeline with the best performance on the validation dataset:"
"### Retrieve the Best Run details\n",
"Below we retrieve the best Run object from among all the runs in the experiment."
]
},
{
@@ -506,9 +482,9 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run, fitted_model = remote_run.get_output()\n",
"print(fitted_model.steps)\n",
"model_name = best_run.properties[\"model_name\"]"
"best_run = remote_run.get_best_child()\n",
"model_name = best_run.properties[\"model_name\"]\n",
"best_run"
]
},
{
@@ -526,16 +502,16 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"custom_featurizer = fitted_model.named_steps[\"timeseriestransformer\"]"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"custom_featurizer.get_featurization_summary()"
"# Download the featurization summary JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/featurization_summary.json\", \"featurization_summary.json\")\n",
"\n",
"# Render the JSON as a pandas DataFrame\n",
"with open(\"featurization_summary.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"fs = pd.DataFrame.from_records(records)\n",
"\n",
"# View a summary of the featurization \n",
"fs[[\"RawFeatureName\", \"TypeDetected\", \"Dropped\", \"EngineeredFeatureCount\", \"Transformations\"]]"
]
},
{

View File

@@ -229,7 +229,7 @@
"output[\"Resource Group\"] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output[\"Location\"] = ws.location\n",
"output[\"Run History Name\"] = experiment_name\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", -1)\n",
"pd.set_option(\"display.max_colwidth\", None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data=output, index=[\"\"])\n",
"print(outputDf.T)"
]

View File

@@ -46,11 +46,11 @@ def kpss_test(series, **kw):
"""
if kw["store"]:
statistic, p_value, critical_values, rstore = stattools.kpss(
series, regression=kw["reg_type"], lags=kw["lags"], store=kw["store"]
series, regression=kw["reg_type"], nlags=kw["lags"], store=kw["store"]
)
else:
statistic, p_value, lags, critical_values = stattools.kpss(
series, regression=kw["reg_type"], lags=kw["lags"]
series, regression=kw["reg_type"], nlags=kw["lags"]
)
output = {
"statistic": statistic,

View File

@@ -96,7 +96,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@
"output['Resource Group'] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output['Location'] = ws.location\n",
"output['Experiment Name'] = experiment.name\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', -1)\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data = output, index = [''])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]

View File

@@ -68,6 +68,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import json\n",
"import logging\n",
"\n",
"from matplotlib import pyplot as plt\n",
@@ -95,7 +96,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -117,7 +118,7 @@
"output['Resource Group'] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output['Location'] = ws.location\n",
"output['Experiment Name'] = experiment.name\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', -1)\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data = output, index = [''])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -339,16 +340,8 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run, fitted_model = remote_run.get_output()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"best_run_customized, fitted_model_customized = remote_run.get_output()"
"# Retrieve the best Run object\n",
"best_run = remote_run.get_best_child()"
]
},
{
@@ -357,7 +350,7 @@
"source": [
"## Transparency\n",
"\n",
"View updated featurization summary"
"View featurization summary for the best model - to study how different features were transformed. This is stored as a JSON file in the outputs directory for the run."
]
},
{
@@ -366,41 +359,14 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"custom_featurizer = fitted_model_customized.named_steps['datatransformer']"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"custom_featurizer.get_featurization_summary()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"is_user_friendly=False allows for more detailed summary for transforms being applied"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"custom_featurizer.get_featurization_summary(is_user_friendly=False)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"custom_featurizer.get_stats_feature_type_summary()"
"# Download the featurization summary JSON file locally\n",
"best_run.download_file(\"outputs/featurization_summary.json\", \"featurization_summary.json\")\n",
"\n",
"# Render the JSON as a pandas DataFrame\n",
"with open(\"featurization_summary.json\", \"r\") as f:\n",
" records = json.load(f)\n",
"\n",
"pd.DataFrame.from_records(records)"
]
},
{
@@ -881,7 +847,7 @@
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"test_pred = plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred_test, color='')\n",
"test_pred = plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred_test, color=None)\n",
"test_test = plt.scatter(y_test, y_test, color='g')\n",
"plt.legend((test_pred, test_test), ('prediction', 'truth'), loc='upper left', fontsize=8)\n",
"plt.show()"

View File

@@ -2,6 +2,7 @@ import pandas as pd
import joblib
from azureml.core.model import Model
from azureml.train.automl.runtime.automl_explain_utilities import automl_setup_model_explanations
import scipy as sp
def init():
@@ -18,6 +19,22 @@ def init():
scoring_explainer = joblib.load(scoring_explainer_path)
def is_multi_dimensional(matrix):
if hasattr(matrix, 'ndim') and matrix.ndim > 1:
return True
if hasattr(matrix, 'shape') and matrix.shape[1]:
return True
return False
def convert_matrix(matrix):
if sp.sparse.issparse(matrix):
matrix = matrix.todense()
if is_multi_dimensional(matrix):
matrix = matrix.tolist()
return matrix
def run(raw_data):
# Get predictions and explanations for each data point
data = pd.read_json(raw_data, orient='records')
@@ -28,8 +45,12 @@ def run(raw_data):
X_test=data, task='regression')
# Retrieve model explanations for engineered explanations
engineered_local_importance_values = scoring_explainer.explain(automl_explainer_setup_obj.X_test_transform)
engineered_local_importance_values = convert_matrix(engineered_local_importance_values)
# Retrieve model explanations for raw explanations
raw_local_importance_values = scoring_explainer.explain(automl_explainer_setup_obj.X_test_transform, get_raw=True)
raw_local_importance_values = convert_matrix(raw_local_importance_values)
# You can return any data type as long as it is JSON-serializable
return {'predictions': predictions.tolist(),
'engineered_local_importance_values': engineered_local_importance_values,

