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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-22 21:57:05 -04:00
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commit 06b3010362
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150622-215702.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
Germany,B,95.98752634,3.87844074,0.39069387,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.71165,0.43255,0.33945
USA,D,95.17233893,3.54483776,0.39484166,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.87795,0.43460,0.31930
Japan,C,92.27341791,2.75941178,0.54833119,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.73590,0.46490,0.27000,0.08840
Canada,A,89.39646289,2.16119816,0.65009751,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.57200,0.29865,0.08290
France,F,92.46148661,2.87144076,0.61451971,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.28835,0.11615,0.06785
Australia,D,89.48328917,2.40614215,0.89778695,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.42570,0.19540,0.04540
England,F,89.45125672,2.27099929,0.75739245,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.42800,0.19550,0.04395
Netherlands,A,86.27200633,1.85810628,0.98915540,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.26410,0.10940,0.04045,0.00675
China,A,85.39438945,1.48389299,0.74778985,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.12205,0.01670,0.00600
Colombia,F,80.23010753,1.07484828,1.18281106,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Norway,B,88.89538742,2.20582112,0.81485364,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Sweden,D,91.32207182,2.67633498,0.72725221,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Cameroon,C,81.16004997,1.29032084,1.26902250,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.68798883,2.59354799,0.53524316,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
South Korea,E,83.18423079,1.68040074,1.35958492,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Switzerland,C,83.69289930,1.87679257,1.48670378,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.45481192,1.46409277,1.07614329,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.36208990,0.89757892,2.70408301,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.82440642,1.48157353,1.20303066,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.89372246,1.38069797,2.75499949,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.73527574,0.93515599,1.86444569,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.42628412,1.48580321,1.60140696,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.84723606,1.71213207,0.91184131,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.67629190,0.48658135,3.60826012,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 Germany B 95.98752634 3.87844074 0.39069387 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.71165 0.43255 0.33945
3 USA D 95.17233893 3.54483776 0.39484166 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.87795 0.43460 0.31930
4 Japan C 92.27341791 2.75941178 0.54833119 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.73590 0.46490 0.27000 0.08840
5 Canada A 89.39646289 2.16119816 0.65009751 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.57200 0.29865 0.08290
6 France F 92.46148661 2.87144076 0.61451971 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.28835 0.11615 0.06785
7 Australia D 89.48328917 2.40614215 0.89778695 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.42570 0.19540 0.04540
8 England F 89.45125672 2.27099929 0.75739245 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.42800 0.19550 0.04395
9 Netherlands A 86.27200633 1.85810628 0.98915540 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.26410 0.10940 0.04045 0.00675
10 China A 85.39438945 1.48389299 0.74778985 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.12205 0.01670 0.00600
11 Colombia F 80.23010753 1.07484828 1.18281106 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
12 Norway B 88.89538742 2.20582112 0.81485364 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
13 Sweden D 91.32207182 2.67633498 0.72725221 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
14 Cameroon C 81.16004997 1.29032084 1.26902250 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
15 Brazil E 91.68798883 2.59354799 0.53524316 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 South Korea E 83.18423079 1.68040074 1.35958492 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Switzerland C 83.69289930 1.87679257 1.48670378 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Spain E 83.45481192 1.46409277 1.07614329 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Thailand B 68.36208990 0.89757892 2.70408301 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.82440642 1.48157353 1.20303066 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.89372246 1.38069797 2.75499949 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Costa Rica E 74.73527574 0.93515599 1.86444569 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.42628412 1.48580321 1.60140696 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Nigeria D 85.84723606 1.71213207 0.91184131 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.67629190 0.48658135 3.60826012 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-matches-20150622-215702.csv Normal file
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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,0.73179015,0.26820985,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,China,USA,0.12060925,0.87939075,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,Germany,France,0.71667037,0.28332963,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,England,Canada,0.42734387,0.57265613,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 0.73179015 0.26820985 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
46 2015-06-26 China USA 0.12060925 0.87939075 0.00000000
47 2015-06-26 Germany France 0.71667037 0.28332963 0.00000000
48 2015-06-27 England Canada 0.42734387 0.57265613 0.00000000