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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-22 18:53:48 -04:00
parent 428d45e9be
commit 591911d5b8
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150622-185345.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
Germany,B,95.98556881,3.87840320,0.39068373,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.71715,0.44500,0.34875
USA,D,95.20356005,3.56640219,0.40442650,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.95165,0.83915,0.41220,0.29625
Japan,C,92.27107877,2.75938608,0.54833156,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.72550,0.45950,0.26445,0.08930
Canada,A,89.39396892,2.16112671,0.65006569,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.57565,0.30230,0.08725
France,F,92.46501889,2.87105244,0.61234350,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.28285,0.12210,0.07125
Australia,D,89.47680761,2.40484117,0.89735171,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.43040,0.20075,0.04855
England,F,89.44989599,2.26994656,0.75601884,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.42435,0.19085,0.04640
Netherlands,A,86.26959670,1.85810506,0.98915664,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.27450,0.11010,0.04165,0.00680
China,A,85.39159259,1.48375289,0.74771287,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.14225,0.01905,0.00495
Colombia,F,80.34073558,1.10951015,1.20275186,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.04835,0.01860,0.00165,0.00050
Norway,B,88.89277723,2.20572380,0.81481801,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Sweden,D,91.31852035,2.67600425,0.72724056,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Cameroon,C,81.15772549,1.29033480,1.26904223,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.68522993,2.59311571,0.53490844,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
South Korea,E,83.18164430,1.68039922,1.35962390,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Switzerland,C,83.69031863,1.87663918,1.48657424,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.45246477,1.46412645,1.07617867,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.36036220,0.89758146,2.70409776,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.82171757,1.48140160,1.20290110,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.89190553,1.38071854,2.75502875,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.73390192,0.93485386,1.86404876,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.42975157,1.48436879,1.59891661,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.84304026,1.71167652,0.91168884,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.71995465,0.48534745,3.60135622,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 Germany B 95.98556881 3.87840320 0.39068373 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.71715 0.44500 0.34875
3 USA D 95.20356005 3.56640219 0.40442650 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.95165 0.83915 0.41220 0.29625
4 Japan C 92.27107877 2.75938608 0.54833156 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.72550 0.45950 0.26445 0.08930
5 Canada A 89.39396892 2.16112671 0.65006569 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.57565 0.30230 0.08725
6 France F 92.46501889 2.87105244 0.61234350 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.28285 0.12210 0.07125
7 Australia D 89.47680761 2.40484117 0.89735171 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.43040 0.20075 0.04855
8 England F 89.44989599 2.26994656 0.75601884 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.42435 0.19085 0.04640
9 Netherlands A 86.26959670 1.85810506 0.98915664 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.27450 0.11010 0.04165 0.00680
10 China A 85.39159259 1.48375289 0.74771287 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.14225 0.01905 0.00495
11 Colombia F 80.34073558 1.10951015 1.20275186 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.04835 0.01860 0.00165 0.00050
12 Norway B 88.89277723 2.20572380 0.81481801 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
13 Sweden D 91.31852035 2.67600425 0.72724056 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
14 Cameroon C 81.15772549 1.29033480 1.26904223 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
15 Brazil E 91.68522993 2.59311571 0.53490844 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 South Korea E 83.18164430 1.68039922 1.35962390 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Switzerland C 83.69031863 1.87663918 1.48657424 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Spain E 83.45246477 1.46412645 1.07617867 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Thailand B 68.36036220 0.89758146 2.70409776 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.82171757 1.48140160 1.20290110 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.89190553 1.38071854 2.75502875 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Costa Rica E 74.73390192 0.93485386 1.86404876 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.42975157 1.48436879 1.59891661 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Nigeria D 85.84304026 1.71167652 0.91168884 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.71995465 0.48534745 3.60135622 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,0.95133807,0.04866193,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,0.73178634,0.26821366,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,Germany,France,0.71640242,0.28359758,0.00000000
2015-06-27,,England,Canada,0.42738963,0.57261037,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 0.95133807 0.04866193 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 0.73178634 0.26821366 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
46 2015-06-26 Germany France 0.71640242 0.28359758 0.00000000
47 2015-06-27 England Canada 0.42738963 0.57261037 0.00000000