View File

@@ -92,7 +92,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},
@@ -115,7 +115,7 @@
"output['Resource Group'] = ws.resource_group\n",
"output['Location'] = ws.location\n",
"output['Run History Name'] = experiment_name\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', -1)\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_colwidth', None)\n",
"outputDf = pd.DataFrame(data = output, index = [''])\n",
"outputDf.T"
]
@@ -430,7 +430,7 @@
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"test_pred = plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred_test, color='')\n",
"test_pred = plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred_test, color=None)\n",
"test_test = plt.scatter(y_test, y_test, color='g')\n",
"plt.legend((test_pred, test_test), ('prediction', 'truth'), loc='upper left', fontsize=8)\n",
"plt.show()"

View File

@@ -81,7 +81,7 @@
"source": [
"## Create trained model\n",
"\n",
"For this example, we will train a small model on scikit-learn's [diabetes dataset](https://scikit-learn.org/stable/datasets/index.html#diabetes-dataset). "
"For this example, we will train a small model on scikit-learn's [diabetes dataset](https://scikit-learn.org/stable/datasets/toy_dataset.html#diabetes-dataset). "
]
},
{
@@ -263,7 +263,7 @@
"\n",
"# explicitly set base_image to None when setting base_dockerfile\n",
"myenv.docker.base_image = None\n",
"myenv.docker.base_dockerfile = \"FROM mcr.microsoft.com/azureml/base:intelmpi2018.3-ubuntu16.04\\nRUN echo \\\"this is test\\\"\"\n",
"myenv.docker.base_dockerfile = \"FROM mcr.microsoft.com/azureml/openmpi4.1.0-ubuntu20.04\\nRUN echo \\\"this is test\\\"\"\n",
"myenv.inferencing_stack_version = \"latest\"\n",
"\n",
"inference_config = InferenceConfig(source_directory=source_directory,\n",

View File

@@ -70,7 +70,7 @@
"\n",
"import urllib.request\n",
"\n",
"onnx_model_url = \"https://github.com/onnx/models/blob/master/vision/body_analysis/emotion_ferplus/model/emotion-ferplus-7.tar.gz?raw=true\"\n",
"onnx_model_url = \"https://github.com/onnx/models/blob/main/vision/body_analysis/emotion_ferplus/model/emotion-ferplus-7.tar.gz?raw=true\"\n",
"\n",
"urllib.request.urlretrieve(onnx_model_url, filename=\"emotion-ferplus-7.tar.gz\")\n",
"\n",

View File

@@ -70,7 +70,7 @@
"\n",
"import urllib.request\n",
"\n",
"onnx_model_url = \"https://github.com/onnx/models/blob/master/vision/classification/mnist/model/mnist-7.tar.gz?raw=true\"\n",
"onnx_model_url = \"https://github.com/onnx/models/blob/main/vision/classification/mnist/model/mnist-7.tar.gz?raw=true\"\n",
"\n",
"urllib.request.urlretrieve(onnx_model_url, filename=\"mnist-7.tar.gz\")"
]

View File

@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},

View File

@@ -11,4 +11,4 @@ dependencies:
- matplotlib
- azureml-dataset-runtime
- ipywidgets
- raiwidgets~=0.10.0
- raiwidgets~=0.17.0

View File

@@ -10,4 +10,5 @@ dependencies:
- ipython
- matplotlib
- ipywidgets
- raiwidgets~=0.10.0
- raiwidgets~=0.17.0
- packaging>=20.9

View File

@@ -324,13 +324,15 @@
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from azureml.core.conda_dependencies import CondaDependencies \n",
"import sys\n",
"\n",
"# azureml-defaults is required to host the model as a web service.\n",
"azureml_pip_packages = [\n",
" 'azureml-defaults', 'azureml-core', 'azureml-telemetry',\n",
" 'azureml-interpret'\n",
"]\n",
" \n",
"\n",
"python_version = '{0}.{1}'.format(sys.version_info[0], sys.version_info[1])\n",
"\n",
"# Note: this is to pin the scikit-learn and pandas versions to be same as notebook.\n",
"# In production scenario user would choose their dependencies\n",
@@ -354,7 +356,9 @@
"# the submitted job is run in. Note the remote environment(s) needs to be similar to the local\n",
"# environment, otherwise if a model is trained or deployed in a different environment this can\n",
"# cause errors. Please take extra care when specifying your dependencies in a production environment.\n",
"myenv = CondaDependencies.create(pip_packages=['pyyaml', sklearn_dep, pandas_dep] + azureml_pip_packages)\n",
"myenv = CondaDependencies.create(\n",
" python_version=python_version,\n",
" pip_packages=['pyyaml', sklearn_dep, pandas_dep] + azureml_pip_packages)\n",
"\n",
"with open(\"myenv.yml\",\"w\") as f:\n",
" f.write(myenv.serialize_to_string())\n",
@@ -387,7 +391,7 @@
"\n",
"\n",
"aciconfig = AciWebservice.deploy_configuration(cpu_cores=1, \n",
" memory_gb=1, \n",
" memory_gb=2, \n",
" tags={\"data\": \"IBM_Attrition\", \n",
" \"method\" : \"local_explanation\"}, \n",
" description='Get local explanations for IBM Employee Attrition data')\n",

