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538data/forecast-methodology/README.md
Dhrumil Mehta fd36e47c5e update READMEs
2018-02-09 13:10:46 -05:00

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# Historical FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasts
This folder contains the data behind the story [How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works](http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-fivethirtyeight-senate-forecast-model-works/).
Header | Definition
---|---------
`state` | Election
`year` | Year of election
`candidate` | Last name
`forecast_prob` | Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast
`result` | `Win` or `Loss`
For archived results, see:
* **2008** https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
* **2010** http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate
* **2012** http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/