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Update WWC forecast

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Jay Boice
2015-06-21 21:31:37 -04:00
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commit 428d45e9be
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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-forecast-20150621-213134.csv Normal file
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team,group,wspi,wspi_offense,wspi_defense,group_first,group_second,group_third_advance,group_third_no_advance,group_fourth,sixteen,quarter,semi,final,win
Germany,B,95.99134383,3.88003086,0.39057046,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.71900,0.44735,0.34970
USA,D,95.20588303,3.56654020,0.40443394,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.95405,0.83910,0.41520,0.30005
Japan,C,92.27317461,2.75937386,0.54834334,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.73185,0.46145,0.26835,0.09075
Canada,A,89.39774464,2.16171268,0.65032637,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.57740,0.29800,0.08450
France,F,92.46472353,2.87059197,0.61258886,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.28100,0.11585,0.06850
Australia,D,89.47812011,2.40487837,0.89759282,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.43055,0.19865,0.04770
England,F,89.21829442,2.22353465,0.76003132,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.50880,0.21815,0.10440,0.02440
Norway,B,89.03188343,2.21406976,0.79279041,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.49120,0.20445,0.09035,0.02030
Netherlands,A,86.28242957,1.86003809,0.98914607,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.26815,0.10800,0.04025,0.00715
China,A,85.39302408,1.48378622,0.74785799,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,1.00000,0.14415,0.02055,0.00675
Colombia,F,80.32665865,1.10895025,1.20466353,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.04595,0.01675,0.00105,0.00020
Sweden,D,91.32029906,2.67609931,0.72745095,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Cameroon,C,81.15984435,1.29035290,1.26900390,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Brazil,E,91.68650667,2.59287632,0.53489354,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
South Korea,E,83.18060181,1.67997341,1.35966118,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Switzerland,C,83.69523188,1.87705432,1.48650619,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Spain,E,83.42675040,1.46396321,1.08077115,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Thailand,B,68.37245736,0.89817463,2.70324769,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
New Zealand,A,82.82518500,1.48165077,1.20290356,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ivory Coast,B,71.92524202,1.38402719,2.75418360,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Costa Rica,E,74.73189246,0.93446957,1.86411389,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Mexico,F,80.41834561,1.48390168,1.60050664,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Nigeria,D,85.84140827,1.71052963,0.91113746,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
Ecuador,C,57.71958936,0.48521569,3.60126165,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,1.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000,0.00000
1 team group wspi wspi_offense wspi_defense group_first group_second group_third_advance group_third_no_advance group_fourth sixteen quarter semi final win
2 Germany B 95.99134383 3.88003086 0.39057046 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.71900 0.44735 0.34970
3 USA D 95.20588303 3.56654020 0.40443394 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.95405 0.83910 0.41520 0.30005
4 Japan C 92.27317461 2.75937386 0.54834334 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.73185 0.46145 0.26835 0.09075
5 Canada A 89.39774464 2.16171268 0.65032637 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.57740 0.29800 0.08450
6 France F 92.46472353 2.87059197 0.61258886 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.28100 0.11585 0.06850
7 Australia D 89.47812011 2.40487837 0.89759282 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.43055 0.19865 0.04770
8 England F 89.21829442 2.22353465 0.76003132 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.50880 0.21815 0.10440 0.02440
9 Norway B 89.03188343 2.21406976 0.79279041 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.49120 0.20445 0.09035 0.02030
10 Netherlands A 86.28242957 1.86003809 0.98914607 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.26815 0.10800 0.04025 0.00715
11 China A 85.39302408 1.48378622 0.74785799 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.14415 0.02055 0.00675
12 Colombia F 80.32665865 1.10895025 1.20466353 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.04595 0.01675 0.00105 0.00020
13 Sweden D 91.32029906 2.67609931 0.72745095 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
14 Cameroon C 81.15984435 1.29035290 1.26900390 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
15 Brazil E 91.68650667 2.59287632 0.53489354 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
16 South Korea E 83.18060181 1.67997341 1.35966118 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
17 Switzerland C 83.69523188 1.87705432 1.48650619 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
18 Spain E 83.42675040 1.46396321 1.08077115 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
19 Thailand B 68.37245736 0.89817463 2.70324769 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
20 New Zealand A 82.82518500 1.48165077 1.20290356 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
21 Ivory Coast B 71.92524202 1.38402719 2.75418360 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
22 Costa Rica E 74.73189246 0.93446957 1.86411389 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
23 Mexico F 80.41834561 1.48390168 1.60050664 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
24 Nigeria D 85.84140827 1.71052963 0.91113746 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
25 Ecuador C 57.71958936 0.48521569 3.60126165 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

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womens-world-cup-predictions/wwc-matches-20150621-213134.csv Normal file
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date,group,team1,team2,team1_win,team2_win,tie