View File

@@ -10,4 +10,5 @@ dependencies:
- ipython
- matplotlib
- ipywidgets
- raiwidgets~=0.10.0
- raiwidgets~=0.17.0
- packaging>=20.9

View File

@@ -251,6 +251,7 @@
"from azureml.core.runconfig import RunConfiguration\n",
"from azureml.core.conda_dependencies import CondaDependencies\n",
"from azureml.core.runconfig import DEFAULT_CPU_IMAGE\n",
"import sys\n",
"\n",
"# Create a new runconfig object\n",
"run_config = RunConfiguration()\n",
@@ -268,7 +269,7 @@
" 'azureml-defaults', 'azureml-telemetry', 'azureml-interpret'\n",
"]\n",
" \n",
"\n",
"python_version = '{0}.{1}'.format(sys.version_info[0], sys.version_info[1])\n",
"\n",
"# Note: this is to pin the scikit-learn version to be same as notebook.\n",
"# In production scenario user would choose their dependencies\n",
@@ -293,7 +294,10 @@
"# environment, otherwise if a model is trained or deployed in a different environment this can\n",
"# cause errors. Please take extra care when specifying your dependencies in a production environment.\n",
"azureml_pip_packages.extend(['pyyaml', sklearn_dep, pandas_dep])\n",
"run_config.environment.python.conda_dependencies = CondaDependencies.create(pip_packages=azureml_pip_packages)\n",
"run_config.environment.python.conda_dependencies = CondaDependencies.create(\n",
" python_version=python_version,\n",
" pip_packages=azureml_pip_packages)\n",
"\n",
"# Now submit a run on AmlCompute\n",
"from azureml.core.script_run_config import ScriptRunConfig\n",
"\n",
@@ -453,7 +457,7 @@
"# environment, otherwise if a model is trained or deployed in a different environment this can\n",
"# cause errors. Please take extra care when specifying your dependencies in a production environment.\n",
"azureml_pip_packages.extend(['pyyaml', sklearn_dep, pandas_dep])\n",
"myenv = CondaDependencies.create(pip_packages=azureml_pip_packages)\n",
"myenv = CondaDependencies.create(python_version=python_version, pip_packages=azureml_pip_packages)\n",
"\n",
"with open(\"myenv.yml\",\"w\") as f:\n",
" f.write(myenv.serialize_to_string())\n",

View File

@@ -12,4 +12,4 @@ dependencies:
- azureml-dataset-runtime
- azureml-core
- ipywidgets
- raiwidgets~=0.10.0
- raiwidgets~=0.17.0

View File

@@ -63,6 +63,8 @@
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import os\n",
"import requests\n",
"import tempfile\n",
"import azureml.core\n",
"from azureml.core import Workspace, Experiment, Datastore\n",
"from azureml.widgets import RunDetails\n",
@@ -158,9 +160,14 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# download data file from remote\n",
"response = requests.get(\"https://dprepdata.blob.core.windows.net/demo/Titanic.csv\")\n",
"titanic_file = os.path.join(tempfile.mkdtemp(), \"Titanic.csv\")\n",
"with open(titanic_file, \"w\") as f:\n",
" f.write(response.content.decode(\"utf-8\"))\n",
"# get_default_datastore() gets the default Azure Blob Store associated with your workspace.\n",
"# Here we are reusing the def_blob_store object we obtained earlier\n",
"def_blob_store.upload_files([\"./20news.pkl\"], target_path=\"20newsgroups\", overwrite=True)\n",
"def_blob_store.upload_files([titanic_file], target_path=\"titanic\", overwrite=True)\n",
"print(\"Upload call completed\")"
]
},
@@ -286,7 +293,7 @@
"- [**AzureBatchStep**](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-pipeline-steps/azureml.pipeline.steps.azurebatch_step.azurebatchstep?view=azure-ml-py): Creates a step for submitting jobs to Azure Batch\n",
"- [**EstimatorStep**](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-pipeline-steps/azureml.pipeline.steps.estimator_step.estimatorstep?view=azure-ml-py): Adds a step to run Estimator in a Pipeline.\n",
"- [**MpiStep**](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-pipeline-steps/azureml.pipeline.steps.mpi_step.mpistep?view=azure-ml-py): Adds a step to run a MPI job in a Pipeline.\n",
"- [**AutoMLStep**](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-train-automl/azureml.train.automl.automlstep?view=azure-ml-py): Creates a AutoML step in a Pipeline.\n",
"- [**AutoMLStep**](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/python/api/azureml-pipeline-steps/azureml.pipeline.steps.automlstep?view=azure-ml-py): Creates a AutoML step in a Pipeline.\n",
"\n",
"The following code will create a PythonScriptStep to be executed in the Azure Machine Learning Compute we created above using train.py, one of the files already made available in the `source_directory`.\n",
"\n",

