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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-21 14:57:26 -04:00
parent a25036ba0c
commit 500a13af9a
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150621-145724.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
Germany,B,95.98715749,3.87975908,0.39058085,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.76050,0.46850,0.36600
USA,D,95.19877376,3.56529505,0.40426087,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.95255,0.84045,0.41335,0.30100
Japan,C,92.26030488,2.75741108,0.54804160,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.73075,0.46000,0.27580,0.09430
Canada,A,89.50916021,2.20951201,0.67447076,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.75925,0.43460,0.22820,0.06530
France,F,92.28544691,2.84512143,0.63663852,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.80445,0.22370,0.09355,0.05505
Australia,D,89.47295450,2.40509095,0.89716265,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.43065,0.20935,0.04950
England,F,89.20229181,2.22232550,0.76055329,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.51015,0.25080,0.11620,0.02615
Norway,B,89.02381662,2.21385977,0.79254812,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.48985,0.23335,0.10505,0.02400
Netherlands,A,86.26315393,1.85746478,0.98832561,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.26925,0.10935,0.04295,0.00710
China,A,85.39208436,1.48361342,0.74610058,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.13950,0.01865,0.00695
Switzerland,C,83.80247499,1.93629812,1.53095889,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.24075,0.08125,0.02245,0.00265
South Korea,E,83.74676881,1.74974329,1.33644987,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.19555,0.01580,0.00395,0.00125
Colombia,F,80.27990230,1.10409273,1.20526588,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.04745,0.02005,0.00200,0.00075
Cameroon,C,81.14522462,1.28825120,1.26750128,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.68533514,2.59386511,0.53434257,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Sweden,D,91.31340767,2.67574613,0.72697974,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.38520392,0.89836441,2.70053225,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.77483873,0.93706165,1.85933525,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.81247066,1.48052041,1.20218601,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.91523339,1.38406678,2.75437579,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.83294018,1.71070123,0.91117638,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.39611274,1.48296101,1.60147979,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.45434769,1.46537132,1.07588951,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.83323872,0.48235472,3.58340248,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 Germany B 95.98715749 3.87975908 0.39058085 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.76050 0.46850 0.36600
3 USA D 95.19877376 3.56529505 0.40426087 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.95255 0.84045 0.41335 0.30100
4 Japan C 92.26030488 2.75741108 0.54804160 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.73075 0.46000 0.27580 0.09430
5 Canada A 89.50916021 2.20951201 0.67447076 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.75925 0.43460 0.22820 0.06530
6 France F 92.28544691 2.84512143 0.63663852 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.80445 0.22370 0.09355 0.05505
7 Australia D 89.47295450 2.40509095 0.89716265 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.43065 0.20935 0.04950
8 England F 89.20229181 2.22232550 0.76055329 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.51015 0.25080 0.11620 0.02615
9 Norway B 89.02381662 2.21385977 0.79254812 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.48985 0.23335 0.10505 0.02400
10 Netherlands A 86.26315393 1.85746478 0.98832561 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.26925 0.10935 0.04295 0.00710
11 China A 85.39208436 1.48361342 0.74610058 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.13950 0.01865 0.00695
12 Switzerland C 83.80247499 1.93629812 1.53095889 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.24075 0.08125 0.02245 0.00265
13 South Korea E 83.74676881 1.74974329 1.33644987 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.19555 0.01580 0.00395 0.00125
14 Colombia F 80.27990230 1.10409273 1.20526588 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.04745 0.02005 0.00200 0.00075
15 Cameroon C 81.14522462 1.28825120 1.26750128 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 Brazil E 91.68533514 2.59386511 0.53434257 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Sweden D 91.31340767 2.67574613 0.72697974 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Thailand B 68.38520392 0.89836441 2.70053225 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Costa Rica E 74.77483873 0.93706165 1.85933525 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.81247066 1.48052041 1.20218601 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.91523339 1.38406678 2.75437579 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Nigeria D 85.83294018 1.71070123 0.91117638 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.39611274 1.48296101 1.60147979 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Spain E 83.45434769 1.46537132 1.07588951 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.83323872 0.48235472 3.58340248 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-matches-20150621-145724.csv Normal file
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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,0.95180204,0.04819796,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,0.79726942,0.20273058,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,0.73149249,0.26850751,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.49295527,0.50704473,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,0.75636884,0.24363116,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 0.95180204 0.04819796 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 0.79726942 0.20273058 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 0.73149249 0.26850751 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.49295527 0.50704473 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 0.75636884 0.24363116 0.00000000