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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-21 17:59:20 -04:00
parent 500a13af9a
commit 0e5ea802a4
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150621-175918.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
Germany,B,95.98858345,3.87986661,0.39052221,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.71525,0.44325,0.34775
USA,D,95.20151810,3.56574448,0.40425937,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.94855,0.83835,0.41965,0.30900
Japan,C,92.26414906,2.75755768,0.54807204,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.72850,0.45905,0.27610,0.09190
Canada,A,89.51094790,2.20922425,0.67481575,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.75945,0.44160,0.23240,0.07055
France,F,92.46177095,2.87063862,0.61256589,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.28475,0.11710,0.06775
Australia,D,89.47502224,2.40500589,0.89766517,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.42970,0.20850,0.05095
England,F,89.21274468,2.22302813,0.75997928,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.51025,0.24705,0.11215,0.02495
Norway,B,89.02838895,2.21382891,0.79255032,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.48975,0.23400,0.10400,0.02180
Netherlands,A,86.26855756,1.85744459,0.98829936,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.27150,0.11125,0.04355,0.00730
China,A,85.38807550,1.48298285,0.74719524,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.14360,0.01825,0.00510
Switzerland,C,83.80700518,1.93623276,1.53110109,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.24055,0.07735,0.02330,0.00265
Colombia,F,80.32349361,1.10940758,1.20507423,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.05145,0.01805,0.00175,0.00030
Cameroon,C,81.15073192,1.28820488,1.26752494,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.68270929,2.59262382,0.53476497,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
South Korea,E,83.17624518,1.67940032,1.35913104,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Sweden,D,91.31747939,2.67575705,0.72694534,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.36878250,0.89820002,2.70336013,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.72846877,0.93453226,1.86417588,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.81637141,1.48061027,1.20261383,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.92101504,1.38407212,2.75436424,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.83838678,1.71069681,0.91117429,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.41365700,1.48362444,1.60035654,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.42293550,1.46400160,1.08081709,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.84518108,0.48235980,3.58237771,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 Germany B 95.98858345 3.87986661 0.39052221 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.71525 0.44325 0.34775
3 USA D 95.20151810 3.56574448 0.40425937 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.94855 0.83835 0.41965 0.30900
4 Japan C 92.26414906 2.75755768 0.54807204 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.72850 0.45905 0.27610 0.09190
5 Canada A 89.51094790 2.20922425 0.67481575 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.75945 0.44160 0.23240 0.07055
6 France F 92.46177095 2.87063862 0.61256589 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.28475 0.11710 0.06775
7 Australia D 89.47502224 2.40500589 0.89766517 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.42970 0.20850 0.05095
8 England F 89.21274468 2.22302813 0.75997928 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.51025 0.24705 0.11215 0.02495
9 Norway B 89.02838895 2.21382891 0.79255032 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.48975 0.23400 0.10400 0.02180
10 Netherlands A 86.26855756 1.85744459 0.98829936 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.27150 0.11125 0.04355 0.00730
11 China A 85.38807550 1.48298285 0.74719524 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.14360 0.01825 0.00510
12 Switzerland C 83.80700518 1.93623276 1.53110109 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.24055 0.07735 0.02330 0.00265
13 Colombia F 80.32349361 1.10940758 1.20507423 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.05145 0.01805 0.00175 0.00030
14 Cameroon C 81.15073192 1.28820488 1.26752494 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
15 Brazil E 91.68270929 2.59262382 0.53476497 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 South Korea E 83.17624518 1.67940032 1.35913104 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Sweden D 91.31747939 2.67575705 0.72694534 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Thailand B 68.36878250 0.89820002 2.70336013 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Costa Rica E 74.72846877 0.93453226 1.86417588 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.81637141 1.48061027 1.20261383 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.92101504 1.38407212 2.75436424 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Nigeria D 85.83838678 1.71069681 0.91117429 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.41365700 1.48362444 1.60035654 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Spain E 83.42293550 1.46400160 1.08081709 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.84518108 0.48235980 3.58237771 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-matches-20150621-175918.csv Normal file
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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,0.95145667,0.04854333,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,0.73151092,0.26848908,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.49272012,0.50727988,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,0.75630579,0.24369421,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,Germany,France,0.71676777,0.28323223,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 0.95145667 0.04854333 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 0.73151092 0.26848908 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.49272012 0.50727988 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 0.75630579 0.24369421 0.00000000
46 2015-06-26 Germany France 0.71676777 0.28323223 0.00000000