View File

@@ -120,8 +120,10 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Uploading data to the datastore\n",
"data_path = def_blob_store.upload_files([\"./20news.pkl\"], target_path=\"20newsgroups\", overwrite=True)"
"# Specify a public dataset path\n",
"data_path = \"https://dprepdata.blob.core.windows.net/demo/Titanic.csv\"\n",
"# Or uploading data to the datastore\n",
"# data_path = def_blob_store.upload_files([\"./your_data.pkl\"], target_path=\"your_path\", overwrite=True)"
]
},
{
@@ -400,11 +402,11 @@
"source": [
"try:\n",
" response.raise_for_status()\n",
"except Exception: \n",
"except Exception as ex: \n",
" raise Exception('Received bad response from the endpoint: {}\\n'\n",
" 'Response Code: {}\\n'\n",
" 'Headers: {}\\n'\n",
" 'Content: {}'.format(rest_endpoint, response.status_code, response.headers, response.content))\n",
" 'Content: {}'.format(rest_endpoint1, response.status_code, response.headers, response.content)) from ex\n",
"\n",
"run_id = response.json().get('Id')\n",
"print('Submitted pipeline run: ', run_id)"

View File

@@ -875,7 +875,12 @@
"\n",
"def populate_environ():\n",
" parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description='Process arguments passed to script')\n",
"\n",
" # The AZUREML_SCRIPT_DIRECTORY_NAME argument will be filled in if the DatabricksStep\n",
" # was run using a local source_directory and python_script_name\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_SCRIPT_DIRECTORY_NAME')\n",
"\n",
" # Remaining arguments are filled in for all databricks jobs and can be used to build the run context\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_RUN_TOKEN')\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_RUN_TOKEN_EXPIRY')\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_RUN_ID')\n",
@@ -884,9 +889,10 @@
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_ARM_WORKSPACE_NAME')\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_ARM_PROJECT_NAME')\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_SERVICE_ENDPOINT')\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_WORKSPACE_ID')\n",
" parser.add_argument('--AZUREML_EXPERIMENT_ID')\n",
"\n",
" args = parser.parse_args()\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_SCRIPT_DIRECTORY_NAME'] = args.AZUREML_SCRIPT_DIRECTORY_NAME\n",
" (args, extra_args) = parser.parse_known_args()\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_RUN_TOKEN'] = args.AZUREML_RUN_TOKEN\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_RUN_TOKEN_EXPIRY'] = args.AZUREML_RUN_TOKEN_EXPIRY\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_RUN_ID'] = args.AZUREML_RUN_ID\n",
@@ -895,10 +901,12 @@
" os.environ['AZUREML_ARM_WORKSPACE_NAME'] = args.AZUREML_ARM_WORKSPACE_NAME\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_ARM_PROJECT_NAME'] = args.AZUREML_ARM_PROJECT_NAME\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_SERVICE_ENDPOINT'] = args.AZUREML_SERVICE_ENDPOINT\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_WORKSPACE_ID'] = args.AZUREML_WORKSPACE_ID\n",
" os.environ['AZUREML_EXPERIMENT_ID'] = args.AZUREML_EXPERIMENT_ID\n",
"\n",
"populate_environ()\n",
"run = Run.get_context(allow_offline=False)\n",
"print(run._run_dto[\"parent_run_id\"])\n",
"print(run.parent.id)\n",
"```"
]
},
@@ -947,7 +955,7 @@
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.6.2"
"version": "3.7.9"
},
"order_index": 5,
"star_tag": [

View File

@@ -213,7 +213,7 @@
"blob_input_data = DataReference(\n",
" datastore=def_blob_store,\n",
" data_reference_name=\"test_data\",\n",
" path_on_datastore=\"20newsgroups/20news.pkl\")\n",
" path_on_datastore=\"titanic/Titanic.csv\")\n",
"print(\"DataReference object created\")"
]
},
@@ -382,7 +382,7 @@
"from azureml.pipeline.core import PipelineParameter\n",
"from azureml.data.datapath import DataPath, DataPathComputeBinding\n",
"\n",
"datapath = DataPath(datastore=def_blob_store, path_on_datastore='20newsgroups/20news.pkl')\n",
"datapath = DataPath(datastore=def_blob_store, path_on_datastore='titanic/Titanic.csv')\n",
"datapath_param = PipelineParameter(name=\"compare_data\", default_value=datapath)\n",
"data_parameter1 = (datapath_param, DataPathComputeBinding(mode='mount'))"
]