2015-06-06,A,Canada,China,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-06,A,New Zealand,Netherlands,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Norway,Thailand,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-07,B,Germany,Ivory Coast,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,Sweden,Nigeria,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Cameroon,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,D,USA,Australia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-08,C,Japan,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,F,France,England,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Spain,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,F,Colombia,Mexico,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-09,E,Brazil,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Germany,Norway,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-11,A,China,Netherlands,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,B,Ivory Coast,Thailand,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-11,A,Canada,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,D,Australia,Nigeria,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Switzerland,Ecuador,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-12,D,USA,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-12,C,Japan,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,France,Colombia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,Brazil,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,F,England,Mexico,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-13,E,South Korea,Costa Rica,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Thailand,Germany,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,B,Ivory Coast,Norway,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-15,A,Netherlands,Canada,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-15,A,China,New Zealand,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Ecuador,Japan,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,C,Switzerland,Cameroon,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Nigeria,USA,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-16,D,Australia,Sweden,0.00000000,0.00000000,1.00000000
2015-06-17,F,Mexico,France,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,F,England,Colombia,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,Costa Rica,Brazil,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-17,E,South Korea,Spain,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,China,Cameroon,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,USA,Colombia,0.95150586,0.04849414,0.00000000
2015-06-20,,Germany,Sweden,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,France,South Korea,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Brazil,Australia,0.00000000,1.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-23,,Japan,Netherlands,0.73147081,0.26852919,0.00000000
2015-06-22,,Norway,England,0.49263848,0.50736152,0.00000000
2015-06-21,,Canada,Switzerland,1.00000000,0.00000000,0.00000000
2015-06-26,,Germany,France,0.71679853,0.28320147,0.00000000
1 date group team1 team2 team1_win team2_win tie
2 2015-06-06 A Canada China 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
3 2015-06-06 A New Zealand Netherlands 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
4 2015-06-07 B Norway Thailand 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
5 2015-06-07 B Germany Ivory Coast 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6 2015-06-08 D Sweden Nigeria 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
7 2015-06-08 C Cameroon Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
8 2015-06-08 D USA Australia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
9 2015-06-08 C Japan Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
10 2015-06-09 F France England 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
11 2015-06-09 E Spain Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
12 2015-06-09 F Colombia Mexico 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
13 2015-06-09 E Brazil South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
14 2015-06-11 B Germany Norway 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
15 2015-06-11 A China Netherlands 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
16 2015-06-11 B Ivory Coast Thailand 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
17 2015-06-11 A Canada New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
18 2015-06-12 D Australia Nigeria 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
19 2015-06-12 C Switzerland Ecuador 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
20 2015-06-12 D USA Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
21 2015-06-12 C Japan Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
22 2015-06-13 F France Colombia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
23 2015-06-13 E Brazil Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24 2015-06-13 F England Mexico 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
25 2015-06-13 E South Korea Costa Rica 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
26 2015-06-15 B Thailand Germany 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
27 2015-06-15 B Ivory Coast Norway 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
28 2015-06-15 A Netherlands Canada 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
29 2015-06-15 A China New Zealand 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
30 2015-06-16 C Ecuador Japan 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
31 2015-06-16 C Switzerland Cameroon 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
32 2015-06-16 D Nigeria USA 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
33 2015-06-16 D Australia Sweden 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000
34 2015-06-17 F Mexico France 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
35 2015-06-17 F England Colombia 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
36 2015-06-17 E Costa Rica Brazil 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
37 2015-06-17 E South Korea Spain 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
38 2015-06-20 China Cameroon 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
39 2015-06-22 USA Colombia 0.95150586 0.04849414 0.00000000
40 2015-06-20 Germany Sweden 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
41 2015-06-21 France South Korea 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
42 2015-06-21 Brazil Australia 0.00000000 1.00000000 0.00000000
43 2015-06-23 Japan Netherlands 0.73147081 0.26852919 0.00000000
44 2015-06-22 Norway England 0.49263848 0.50736152 0.00000000
45 2015-06-21 Canada Switzerland 1.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
46 2015-06-26 Germany France 0.71679853 0.28320147 0.00000000