View File

@@ -42,9 +42,7 @@
"Advantages of running your notebook as a step in pipeline:\n",
"1. Run your notebook like a python script without converting into .py files, leveraging complete end to end experience of Azure Machine Learning Pipelines.\n",
"2. Use pipeline intermediate data to and from the notebook along with other steps in pipeline.\n",
"3. Parameterize your notebook with [Pipeline Parameters](./aml-pipelines-publish-and-run-using-rest-endpoint.ipynb).\n",
"\n",
"Try some more [quick start notebooks](https://github.com/microsoft/recommenders/tree/master/notebooks/00_quick_start) with `NotebookRunnerStep`."
"3. Parameterize your notebook with [Pipeline Parameters](./aml-pipelines-publish-and-run-using-rest-endpoint.ipynb).\n"
]
},
{
@@ -61,6 +59,8 @@
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import os\n",
"import requests\n",
"import tempfile\n",
"\n",
"import azureml.core\n",
"\n",
@@ -114,7 +114,12 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"Datastore.get(ws, \"workspaceblobstore\").upload_files([\"./20news.pkl\"], target_path=\"20newsgroups\", overwrite=True)\n",
"# download data file from remote\n",
"response = requests.get(\"https://dprepdata.blob.core.windows.net/demo/Titanic.csv\")\n",
"titanic_file = os.path.join(tempfile.mkdtemp(), \"Titanic.csv\")\n",
"with open(titanic_file, \"w\") as f:\n",
" f.write(response.content.decode(\"utf-8\"))\n",
"Datastore.get(ws, \"workspaceblobstore\").upload_files([titanic_file], target_path=\"titanic\", overwrite=True)\n",
"print(\"Upload call completed\")"
]
},
@@ -227,7 +232,7 @@
"input_data = DataReference(\n",
" datastore=Datastore.get(ws, \"workspaceblobstore\"),\n",
" data_reference_name=\"blob_test_data\",\n",
" path_on_datastore=\"20newsgroups/20news.pkl\")\n",
" path_on_datastore=\"titanic/Titanic.csv\")\n",
"\n",
"output_data = PipelineData(name=\"processed_data\",\n",
" datastore=Datastore.get(ws, \"workspaceblobstore\"))"

View File

@@ -20,7 +20,7 @@ if not (args.output_extract is None):
os.makedirs(args.output_extract, exist_ok=True)
print("%s created" % args.output_extract)
with open(os.path.join(args.input_extract, '20news.pkl'), 'rb') as f:
with open(os.path.join(args.input_extract, 'Titanic.csv'), 'rb') as f:
content = f.read()
with open(os.path.join(args.output_extract, '20news.pkl'), 'wb') as fw:
with open(os.path.join(args.output_extract, 'Titanic.csv'), 'wb') as fw:
fw.write(content)

View File

@@ -21,7 +21,7 @@ if not (args.output_train is None):
os.makedirs(args.output_train, exist_ok=True)
print("%s created" % args.output_train)
with open(os.path.join(args.input_data, '20news.pkl'), 'rb') as f:
with open(os.path.join(args.input_data), 'rb') as f:
content = f.read()
with open(os.path.join(args.output_train, '20news.pkl'), 'wb') as fw:
with open(os.path.join(args.output_train, 'Titanic.csv'), 'wb') as fw:
fw.write(content)

View File

@@ -5,17 +5,6 @@ import argparse
import os
from azureml.core import Run
def get_dict(dict_str):
pairs = dict_str.strip("{}").split("\;")
new_dict = {}
for pair in pairs:
key, value = pair.strip().split(":")
new_dict[key.strip().strip("'")] = value.strip().strip("'")
return new_dict
print("Cleans the input data")
# Get the input green_taxi_data. To learn more about how to access dataset in your script, please
@@ -23,7 +12,6 @@ print("Cleans the input data")
run = Run.get_context()
raw_data = run.input_datasets["raw_data"]
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser("cleanse")
parser.add_argument("--output_cleanse", type=str, help="cleaned taxi data directory")
parser.add_argument("--useful_columns", type=str, help="useful columns to keep")
@@ -31,15 +19,15 @@ parser.add_argument("--columns", type=str, help="rename column pattern")
args = parser.parse_args()
print("Argument 1(columns to keep): %s" % str(args.useful_columns.strip("[]").split("\;")))
print("Argument 2(columns renaming mapping): %s" % str(args.columns.strip("{}").split("\;")))
print("Argument 1(columns to keep): %s" % str(args.useful_columns.strip("[]").split(r'\;')))
print("Argument 2(columns renaming mapping): %s" % str(args.columns.strip("{}").split(r'\;')))
print("Argument 3(output cleansed taxi data path): %s" % args.output_cleanse)
# These functions ensure that null data is removed from the dataset,
# which will help increase machine learning model accuracy.
useful_columns = [s.strip().strip("'") for s in args.useful_columns.strip("[]").split("\;")]
columns = get_dict(args.columns)
useful_columns = eval(args.useful_columns.replace(';', ','))
columns = eval(args.columns.replace(';', ','))
new_df = (raw_data.to_pandas_dataframe()
.dropna(how='all')

View File

@@ -29,14 +29,14 @@ print("Argument (output filtered taxi data path): %s" % args.output_filter)
combined_df = combined_df.astype({"pickup_longitude": 'float64', "pickup_latitude": 'float64',
"dropoff_longitude": 'float64', "dropoff_latitude": 'float64'})
latlong_filtered_df = combined_df[(combined_df.pickup_longitude <= -73.72) &
(combined_df.pickup_longitude >= -74.09) &
(combined_df.pickup_latitude <= 40.88) &
(combined_df.pickup_latitude >= 40.53) &
(combined_df.dropoff_longitude <= -73.72) &
(combined_df.dropoff_longitude >= -74.72) &
(combined_df.dropoff_latitude <= 40.88) &
(combined_df.dropoff_latitude >= 40.53)]
latlong_filtered_df = combined_df[(combined_df.pickup_longitude <= -73.72)
& (combined_df.pickup_longitude >= -74.09)
& (combined_df.pickup_latitude <= 40.88)
& (combined_df.pickup_latitude >= 40.53)
& (combined_df.dropoff_longitude <= -73.72)
& (combined_df.dropoff_longitude >= -74.72)
& (combined_df.dropoff_latitude <= 40.88)
& (combined_df.dropoff_latitude >= 40.53)]
latlong_filtered_df.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)

View File

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
import argparse
import os
import azureml.core
# import azureml.core
from azureml.core import Run
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
@@ -32,7 +32,7 @@ output_split_train, output_split_test = train_test_split(transformed_df, test_si
output_split_train.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
output_split_test.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)
if not (args.output_split_train is None and
args.output_split_test is None):
if not (args.output_split_train
is None and args.output_split_test is None):
write_output(output_split_train, args.output_split_train)
write_output(output_split_test, args.output_split_test)

View File

@@ -254,6 +254,7 @@
"- conda-forge\n",
"dependencies:\n",
"- python=3.6.2\n",
"- pip=21.3.1\n",
"- pip:\n",
" - azureml-defaults\n",
" - azureml-opendatasets\n",

View File

@@ -199,7 +199,7 @@
"Specify docker steps as a string:\n",
"```python \n",
"dockerfile = r\"\"\" \\\n",
"FROM mcr.microsoft.com/azureml/base:intelmpi2018.3-ubuntu16.04\n",
"FROM mcr.microsoft.com/azureml/openmpi4.1.0-ubuntu20.04\n",
"RUN echo \"Hello from custom container!\" \\\n",
"\"\"\"\n",
"```\n",

View File

@@ -431,6 +431,7 @@
"- conda-forge\n",
"dependencies:\n",
"- python=3.6.2\n",
"- pip=21.3.1\n",
"- pip:\n",
" - h5py<=2.10.0\n",
" - azureml-defaults\n",

View File

@@ -262,6 +262,7 @@
"- conda-forge\n",
"dependencies:\n",
"- python=3.6.2\n",
"- pip=21.3.1\n",
"- pip:\n",
" - azureml-defaults\n",
" - torch==1.6.0\n",

View File

@@ -261,7 +261,7 @@
" \n",
" # 2. Execute the Python process via the xvfb-run command to set up the headless display driver.\n",
" xvfb_env.python.user_managed_dependencies = True\n",
" xvfb_env.python.interpreter_path = \"xvfb-run -s '-screen 0 640x480x16 -ac +extension GLX +render' python\"\n",
" xvfb_env.python.interpreter_path = \"xvfb-run -s '-screen 0 640x480x24 -ac +extension GLX +render' python\"\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"training_estimator = ReinforcementLearningEstimator(\n",
@@ -718,7 +718,7 @@
"# 2. Execute the Python process via the xvfb-run command to set up the headless display driver.\n",
"xvfb_env.python.user_managed_dependencies = True\n",
"if video_capture:\n",
" xvfb_env.python.interpreter_path = \"xvfb-run -s '-screen 0 640x480x16 -ac +extension GLX +render' python\"\n",
" xvfb_env.python.interpreter_path = \"xvfb-run -s '-screen 0 640x480x24 -ac +extension GLX +render' python\"\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"rollout_estimator = ReinforcementLearningEstimator(\n",

View File

@@ -26,6 +26,6 @@ RUN conda install -y conda=4.7.12 python=3.7 && conda clean -ay && \
ray[rllib,dashboard,tune]==0.8.3 \
psutil \
setproctitle \
gym[atari] && \
gym[classic_control] && \
conda install -y -c conda-forge x264='1!152.20180717' ffmpeg=4.0.2 && \
conda install -c anaconda opencv

View File

@@ -95,7 +95,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},

View File

@@ -8,5 +8,6 @@ dependencies:
- matplotlib
- azureml-dataset-runtime
- ipywidgets
- raiwidgets~=0.13.0
- raiwidgets~=0.17.0
- liac-arff
- packaging>=20.9

View File

@@ -100,7 +100,7 @@
"\n",
"# Check core SDK version number\n",
"\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using SDK version 1.36.0, you are currently running version\", azureml.core.VERSION)"
"print(\"This notebook was created using SDK version 1.39.0, you are currently running version\", azureml.core.VERSION)"
]
},
{

View File

@@ -184,24 +184,6 @@
"myenv.python.conda_dependencies=conda_dep"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Specify environment variables\n",
"\n",
"You can add environment variables to your environment. These then become available using ```os.environ.get``` in your training script."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"myenv.environment_variables = {\"MESSAGE\":\"Hello from Azure Machine Learning\"}"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},

View File

@@ -28,6 +28,7 @@ Machine Learning notebook samples and encourage efficient retrieval of topics an
| [Classification of credit card fraudulent transactions using Automated ML](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/experimental/classification-credit-card-fraud-local-managed/auto-ml-classification-credit-card-fraud-local-managed.ipynb) | Classification | Creditcard | AML Compute | None | None | AutomatedML |
| [Automated ML run with featurization and model explainability.](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/regression-explanation-featurization/auto-ml-regression-explanation-featurization.ipynb) | Regression | MachineData | AML | ACI | None | featurization, explainability, remote_run, AutomatedML |
| [Automated ML run with featurization and model explainability.](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/responsible-ai/auto-ml-regression-responsibleai/auto-ml-regression-responsibleai.ipynb) | Regression | MachineData | AML | ACI | None | featurization, explainability, remote_run, AutomatedML |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-single-model](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-backtest-single-model/auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-single-model.ipynb) | | None | Remote | None | Azure ML AutoML | |
| :star:[Azure Machine Learning Pipeline with DataTranferStep](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/machine-learning-pipelines/intro-to-pipelines/aml-pipelines-data-transfer.ipynb) | Demonstrates the use of DataTranferStep | Custom | ADF | None | Azure ML | None |
| [Getting Started with Azure Machine Learning Pipelines](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/machine-learning-pipelines/intro-to-pipelines/aml-pipelines-getting-started.ipynb) | Getting Started notebook for ANML Pipelines | Custom | AML Compute | None | Azure ML | None |
| [Azure Machine Learning Pipeline with AzureBatchStep](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/machine-learning-pipelines/intro-to-pipelines/aml-pipelines-how-to-use-azurebatch-to-run-a-windows-executable.ipynb) | Demonstrates the use of AzureBatchStep | Custom | Azure Batch | None | Azure ML | None |
@@ -106,8 +107,9 @@ Machine Learning notebook samples and encourage efficient retrieval of topics an
| [azure-ml-with-nvidia-rapids](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//contrib/RAPIDS/azure-ml-with-nvidia-rapids.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-continuous-retraining](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/continuous-retraining/auto-ml-continuous-retraining.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-regression-model-proxy](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/experimental/regression-model-proxy/auto-ml-regression-model-proxy.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-beer-remote](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-beer-remote/auto-ml-forecasting-beer-remote.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-many-models](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-backtest-many-models/auto-ml-forecasting-backtest-many-models.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-energy-demand](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-energy-demand/auto-ml-forecasting-energy-demand.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-github-dau](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-github-dau/auto-ml-forecasting-github-dau.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-hierarchical-timeseries](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-hierarchical-timeseries/auto-ml-forecasting-hierarchical-timeseries.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-many-models](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-many-models/auto-ml-forecasting-many-models.ipynb) | | | | | | |
| [auto-ml-forecasting-univariate-recipe-experiment-settings](https://github.com/Azure/MachineLearningNotebooks/blob/master//how-to-use-azureml/automated-machine-learning/forecasting-recipes-univariate/auto-ml-forecasting-univariate-recipe-experiment-settings.ipynb) | | | | | | |

View File

@@ -102,7 +102,7 @@
"source": [
"import azureml.core\n",
"\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.36.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"This notebook was created using version 1.39.0 of the Azure ML SDK\")\n",
"print(\"You are currently using version\", azureml.core.VERSION, \"of the Azure ML SDK\")"
]
},

View File

@@ -19,7 +19,7 @@
"source": [
"# Quickstart: Train and deploy a model in Azure Machine Learning in 10 minutes\n",
"\n",
"In this quickstart, learn how to get started with Azure Machine Learning. You'll train an image classification model using the [MNIST](https://azure.microsoft.com/services/open-datasets/catalog/mnist/) dataset.\n",
"In this quickstart, learn how to get started with Azure Machine Learning. You'll train an image classification model using the [MNIST](https://docs.microsoft.com/azure/open-datasets/dataset-mnist) dataset.\n",
"\n",
"You'll learn how to:\n",
"\n",
@@ -280,7 +280,7 @@
"# get a curated environment\n",
"env = Environment.get(\n",
" workspace=ws, \n",
" name=\"AzureML-sklearn-0.24.1-ubuntu18.04-py37-cpu-inference\",\n",
" name=\"AzureML-sklearn-1.0-ubuntu20.04-py38-cpu\",\n",
" version=1\n",
")\n",
"env.inferencing_stack_version='latest'\n",

View File

@@ -21,7 +21,7 @@
"\n",
"In this quickstart, you learn how to submit a batch training job using the Python SDK. In this example, we submit the job to the 'local' machine (the compute instance you are running this notebook on). However, you can use exactly the same method to submit the job to different compute targets (for example, AKS, Azure Machine Learning Compute Cluster, Synapse, etc) by changing a single line of code. A full list of support compute targets can be viewed [here](https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/machine-learning/concept-compute-target). \n",
"\n",
"This quickstart trains a simple logistic regression using the [MNIST](https://azure.microsoft.com/services/open-datasets/catalog/mnist/) dataset and [scikit-learn](http://scikit-learn.org) with Azure Machine Learning. MNIST is a popular dataset consisting of 70,000 grayscale images. Each image is a handwritten digit of 28x28 pixels, representing a number from 0 to 9. The goal is to create a multi-class classifier to identify the digit a given image represents. \n",
"This quickstart trains a simple logistic regression using the [MNIST](https://docs.microsoft.com/azure/open-datasets/dataset-mnist) dataset and [scikit-learn](http://scikit-learn.org) with Azure Machine Learning. MNIST is a popular dataset consisting of 70,000 grayscale images. Each image is a handwritten digit of 28x28 pixels, representing a number from 0 to 9. The goal is to create a multi-class classifier to identify the digit a given image represents. \n",
"\n",
"You will learn how to:\n",
"\n",

View File

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ import argparse
import os
import numpy as np
import glob
import joblib
# import joblib
import mlflow
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
@@ -30,8 +30,7 @@ X_train = (
os.path.join(data_folder, "**/train-images-idx3-ubyte.gz"), recursive=True
)[0],
False,
) /
255.0
) / 255.0
)
X_test = (
load_data(
@@ -39,8 +38,7 @@ X_test = (
os.path.join(data_folder, "**/t10k-images-idx3-ubyte.gz"), recursive=True
)[0],
False,
) /
255.0
) / 255.0
)
y_train = load_data(
glob.glob(

View File

@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@
"source": [
"from sklearn.linear_model import Ridge\n",
"from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error\n",
"from sklearn.externals import joblib\n",
"import joblib\n",
"import math\n",
"\n",
"alphas = [0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 1.0]\n",

View File

@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@
"\n",
"In this tutorial, you train a machine learning model on remote compute resources. You'll use the training and deployment workflow for Azure Machine Learning service (preview) in a Python Jupyter notebook. You can then use the notebook as a template to train your own machine learning model with your own data. This tutorial is **part one of a two-part tutorial series**. \n",
"\n",
"This tutorial trains a simple logistic regression using the [MNIST](https://azure.microsoft.com/services/open-datasets/catalog/mnist/) dataset and [scikit-learn](http://scikit-learn.org) with Azure Machine Learning. MNIST is a popular dataset consisting of 70,000 grayscale images. Each image is a handwritten digit of 28x28 pixels, representing a number from 0 to 9. The goal is to create a multi-class classifier to identify the digit a given image represents. \n",
"This tutorial trains a simple logistic regression using the [MNIST](https://docs.microsoft.com/azure/open-datasets/dataset-mnist) dataset and [scikit-learn](http://scikit-learn.org) with Azure Machine Learning. MNIST is a popular dataset consisting of 70,000 grayscale images. Each image is a handwritten digit of 28x28 pixels, representing a number from 0 to 9. The goal is to create a multi-class classifier to identify the digit a given image represents. \n",
"\n",
"Learn how to:\n",
"\n",

View File

@@ -156,7 +156,7 @@
"\n",
"### Create scoring script\n",
"\n",
"Create the scoring script, called score.py, used by the web service call to show how to use the model.\n",
"Create the scoring script, called score_encrypted.py, used by the web service call to show how to use the model.\n",
"\n",
"You must include two required functions into the scoring script:\n",
"* The `init()` function, which typically loads the model into a global object. This function is run only once when the Docker container is started. \n",
@@ -171,7 +171,7 @@
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%%writefile score.py\n",
"%%writefile score_encrypted.py\n",
"import json\n",
"import os\n",
"import pickle\n",
@@ -252,7 +252,7 @@
"\n",
"1. Create environment object containing dependencies needed by the model using the environment file (`myenv.yml`)\n",
"1. Create inference configuration necessary to deploy the model as a web service using:\n",
" * The scoring file (`score.py`)\n",
" * The scoring file (`score_encrypted.py`)\n",
" * envrionment object created in previous step\n",
"1. Deploy the model to the ACI container.\n",
"1. Get the web service HTTP endpoint."
@@ -283,7 +283,7 @@
"model = Model(ws, 'sklearn_mnist')\n",
"\n",
"myenv = Environment.get(workspace=ws, name=\"tutorial-encryption-env\")\n",
"inference_config = InferenceConfig(entry_script=\"score.py\", environment=myenv)\n",
"inference_config = InferenceConfig(entry_script=\"score_encrypted.py\", environment=myenv)\n",
"\n",
"service_name = 'sklearn-mnist-svc-' + str(uuid.uuid4())[:4]\n",
"service = Model.deploy(workspace=ws, \n",